Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,909

lifetime

Volume

$7.41M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.55K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% 33% $-82,772

Other

31% 100% +$835

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$548.6K	310,398	294,498	+15,900	open	—	06-04 00:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	17	$394.9K	237,489	158,773	+78,716	open	—	01-03 20:44
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$345.2K	345,915	0	+345,915	open	—	05-01 00:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	177	$318.1K	349,860	54,250	+295,610	open	—	07-08 11:27
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$312.8K	210,830	102,440	+108,390	open	—	04-20 04:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$270.6K	271,111	0	+271,111	open	—	06-17 01:32
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	83	$270.2K	213,855	71,021	+142,834	open	—	04-30 22:06
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	49	$254.9K	255,785	0	+255,785	Yes	+$835	05-03 18:29
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	49	$248.4K	248,615	0	+248,615	open	—	07-01 22:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$239.5K	120,334	120,334	+0	open	—	02-03 01:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	173	$223.4K	155,867	106,160	+49,707	Yes	$-32,326	05-06 07:23
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	10	$180.0K	94,156	96,673	-2,516	open	—	02-28 07:37
will iran strike israel on march 10	31	$169.3K	145,795	23,922	+121,874	open	—	03-17 01:37
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$166.0K	166,125	0	+166,125	open	—	03-04 18:23
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	17	$164.3K	165,957	0	+165,957	open	—	03-03 16:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	40	$164.1K	164,242	0	+164,242	open	—	02-28 22:12
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	28	$160.9K	161,248	0	+161,248	open	—	02-09 00:50
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	37	$141.0K	121,355	20,000	+101,355	open	—	03-19 13:15
will the us strike somalia next 656	7	$140.0K	140,131	0	+140,131	open	—	01-26 00:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$126.0K	117,526	9,531	+107,995	open	—	04-09 01:18
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	9	$123.4K	123,671	0	+123,671	open	—	01-20 14:27
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	1	$123.2K	123,311	0	+123,311	open	—	01-18 18:27
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	33	$121.5K	73,800	63,800	+10,000	open	—	04-30 22:05
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$120.2K	120,455	0	+120,455	open	—	02-03 08:39
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$118.3K	118,629	0	+118,629	open	—	01-03 12:44
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	34	$113.4K	58,857	54,959	+3,898	open	—	03-29 12:26
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	44	$109.2K	109,376	0	+109,376	open	—	01-25 02:52
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	5	$107.6K	103,782	4,000	+99,782	open	—	04-06 00:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$107.0K	107,779	0	+107,779	open	—	04-08 00:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	109	$105.0K	56,802	51,888	+4,914	open	—	03-19 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:59:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,665	37¢	$611	0xfacf58…
07-20 15:59:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	36¢	$360	0xbdbb35…
07-20 15:40:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3,551	34¢	$1,207	0xe4de8b…
07-20 15:40:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0xb7273b…
07-19 22:01:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfd32c5…
07-17 17:01:33	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x102697…
07-17 16:40:51	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x785c9d…
07-17 16:40:51	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6195cd…
07-17 16:40:51	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x53cd4e…
07-17 16:40:49	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	161	91¢	$146	0xd0d34f…
07-17 16:40:49	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9c7b17…
07-17 16:40:49	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0x49e886…
07-17 16:40:49	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x3ca9ec…
07-17 16:35:00	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	214	90¢	$193	0x510905…
07-17 16:33:45	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	1,786	90¢	$1,607	0x33927d…
07-17 16:32:25	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x3c507d…
07-17 16:26:22	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	1,238	94¢	$1,167	0xe2d08e…
07-17 15:16:18	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	1,306	80¢	$1,045	0x6a6645…
07-17 11:31:12	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	234	93¢	$218	0x91439d…
07-17 11:30:15	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	227	93¢	$211	0xbb4a46…
07-17 11:30:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	352	93¢	$327	0x4f1a75…
07-17 11:27:09	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0x3fe79e…
07-17 11:26:07	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	4,404	93¢	$4,096	0x53b8a0…
07-17 05:57:21	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x86f9c7…
07-14 11:23:58	over 65m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb25dbe…
07-14 11:20:46	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	3,435	76¢	$2,608	0x28005a…
07-13 21:15:52	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	1,130	61¢	$688	0xb5c521…
07-13 20:11:46	over 90m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325660 569	No	BUY	4,778	96¢	$4,586	0x7f2234…
07-13 18:52:43	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x914467…
