Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

158

Trades

3,187

lifetime

Volume

$8.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.58K

Open exposure

$2.66K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 03:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Politics

57% 81% -$85,053

Other

29% 86% +$27,353

Crypto

9% 100% +$41,898

Sports

4% 83% +$95,200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$1,920	64¢	$1.9K	+$15	10-21 09:57
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	+731	$729	98¢	$719	-$10	10-15 18:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$51	3¢	$9	-$42	10-22 01:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$548.6K	310,398	294,498	+15,900	No	+$26,302	06-04 00:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	17	$394.9K	237,489	158,773	+78,716	No	+$750	01-03 20:44
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$345.2K	345,915	0	+345,915	No	+$671	05-01 00:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	177	$318.1K	349,860	54,250	+295,610	Yes	+$85,890	07-08 11:27
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$312.8K	210,830	102,440	+108,390	Yes	+$313	04-20 04:32
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$299.8K	300,100	0	+300,100	Yes	+$300	07-22 22:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$270.6K	271,111	0	+271,111	Yes	+$542	06-17 01:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	83	$270.2K	213,855	71,021	+142,834	Yes	+$3,740	04-30 22:06
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	49	$254.9K	255,785	0	+255,785	Yes	+$835	05-03 18:29
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	49	$248.4K	248,615	0	+248,615	Yes	+$249	07-01 22:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$239.5K	120,334	120,334	+0	Yes	+$976	02-03 01:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	173	$223.4K	155,867	106,160	+49,707	Yes	-$32,326	05-06 07:23
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	10	$180.0K	94,156	96,673	-2,516	Yes	-$4,594	02-28 07:37
will iran strike israel on march 10	31	$169.3K	145,795	23,922	+121,874	Yes	+$413	03-17 01:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$166.0K	166,125	0	+166,125	No	+$166	03-04 18:23
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	17	$164.3K	165,957	0	+165,957	Yes	+$1,645	03-03 16:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	40	$164.1K	164,242	0	+164,242	No	+$166	02-28 22:12
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	28	$160.9K	161,248	0	+161,248	Yes	+$322	02-09 00:50
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	37	$141.0K	121,355	20,000	+101,355	No	+$312	03-19 13:15
will the us strike somalia next 656	7	$140.0K	140,131	0	+140,131	Yes	+$140	01-26 00:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$126.0K	117,526	9,531	+107,995	Yes	+$295	04-09 01:18
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	9	$123.4K	123,671	0	+123,671	No	+$247	01-20 14:27
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	1	$123.2K	123,311	0	+123,311	Yes	+$123	01-18 18:27
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	33	$121.5K	73,800	63,800	+10,000	Yes	+$1,238	04-30 22:05
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$120.2K	120,455	0	+120,455	No	+$241	02-03 08:39
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$118.3K	118,629	0	+118,629	Yes	+$356	01-03 12:44
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	34	$113.4K	58,857	54,959	+3,898	Yes	-$137	03-29 12:26
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	44	$109.2K	109,376	0	+109,376	Yes	+$220	01-25 02:52
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	5	$107.6K	103,782	4,000	+99,782	No	+$204	04-06 00:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$107.0K	107,779	0	+107,779	Yes	+$807	04-08 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:11:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,205	100¢	$2,203	0x0a906f…
10-26 03:10:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x23d0d3…
10-26 03:07:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8,550	100¢	$8,542	0xd1d28d…
10-26 03:07:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0x7d33d2…
10-26 03:05:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xdd8399…
10-26 03:04:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x5b9f6d…
10-26 03:04:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x36cc5d…
10-26 03:04:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0318cf…
10-26 03:04:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x72c0c5…
10-26 03:02:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x455688…
10-26 03:00:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc724df…
10-26 02:58:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdbeb3f…
10-26 02:57:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0xf78daa…
10-26 02:57:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x132872…
10-26 02:56:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x67f78e…
10-26 02:55:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	792	100¢	$791	0x66c9d1…
10-26 02:53:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb957cc…
10-26 02:53:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa7b930…
10-26 02:53:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	34,786	100¢	$34,751	0xdd9501…
10-26 02:51:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8,367	100¢	$8,359	0x6c5dce…
10-26 02:48:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1bd052…
10-26 02:47:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x9a581f…
10-26 02:46:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x558725…
10-26 02:43:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xea74ac…
10-26 02:43:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00db8f…
10-26 02:43:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3,306	100¢	$3,302	0x1fec5b…
10-23 21:00:00	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	SELL	2,000	1¢	$14	0x3fc0fc…
