Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,560

lifetime

Volume

$6.79M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.65K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-21 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

57% 33% $-82,772

Other

33% 100% +$835

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$548.6K	310,398	294,498	+15,900	open	—	06-04 00:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	17	$394.9K	237,489	158,773	+78,716	open	—	01-03 20:44
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$345.2K	345,915	0	+345,915	open	—	05-01 00:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$312.8K	210,830	102,440	+108,390	open	—	04-20 04:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$270.6K	271,111	0	+271,111	open	—	06-17 01:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	83	$270.2K	213,855	71,021	+142,834	open	—	04-30 22:06
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	49	$254.9K	255,785	0	+255,785	Yes	+$835	05-03 18:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$239.5K	120,334	120,334	+0	open	—	02-03 01:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	173	$223.4K	155,867	106,160	+49,707	Yes	$-32,326	05-06 07:23
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	10	$180.0K	94,156	96,673	-2,516	open	—	02-28 07:37
will iran strike israel on march 10	31	$169.3K	145,795	23,922	+121,874	open	—	03-17 01:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$166.0K	166,125	0	+166,125	open	—	03-04 18:23
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	17	$164.3K	165,957	0	+165,957	open	—	03-03 16:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	40	$164.1K	164,242	0	+164,242	open	—	02-28 22:12
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	28	$160.9K	161,248	0	+161,248	open	—	02-09 00:50
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	37	$141.0K	121,355	20,000	+101,355	open	—	03-19 13:15
will the us strike somalia next 656	7	$140.0K	140,131	0	+140,131	open	—	01-26 00:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$126.0K	117,526	9,531	+107,995	open	—	04-09 01:18
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	9	$123.4K	123,671	0	+123,671	open	—	01-20 14:27
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	1	$123.2K	123,311	0	+123,311	open	—	01-18 18:27
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	33	$121.5K	73,800	63,800	+10,000	open	—	04-30 22:05
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$120.2K	120,455	0	+120,455	open	—	02-03 08:39
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$118.3K	118,629	0	+118,629	open	—	01-03 12:44
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	34	$113.4K	58,857	54,959	+3,898	open	—	03-29 12:26
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	44	$109.2K	109,376	0	+109,376	open	—	01-25 02:52
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	5	$107.6K	103,782	4,000	+99,782	open	—	04-06 00:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$107.0K	107,779	0	+107,779	open	—	04-08 00:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	109	$105.0K	56,802	51,888	+4,914	open	—	03-19 23:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	18	$91.1K	91,761	6,000	+85,761	open	—	02-28 07:46
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	23	$87.4K	87,604	0	+87,604	open	—	04-04 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 16:26:40	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	4,999	4¢	$211	0x12c33f…
06-21 01:02:01	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	4,999	4¢	$200	0xb5fb01…
06-17 01:32:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	271,111	100¢	$270,569	0x138dfb…
06-04 00:35:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	270,498	100¢	$270,227	0x059cb8…
06-02 21:06:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	224,663	99¢	$222,641	0x57c376…
06-02 21:06:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,973	0x1d0bad…
06-02 21:06:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,900	99¢	$1,883	0xb52e2d…
06-02 21:05:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31,763	99¢	$31,477	0xfbe28e…
06-01 14:04:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,590	40¢	$3,807	0xcb8ac9…
06-01 14:04:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,410	40¢	$957	0x9fde22…
06-01 13:52:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12,000	28¢	$3,372	0x36c4b9…
06-01 13:44:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,514	38¢	$2,833	0x78606e…
06-01 13:44:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,486	38¢	$1,691	0xf3601c…
06-01 12:30:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15,000	18¢	$2,640	0x0f5d40…
06-01 12:29:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	738	19¢	$138	0xe5b307…
06-01 12:29:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21,333	19¢	$3,989	0x233f6b…
05-08 18:00:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13,363	94¢	$12,561	0xb226af…
05-08 18:00:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,374	94¢	$1,296	0x87c2d0…
05-08 18:00:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,015	94¢	$1,894	0x1ea187…
05-08 07:08:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,952	94¢	$1,841	0x34ab3a…
05-08 07:07:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,470	94¢	$6,101	0x7464e2…
05-08 07:07:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	204	94¢	$192	0x3e88ee…
05-07 15:54:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9,315	95¢	$8,812	0x1925ec…
05-07 15:54:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x3efff7…
05-06 07:23:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$39	0x80a762…
05-06 07:23:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0xca7331…
