Evil-Comradeship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

25.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$403

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-25 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 25% -$3

Sports

30% 50% +$0

Tech

12% 0% -$18

Other

12% 67% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+5	$3	32¢	$1	-$1	05-29 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$3.9K	1,960	1,960	+0	No	-$2	02-17 19:28
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.3K	667	667	+0	No	+$0	06-04 22:04
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$0	06-06 20:30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$1000	503	503	+0	open	—	10-25 16:14
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	10-25 18:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	05-29 16:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$177	89	89	+0	No	+$1	06-19 05:38
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-17 19:29
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	-$11	05-29 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:40 UTC	2	$11	22	0	+22	Up	$0	07-26 11:44
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$7	9	0	+9	Yes	-$7	05-29 16:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 16:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$1	20	0	+20	Yes	-$1	10-25 11:35
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	02-17 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:48:08	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0xefaea4…
10-25 16:14:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	503	100¢	$500	0x225237…
10-25 11:35:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa819cc…
10-25 11:34:48	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x9e88ce…
10-25 11:34:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$500	0xfad391…
07-26 11:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x754d89…
07-26 11:44:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x356f3d…
06-19 05:38:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xae90d0…
06-08 14:42:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xa69cb6…
06-06 20:30:18	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	601	100¢	$600	0x21c9af…
06-04 22:04:57	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	667	100¢	$666	0xecbdfc…
05-29 16:12:03	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xc715e6…
05-29 16:11:27	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$666	0xed815a…
05-29 16:11:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x74cca3…
05-29 16:10:31	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xd49b48…
05-29 16:10:18	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x119e21…
05-29 16:09:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x62f8bd…
02-17 19:29:41	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4a0323…
02-17 19:29:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x49dd11…
02-17 19:28:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,960	100¢	$1,954	0x7b5290…
02-15 11:22:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,960	100¢	$1,956	0xcb78ed…