Rubbery-Deviance — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$93

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

86 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$771

$771 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$88

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	+30	$20	99¢	$30	+$10	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	+30	$24	99¢	$30	+$6	05-05 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	+28	$11	100¢	$28	+$17	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	+21	$11	1¢	$0	$-10	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	+9	$4	1¢	$0	$-4	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Up	+40	$22	0¢	$0	$-22	05-05 22:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	1	$84	100	+100	open	—	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	7	$83	190	+190	open	—	05-05 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$36	106	+106	open	—	05-05 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$35	51	+51	open	—	05-05 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$34	55	+55	Down	+$21	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$34	60	+60	open	—	05-05 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	2	$33	68	+68	open	—	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$26	35	+35	Up	+$9	05-05 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$25	50	+50	Up	+$10	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$24	39	+39	open	—	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	3	$23	84	+84	Up	$-23	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$19	32	+32	Up	$-19	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$18	41	+41	Up	+$23	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$17	33	+33	open	—	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$16	37	+37	Up	+$21	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$16	30	+30	open	—	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$16	32	+32	Up	+$16	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$15	35	+35	Down	+$20	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	5	$15	36	+36	open	—	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$15	32	+32	Down	$-15	05-05 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$15	30	+30	open	—	05-05 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$15	30	+30	open	—	05-05 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$14	30	+30	open	—	05-05 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$13	25	+25	Up	$-4	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$13	28	+28	open	—	05-05 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$11	35	+35	open	—	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$11	25	+25	Up	+$14	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$10	30	+30	Up	$-10	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$9	20	+20	Up	+$11	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$9	35	+35	Up	+$26	05-04 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x6d947d…
05-05 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x3b138e…
05-05 23:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xa430aa…
05-05 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xf3c77b…
05-05 22:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7dbb7b…
05-05 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x06f9ee…
05-05 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x93c039…
05-05 22:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xc02f8f…
05-05 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x1b4216…
05-05 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb2fcf9…
05-05 20:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5f998c…
05-05 19:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xdbb22c…
05-05 19:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x4502ae…
05-05 19:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xef0760…
05-05 18:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x5e2102…
05-05 18:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x95f6b1…
05-05 18:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x86d373…
05-05 18:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x2e149b…
05-05 18:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x78cccd…
05-05 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0xa030e2…
05-05 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x8ddf30…
05-05 16:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x4d68b6…
05-05 15:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x85ebfe…
05-05 14:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xe4f683…
05-05 12:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xd05789…
05-05 11:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x452db5…
05-05 11:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x266df6…
05-05 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xfcf600…
05-05 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xad554b…
05-05 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xe3f58b…
05-05 11:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x8c9cef…
05-05 10:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xea9f81…
05-05 10:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0x20d5fa…
05-05 10:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xda4198…
05-05 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xb85ec3…
05-05 10:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xaab7b5…
05-05 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x882cf6…
05-05 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xd9e83f…
05-05 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xb72fec…
05-05 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x29f799…
05-05 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xdd0f2e…
05-05 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x5e899c…
05-05 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xafb138…
05-05 09:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf0317f…
05-05 08:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xf23a92…
05-05 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x3d4e80…
05-05 07:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xf61abb…
05-05 06:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc2e1a4…
05-05 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4a9e3c…
05-05 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x1faa46…
05-05 06:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd3ab79…
05-05 05:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x37d54c…
05-05 05:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x17b7dd…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x4d0a15…
05-05 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x15b05c…
05-05 04:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x8fe65f…
05-05 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xd5cda2…
05-05 03:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xdd2045…
05-05 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0cb656…
05-05 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x548836…
05-05 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x9c4a7f…
05-05 02:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb43582…
05-05 02:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0xab3ac2…
05-05 02:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8404c9…
05-05 02:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xf8b1ea…
05-05 02:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x1d3720…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7e892a…
05-05 02:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaa496d…
05-05 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0xacd8bc…
05-05 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc01ebb…
05-05 01:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0291bb…
05-05 01:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x4899cc…
05-05 01:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xc6f95f…
05-05 01:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x8b2304…
05-05 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xb0acc1…
05-05 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2bee37…
05-05 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xaff072…
05-05 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb84deb…
05-05 01:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x2824e4…
05-05 00:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x70bb29…
05-05 00:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x173663…
05-05 00:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x1c13da…
05-04 23:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x5032e3…
05-04 21:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	58¢	$19	0xe5b4ef…
05-04 20:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x5119df…
05-04 20:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xc7fc13…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	50	$17.5K	463	05-05 23:15
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	48	$1.22K	273	05-05 23:15
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	44	$1.90K	250	05-05 23:15
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	40	$1.36K	121	05-05 23:10
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	37	$7.30K	180	05-05 23:25
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	37	$2.24K	230	05-05 23:15
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	35	$2.04K	149	05-05 23:10
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	34	$7.06K	285	05-05 23:25