07-13 18:52:41	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x615c42…
07-13 18:52:41	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	667	25¢	$167	0x388abd…
07-13 18:52:08	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xfd3f57…
07-13 18:52:08	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa90e51…
07-13 18:52:08	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x06f8e3…
07-13 18:52:07	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	267	25¢	$67	0x997477…
07-13 18:51:52	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x924202…
07-13 18:51:46	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd3e036…
07-13 18:51:46	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1214fb…
07-13 18:51:44	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe876e7…
07-13 18:51:44	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd29dc2…
07-13 18:51:44	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xba210c…
07-13 18:51:43	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	328	25¢	$82	0xfdeefc…
07-13 17:02:41	over 8m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325644	Yes	BUY	1,651	98¢	$1,618	0x98a5bf…
07-08 11:27:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	54,250	100¢	$54,196	0x56e05a…
07-08 02:26:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	189,433	100¢	$189,243	0x40e05f…
07-08 02:25:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2be63d…
07-08 02:25:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bac59…
07-08 02:24:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0c264c…
07-08 02:24:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xc5bdb0…
07-08 02:24:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xa148d9…
07-08 02:23:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe0ec5a…
07-08 02:23:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc6cc0b…
07-08 02:23:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcd0a2a…
07-08 02:21:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe771e1…
07-08 02:20:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x2ba91e…
07-08 02:19:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4db977…
07-08 02:19:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80a48e…
07-08 02:19:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6,550	100¢	$6,543	0x060e88…
07-08 02:18:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb45d3d…
07-08 02:18:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xee8297…
07-08 02:17:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x5bdb27…
07-08 02:17:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	16,970	100¢	$16,953	0xe248c4…
07-07 22:05:34	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	5,000	43¢	$2,150	0xdd45d6…
07-07 19:29:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	139	28¢	$39	0x6c95c6…
07-07 19:29:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x830de3…
07-07 19:29:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x8183eb…
07-07 19:29:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	127	28¢	$36	0x43d955…
07-07 19:29:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	136	28¢	$38	0xfe085f…
07-07 19:29:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xfd249f…
07-07 19:29:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf600fd…
07-07 19:29:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,700	28¢	$476	0x0c9141…
07-07 19:29:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xd98c9b…
07-07 19:29:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	80	28¢	$22	0x88fdc5…
07-07 19:29:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x0a72af…
07-07 19:29:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	417	28¢	$117	0x133d3b…
07-07 19:28:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,277	29¢	$372	0x5aa9a6…
07-07 19:28:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,323	29¢	$967	0x3c4a90…
07-07 19:28:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xecd249…
07-07 19:28:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	71	29¢	$21	0xb48e95…
07-07 19:28:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0x263866…
07-07 19:28:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	84	29¢	$24	0xd03f4d…
07-07 19:28:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	29¢	$291	0x6ea3dd…
07-07 19:28:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,962	29¢	$1,153	0x9900e9…
07-07 19:28:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	163	29¢	$47	0x0278f3…
07-07 19:28:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$65	0xf3bebf…
07-07 19:28:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4,050	33¢	$1,324	0xcdb98f…
07-07 19:21:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xae0c70…
07-07 19:21:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$65	0x81ca16…
07-07 19:21:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$164	0x778c10…
07-07 19:10:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xd1103a…
07-07 19:10:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x02f8a5…
07-07 18:47:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,664	25¢	$666	0x600f70…
07-07 18:47:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7,336	25¢	$1,834	0x8870c0…
07-07 18:42:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,636	28¢	$463	0xb23501…
07-07 18:42:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	425	28¢	$120	0xd42f21…
07-07 18:41:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xeb7a41…
07-07 18:41:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	418	28¢	$118	0x69e8d0…
07-07 18:41:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xab854e…
07-07 18:41:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,393	28¢	$394	0x7fa84a…
07-07 18:41:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6,089	28¢	$1,723	0x2f196a…