Strident-Sweatshirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$544

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

14,227

Trades

29,114

lifetime

Volume

$46.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 11-01 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 79% -$519

Other

6% 72% -$23

Politics

1% 16% -$2

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 2420 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:50 UTC	4	$268	224	217	+7	Down	+$11	04-11 12:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:05 UTC	6	$211	185	179	+6	Down	+$13	04-11 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:35 UTC	7	$195	110	109	+1	Down	+$2	04-06 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:25 UTC	5	$165	85	84	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 12:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	44	$136	109	109	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 22:02
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	44	$123	123	123	+0	Yes	-$1	03-12 05:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 15:15 UTC	7	$121	120	113	+7	Up	+$78	04-06 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:45 UTC	13	$120	113	113	+0	Down	+$80	03-29 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	10	$119	87	85	+1	Down	+$10	03-30 13:49
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	39	$107	129	129	+0	Yes	-$1	03-11 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 21:30 UTC	9	$104	72	72	+0	Up	-$3	03-22 21:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 10:45 UTC	26	$102	96	55	+41	Down	-$6	04-07 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:45 UTC	16	$98	129	99	+30	Up	-$4	04-11 11:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 23:45 UTC	9	$95	105	15	+90	Down	-$19	04-06 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	2	$93	47	47	+0	Up	+$0	03-30 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:00 UTC	7	$93	70	67	+3	Up	+$34	04-16 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:25 UTC	12	$92	81	71	+10	Down	+$7	04-11 11:30
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	28	$91	89	89	+0	Yes	-$2	03-11 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:25 UTC	32	$87	85	75	+10	Up	-$1	04-08 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:40 UTC	17	$86	74	49	+25	Up	-$13	04-11 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:40 UTC	8	$85	80	47	+33	Up	+$2	04-11 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 22:40 UTC	11	$85	57	55	+1	Up	+$7	04-05 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC	12	$84	57	56	+1	Up	+$3	04-11 11:35
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	40	$81	127	127	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 01:45 UTC	6	$81	58	57	+1	Down	+$12	03-21 01:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	28	$79	96	96	+0	No	+$0	03-11 15:46
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	26	$78	60	66	-6	Yes	+$2	03-11 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:20 UTC	6	$77	57	56	+1	Down	+$0	04-09 13:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 22:55 UTC	2	$75	39	39	+0	Up	+$2	04-04 23:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:45 UTC	17	$73	49	47	+2	Down	+$2	04-08 00:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x85c9ea…
11-01 14:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x843ab4…
11-01 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x575ea6…
11-01 13:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x571ef6…
11-01 13:57:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5111c2…
11-01 13:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7946ad…
11-01 13:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x030a8a…
11-01 13:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe09a7b…
11-01 13:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3f493f…
11-01 13:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x769f4f…
11-01 13:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x352df6…
11-01 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7cf5ff…
11-01 12:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5eba3f…
11-01 12:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x82761d…
11-01 12:41:31	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc4168f…
11-01 12:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x51d4cd…
11-01 12:26:58	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x268527…
11-01 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x543493…
11-01 12:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x29d92f…
11-01 12:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9c5330…
11-01 11:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc725fa…
11-01 11:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4b0e5d…
11-01 11:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x073cb7…
11-01 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x147dd9…
11-01 11:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4932f0…
11-01 11:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc20283…
11-01 11:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcf4818…
11-01 11:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe3919c…
11-01 10:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5e5e08…
11-01 10:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb39be0…
11-01 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa0e6fa…
11-01 10:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x059c2b…
11-01 10:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcfbcd2…
11-01 10:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3bf957…
11-01 10:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x871aa3…
11-01 10:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b8a24…
11-01 10:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbe69f4…
11-01 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6dde95…
11-01 09:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7e895a…
11-01 09:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x26886d…
11-01 09:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8825d4…
11-01 09:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb5727e…
11-01 09:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe8fbe3…
11-01 09:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa468f5…
11-01 08:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfecfce…
11-01 08:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x55dd05…
11-01 08:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x570ab8…
11-01 08:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x38e8a9…
11-01 08:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2b88a…
11-01 07:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0a41ad…
11-01 07:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x29b36e…
11-01 07:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a8473…
11-01 07:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x766d27…
11-01 07:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd53a82…
11-01 07:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xea6eb0…
11-01 04:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe60c3e…
11-01 04:47:13	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8697d3…
11-01 04:36:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfa4321…
11-01 04:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4ccf2e…
11-01 04:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd81b8e…
11-01 04:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9a61da…
11-01 03:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x162b6d…
11-01 03:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8688f2…
11-01 03:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa461f4…
11-01 03:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x893fe3…
11-01 03:07:49	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8ed904…
11-01 02:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x18854f…
11-01 02:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf10cfb…
11-01 02:28:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x72a7bc…
11-01 02:18:12	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xec67fd…
11-01 02:01:15	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x132e8b…
11-01 01:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x695407…
11-01 01:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x153f52…
10-31 02:26:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcd4734…
10-31 02:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfb88d2…
10-30 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x155b5d…
10-30 13:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe797d6…
10-30 13:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb7486b…
10-30 13:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4695fa…
10-30 13:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x30b66f…
10-30 13:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf4630d…
10-30 13:52:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1d5e18…
10-30 13:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x672eee…
10-30 13:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x339b11…
10-30 13:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe49ea7…
10-30 13:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5a1ad0…
10-30 13:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8ed33b…
10-30 13:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x689a71…
10-30 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad360d…
10-30 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb861f4…
10-30 13:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa4d3ed…
10-30 13:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8f3870…
10-30 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf52237…
10-30 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab145e…
10-30 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x50ee6d…
10-30 13:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7ab3b8…
10-30 13:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2b5266…
10-30 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe982dd…
10-30 13:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb4ad95…
10-30 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4e38a8…