10-23 20:03:27	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x0ec5f1…
10-23 20:00:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4bc2fa…
10-23 20:00:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x71d76e…
10-23 19:59:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2080f2…
10-23 19:59:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4a3704…
10-23 19:58:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,992	0xb4c4fd…
10-23 19:57:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	467	100¢	$466	0xbe2746…
10-23 19:50:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	337	66¢	$222	0xbfc1c4…
10-23 19:49:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0xdb11aa…
10-23 19:49:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xdbeddd…
10-23 19:49:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb5f766…
10-23 19:49:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0x927966…
10-23 19:49:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0x4cabe6…
10-23 19:49:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9cbced…
10-23 19:49:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x6a0d3c…
10-23 19:48:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	66¢	$21	0x39f05f…
10-23 19:48:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	66¢	$21	0x201801…
10-23 19:48:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x4cdb5d…
10-23 19:48:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,494	66¢	$1,646	0xb8cf73…
10-23 19:47:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	66¢	$1,320	0x2ee35b…
10-23 19:46:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,995	67¢	$1,337	0x28f6a3…
10-23 19:46:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x9e34db…
10-23 19:46:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	803	66¢	$530	0xbe9f03…
10-23 19:45:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0x5da3eb…
10-23 19:45:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	66¢	$50	0xb16f77…
10-23 19:45:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	916	66¢	$605	0x8cec3e…
10-23 16:51:41	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,861	22¢	$849	0x6c8d6c…
10-23 16:47:35	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x6d0d2e…
10-23 16:47:26	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	818	20¢	$164	0xa66b0d…
10-23 16:41:08	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	25¢	$1,000	0xc9fe02…
10-23 16:34:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,852	64¢	$3,745	0x4c5411…
10-23 16:34:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xd0c6e3…
10-23 16:33:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xf0d6d6…
10-23 16:33:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x855244…
10-23 16:33:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe74c6a…
10-23 16:33:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd8144b…
10-23 16:33:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x63cba5…
10-23 16:32:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$12	0x4f85f2…
10-23 16:32:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2c4f5d…
10-23 16:32:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x17f6e7…
10-23 16:32:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xa78346…
10-23 16:31:14	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	20¢	$600	0xb878dd…
10-23 16:30:45	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x8239ed…
10-23 16:29:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6c148d…
10-23 16:29:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0x0e9182…
10-23 16:29:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	66¢	$139	0x4a5b89…
10-23 16:29:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb0b258…
10-23 16:29:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xab37ad…
10-23 16:28:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	991	66¢	$654	0xf532f4…
10-23 16:28:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	66¢	$165	0x7143fe…
10-23 16:27:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4fefce…
10-23 16:27:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x286976…
10-23 16:27:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x3daed8…
10-23 16:25:32	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,551	23¢	$357	0x4fc96c…
10-23 16:25:30	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	23¢	$28	0x2a9743…
10-23 16:17:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	949	65¢	$617	0x08000f…
10-23 16:17:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4ee903…
10-23 16:16:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xf5cef4…
10-23 16:13:09	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xcb5307…
10-23 16:13:05	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,141	25¢	$285	0xea553f…
10-23 13:19:11	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,660	99¢	$10,571	0x0a906b…
10-23 13:04:39	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,357	99¢	$2,332	0xbd9940…
10-23 12:42:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,052	99¢	$1,040	0x232ebb…
10-23 12:42:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	853	98¢	$840	0x312a77…
10-23 12:41:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,715	98¢	$2,671	0xc40bc3…
10-23 12:39:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,946	0x60aa28…
10-23 11:54:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,943	99¢	$4,896	0xbddb51…
10-23 11:47:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,786	99¢	$8,689	0x63325b…
10-23 11:43:11	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x544848…
10-23 11:39:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xfb7341…
10-23 11:39:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0xd701e8…
10-23 11:39:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1fefc0…
10-23 11:39:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	543	97¢	$527	0x075b5d…