Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$3.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-08 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

64% 74% -$5

Politics

16% 80% +$171

Crypto

16% 84% -$35

Sports

3% 75% +$47

Tech

2% 0% -$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+6	$1	18¢	$1	$0	08-24 19:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	20	$286	173	158	+15	No	+$36	03-29 11:49
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	6	$280	444	444	+0	No	+$13	03-18 19:16
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$248	381	0	+381	Yes	+$133	03-12 10:21
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	2	$199	107	107	+0	No	+$9	03-25 13:30
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$176	100	100	+0	Yes	+$24	03-16 04:33
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$172	286	0	+286	No	+$114	03-19 13:28
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	5	$138	303	0	+303	Yes	-$138	03-25 14:41
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$138	72	72	+0	No	+$3	03-26 03:28
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	8	$137	73	73	+0	No	+$5	03-25 10:35
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	5	$129	80	80	+0	Yes	+$7	03-25 14:22
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$128	137	0	+137	No	+$9	03-23 03:57
will usdai launch a token by march 31	2	$121	106	106	+0	No	+$15	03-23 06:22
ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 25 2026 1pt23	3	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$3	03-25 12:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$5	03-27 09:07
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 16c	6	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$8	03-23 18:20
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	2	$92	65	65	+0	No	+$12	03-24 07:24
ethereum above 2200 on march 23	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$6	03-23 15:20
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$87	50	50	+0	Yes	+$13	03-16 04:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$75	100	0	+100	No	+$25	03-26 12:45
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	1	$72	90	0	+90	Yes	-$72	03-23 11:35
chatgpt outage by april 3	1	$69	110	0	+110	Yes	-$69	03-26 21:29
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$62	49	49	+0	No	$0	03-10 20:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$62	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-10 19:38
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	1	$62	100	0	+100	Yes	-$62	03-26 08:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	10	$61	82	82	+0	No	-$2	03-10 21:28
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$5	03-23 11:36
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	1	$44	50	0	+50	No	+$6	03-26 12:25
will powell say gold or oil during march press conference 257 974	4	$42	50	0	+50	Yes	+$8	03-14 10:32
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	10	$30	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 10:25
will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	3	$25	72	0	+72	No	+$47	03-26 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 01:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe6d248…
11-08 01:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xf04441…
11-08 01:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x043b11…
11-08 00:57:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfb7b79…
11-08 00:57:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x6b8f26…
11-08 00:57:13	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x040b67…
11-08 00:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xe993d2…
11-08 00:52:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xea3bab…
11-08 00:42:37	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9f9086…
11-08 00:22:34	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf65873…
11-08 00:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x575a75…
11-08 00:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x0c1591…
11-08 00:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x527170…
11-08 00:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xe3aa3e…
11-07 10:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3c7395…
11-07 09:58:16	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc4d151…
11-07 09:12:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x756bf6…
11-07 08:28:07	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc36751…
11-07 07:58:04	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x564449…
11-07 07:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$13	0x692a80…
11-07 06:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xfc9af1…
11-07 04:57:48	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x64940f…
11-07 04:57:46	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xdcc168…
11-07 04:57:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xbfce19…
11-07 04:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xcf2261…
11-07 04:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x40ba40…
11-07 04:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf7ea17…
11-07 04:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x3904e5…
11-07 04:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x32d933…
11-07 02:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9ed83b…
11-07 02:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x0406a1…
11-07 02:02:31	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0378c9…
11-07 01:57:06	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xecc95b…
11-07 01:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3b476f…
11-07 01:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xdea472…
11-07 01:52:12	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5c3bab…
11-07 01:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xffccc8…
11-07 01:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x7386dc…
11-07 01:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x41cd6e…
11-07 01:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8a43e2…
11-07 00:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x8def37…
11-07 00:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x649f52…
11-07 00:12:10	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x90dd30…
11-07 00:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x8c5365…
11-06 04:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7fcd1c…
11-06 04:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9544fc…
11-05 22:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x42dfea…
11-05 22:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x37a3e3…
11-05 22:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x690133…
11-05 22:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xab8ba5…
11-05 17:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1aa43e…
11-05 15:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x384807…
11-05 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa2d02f…
11-05 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55bea2…
11-05 15:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f66f0…
11-05 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2646dc…
11-05 14:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xafbdb7…
11-05 13:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x283b3d…
11-05 13:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa06149…
11-05 13:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb70b50…
11-05 12:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe887a…
11-05 12:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8da98…
11-05 12:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0d4ad6…
11-05 11:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x83147a…
11-05 11:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x415e44…
11-05 11:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80a024…
11-05 11:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x371fd2…
11-05 10:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd88703…
11-05 10:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe90ffe…
11-05 10:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x6ab5c6…
11-04 13:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x24b82d…
11-04 13:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97bb41…
11-04 13:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x55329e…
11-04 11:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x67e8aa…
11-04 09:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b3e43…
11-04 08:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed648c…
11-04 08:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57e9ac…
11-04 07:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x305ef5…
11-04 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa86d66…
11-04 06:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe2b781…
09-22 08:30:22	will ethereum reach 3000 september 21 27 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x07d5f4…
08-25 18:14:25	Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 24?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x079d71…
08-24 19:17:18	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xce4bfb…
03-29 11:49:46	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xc86676…
03-29 02:08:34	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0xe936e4…
03-29 00:42:08	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb87c7…
03-28 18:45:27	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb56f6e…
03-28 18:29:47	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xa87a68…
03-28 06:10:13	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xf2dfa0…
03-28 06:01:43	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x340d69…
03-28 06:00:29	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8b8469…
03-27 09:07:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x16d18a…
03-26 21:29:39	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x6faf7f…
03-26 21:02:07	will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x08db25…
03-26 16:15:57	will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x28bbef…
03-26 15:10:17	will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2cf92f…
03-26 15:06:57	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x02ef87…
03-26 12:45:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xf57897…
03-26 12:25:57	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xadbd49…
03-26 08:31:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x289e77…