Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$68

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-03

last 10-07 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

73% 48% -$7

Politics

27% 33% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 05:49
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$3	09-16 10:33
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-09 00:06
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 02:37
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 22:36
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-23 18:28
will aapl reach 308 by august 17 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-18 04:16
spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-17 07:19
Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-01 08:58
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-02 11:20
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-03 11:07
grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-05 20:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-05 03:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-08 16:05
wti up or down on august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	08-17 00:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-03 10:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-03 19:39
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-23 07:20
will xauusd reach 4400 by august 31 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-01 22:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-08 08:04
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-20 21:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 21:54
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 03:41
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-04 11:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-04 19:50
will spy reach 780 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-22 10:44
will meta reach 600 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-17 08:14
spy up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-05 12:00
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-18 12:33
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-16 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 00:53:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc62854…
10-01 12:17:33	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa1bd91…
09-27 02:47:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8b335f…
09-26 07:45:51	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x41b8a0…
09-24 19:16:27	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4f4f23…
09-23 18:28:17	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xecbdc2…
09-20 21:41:28	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x91e496…
09-19 05:49:42	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x2fc15f…
09-17 17:31:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x121e0c…
09-17 07:19:57	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x834c47…
09-16 10:33:25	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x46f74d…
09-16 02:31:48	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd6ff08…
09-03 21:54:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x291bcd…
09-03 11:07:13	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x809630…
09-02 11:20:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x734bda…
09-01 22:30:04	will xauusd reach 4400 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7c8016…
09-01 08:58:19	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x48f6cd…
08-23 07:20:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6816e9…
08-22 10:44:25	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x90aa18…
08-18 22:36:40	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x007f43…
08-18 12:33:37	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x00bf59…
08-18 04:16:22	will aapl reach 308 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb41ddc…
08-17 08:14:22	will meta reach 600 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x677c09…
08-17 00:13:09	wti up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6dfc9d…
08-09 00:06:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb6a3c8…
08-08 16:05:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x62fc81…
08-08 08:04:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x515466…
08-05 20:00:50	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3a82cd…
08-05 12:00:23	spy up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf5469e…
08-05 03:52:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x582fb7…
08-04 19:50:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x993a5f…
08-04 11:43:29	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x7105b9…
08-04 03:41:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4f9391…
08-03 19:39:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x02aed5…
08-03 10:38:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xde85ef…
08-03 02:37:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb78c68…