05-06 07:16:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x92a759…
05-06 07:10:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3fdbca…
05-06 07:01:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdba999…
05-06 07:00:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xed46d1…
05-06 06:54:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,550	90¢	$4,995	0xe21e16…
05-06 06:47:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xb3d5d5…
05-06 06:46:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	320	95¢	$303	0xb67a6b…
05-06 06:42:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x4b9e82…
05-06 06:37:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xff350a…
05-06 06:21:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	309	95¢	$292	0x3fd7df…
05-06 06:20:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6641ca…
05-06 06:20:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	308	95¢	$292	0x7aadee…
05-06 06:20:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x144ecc…
05-06 06:20:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9b5c62…
05-06 06:19:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x914d2e…
05-06 06:19:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5f8f16…
05-06 06:19:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf57c51…
05-06 06:19:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x83c49d…
05-06 06:19:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe149e7…
05-06 06:19:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	95¢	$123	0xbb5b76…
05-06 06:19:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21,206	95¢	$20,130	0xf60c44…
05-06 06:19:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x3f39ad…
05-06 06:13:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$9	0xc35b96…
05-06 06:10:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xfee5e6…
05-06 06:05:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xf5161f…
05-06 06:02:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x4794b1…
05-06 06:02:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x526db1…
05-06 06:01:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42,715	90¢	$38,444	0xe14656…
05-06 06:01:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xb61f28…
05-06 03:27:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,283	90¢	$2,955	0x419318…
05-06 02:57:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	556	90¢	$500	0xe08517…
05-06 02:07:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8bfd1a…
05-06 01:55:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x365d9b…
05-06 01:40:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xf792f5…
05-06 01:25:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x7f93b3…
05-06 01:21:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	860	90¢	$774	0x30d801…
05-06 00:40:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8d49c1…
05-06 00:24:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xbf2ba8…
05-06 00:18:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x54ea0c…
05-05 23:22:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	333	90¢	$300	0xf6f3b4…
05-05 22:54:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x3992ce…
05-05 22:37:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xab1898…
05-05 22:21:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	871	90¢	$784	0xb6a4e0…
05-05 21:32:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4f6278…
05-05 21:00:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x846e32…
05-05 20:31:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8c44a4…
05-05 20:03:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x142bf6…
05-05 19:53:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6d4653…
05-05 19:36:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xac8245…
05-05 19:34:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x5cfc21…
05-05 19:00:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x88f6b1…
05-05 18:47:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,333	90¢	$3,000	0xcafc3e…
05-05 18:35:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xb14b5b…
05-05 18:11:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x39febb…
05-05 18:01:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xbb79ac…
05-05 17:30:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe70f78…
05-05 17:05:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,556	90¢	$5,000	0xff6582…
05-05 16:55:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	90¢	$135	0x20b8f6…
05-05 16:18:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x572cc8…
05-05 15:55:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x3b0e98…
05-05 15:29:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	218	90¢	$196	0xfd16b2…
05-05 15:05:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	255	90¢	$229	0x377a43…
05-05 14:35:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xbf7bf6…
05-05 14:21:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa5f635…
05-05 14:15:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcb4b63…
05-05 14:15:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x360fdf…
05-05 14:15:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf4a4cc…
05-05 14:14:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x54a724…
05-05 13:45:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x0a6d19…
05-05 13:03:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	444	90¢	$400	0x6c5f46…
05-05 12:46:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdb9360…
05-05 12:34:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xf03cff…
05-05 12:24:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xbc8f7f…
05-05 12:23:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3c9815…