Hard-Rifle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$163

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.9%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-04 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

47% — —

Other

34% 50% $-4

Sports

19% 0% $-159

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	8	$395	324	324	+0	open	—	05-15 14:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	11	$222	134	134	+0	open	—	05-28 13:50
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	4	$162	102	102	+0	open	—	08-04 12:09
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$159	548	0	+548	No	$-159	04-15 14:54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$153	548	0	+548	open	—	04-15 14:55
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	4	$127	78	123	-45	open	—	08-04 12:10
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	4	$101	333	333	+0	open	—	07-04 06:57
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	3	$91	34	70	-35	open	—	08-04 20:50
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$81	87	87	+0	open	—	07-04 00:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	5	$74	43	43	+0	open	—	05-15 14:21
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	1	$64	0	73	-73	open	—	06-20 11:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	2	$45	65	0	+65	open	—	06-02 11:46
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	1	$42	0	66	-66	open	—	06-28 23:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	07-03 00:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	2	$40	27	27	+0	open	—	07-08 20:00
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$40	51	0	+51	open	—	07-07 17:49
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	08-04 12:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-11 14:57
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	06-29 22:28
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	07-10 09:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 01:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	04-25 01:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-21 01:13
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	07-10 09:58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	1	$20	26	0	+26	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$6	05-06 13:39
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	07-04 00:21
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 19:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-21 01:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 14:20
will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	1	$11	0	24	-24	open	—	07-03 00:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 20:50:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	34	86¢	$30	0xdd4355…
08-04 12:10:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	31	63¢	$20	0xa08b2e…
08-04 12:09:47	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	64	77¢	$49	0x3477d9…
08-04 12:08:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	29	52¢	$15	0x9257d0…
08-03 17:41:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xbfbcfd…
08-03 07:29:06	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	64	79¢	$50	0x96e529…
08-03 07:28:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x410d8b…
08-03 07:28:29	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x062bcd…
08-02 12:52:45	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	SELL	92	63¢	$58	0x6e18c1…
07-15 01:03:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	39	86¢	$33	0x60ef22…
07-10 09:58:13	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x670037…
07-10 09:57:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0xc8b09b…
07-08 20:00:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	27	76¢	$20	0x5687a2…
07-07 17:49:05	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x4a4c6f…
07-06 01:45:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0xf23eab…
07-06 01:45:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xa3134d…
07-06 01:43:20	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbb57bf…
07-04 06:57:31	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	175	5¢	$8	0xc01a0a…
07-04 06:34:38	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xd68ecc…
07-04 00:53:28	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe8128f…
07-04 00:53:16	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x434539…
07-04 00:53:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x07de0f…
07-04 00:22:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0x9174b0…
07-04 00:22:10	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	87	47¢	$41	0x9c4e49…
07-04 00:21:37	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x5c86dc…
07-04 00:10:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xccdc7b…
07-03 00:58:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	60¢	$21	0x9e37c3…
07-03 00:24:10	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	No	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x013255…
07-01 13:14:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7a74fe…
07-01 13:14:35	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x3a9174…
06-29 22:28:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x2e3d15…
06-28 23:06:13	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x77bb0c…
06-28 23:04:43	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	No	SELL	66	64¢	$42	0xc524d1…
06-24 23:34:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x72435b…
06-20 11:27:50	will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	No	SELL	73	87¢	$64	0xee5698…
06-16 15:02:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xda8684…
06-02 11:53:02	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x3c20fd…
06-02 11:46:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xbf2999…
06-02 11:46:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x399675…
06-02 11:45:06	World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	SELL	157	27¢	$43	0x44d4e9…
05-31 23:21:48	World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	157	25¢	$40	0x3b7271…
05-28 13:50:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	69	73¢	$51	0xec80d6…
05-23 15:27:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	58	85¢	$50	0x28ed12…
05-23 15:26:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x1e53bb…
05-21 01:14:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x910b5e…
05-21 01:14:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x77f6df…
05-21 01:13:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xce0943…
05-21 01:13:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x456405…
05-19 19:38:42	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	AFC Bournemouth	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xab836b…
05-19 18:13:16	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbd4d68…
05-18 19:23:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1dfef3…
05-18 19:22:09	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x865bad…
05-18 19:21:58	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x4f8031…
05-18 00:44:15	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0975ab…
05-18 00:43:57	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xbd5fe0…
05-18 00:41:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf24b7b…
05-18 00:40:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xd927e8…
05-16 23:52:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0cb87d…
05-15 14:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9112dd…
05-15 14:21:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xea1b23…
05-15 14:20:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xa363c1…
05-15 14:20:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	68¢	$32	0x48d00d…
05-14 17:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5109df…
05-14 17:33:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xfe71c2…
05-14 17:33:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	88¢	$41	0x68e766…
05-14 15:14:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x23355b…
05-14 15:14:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xce0697…
05-14 13:18:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xbf3088…
05-14 13:18:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x284b52…
05-13 23:50:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	267	63¢	$168	0x824d48…
05-13 14:19:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x6b6529…
05-13 14:18:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x7fa53c…
05-13 14:17:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc38734…
05-13 14:15:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x02a2ee…
05-13 14:15:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xf05163…
05-12 15:26:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x045875…
05-12 15:24:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x6c8772…
05-11 20:40:26	Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6cac01…
05-11 20:39:44	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xae9e2e…
05-11 20:38:32	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7df2e7…
05-11 15:09:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xbc6765…
05-11 14:57:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xdc258e…
05-11 14:03:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x98b863…
05-11 14:03:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xce61a2…
05-11 14:03:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x760e09…
05-11 14:02:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x46a16c…
05-09 13:56:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf6daaf…
05-09 13:51:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7d9c60…
05-06 13:47:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0ffdb8…
05-06 13:39:34	Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x86e735…
05-01 19:17:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x354b05…
05-01 19:14:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2fa474…
04-27 08:23:16	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x2c2f08…
04-27 08:20:38	Will Sporting CP finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x72992f…
04-27 08:05:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xe82c88…
04-26 11:53:32	Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x30fdf0…
04-25 16:54:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x030af6…
04-25 16:50:52	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4a13e7…
04-25 01:57:12	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa98e55…
04-25 01:52:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x953eef…