Productive-Wiring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

332

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$111.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

$178

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-28 11:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

76% 42% -$4,255

Sports

13% 38% -$6,437

Crypto

7% 22% -$2,991

Politics

4% 57% +$562

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+3,093	$207	6¢	$170	-$37	10-28 11:26
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes		+46	$10	18¢	$8	-$2	10-23 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	5	$7.1K	5,341	5,341	+0	Yes	+$3,387	06-29 18:58
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	10	$4.1K	9,216	0	+9,216	No	-$4,069	05-04 21:41
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	9	$3.1K	5,514	2,574	+2,941	No	-$1,257	05-24 13:07
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	4	$2.9K	2,199	2,166	+33	Yes	+$741	04-19 17:14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	4	$2.8K	1,676	1,664	+12	Yes	+$292	04-25 18:05
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	5	$2.0K	1,465	1,448	+17	Yes	+$396	04-08 20:38
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	5	$1.8K	4,615	309	+4,306	No	-$1,458	04-13 19:32
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	2	$1.7K	1,220	1,220	+0	Yes	+$718	06-29 18:20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$1.3K	1,463	1,463	+0	No	-$305	05-13 04:10
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	2	$1.3K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$900	05-04 20:57
uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	8	$1.3K	1,044	1,044	+0	Yes	+$525	03-26 21:29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	2	$1.3K	847	847	+0	Yes	+$431	05-16 15:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$1.2K	4,427	0	+4,427	No	-$1,219	05-30 17:33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	3	$1.2K	1,049	1,049	+0	No	+$407	10-21 20:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$1.1K	1,396	1,396	+0	No	+$169	04-18 10:54
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?	5	$1.1K	761	761	+0	Yes	+$102	05-01 20:56
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	7	$1.1K	1,148	1,148	+0	Raptors	+$95	05-02 02:19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	3	$1.1K	877	877	+0	Yes	+$70	05-03 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 20:05 UTC	4	$1.1K	680	671	+9	Down	+$273	03-16 20:11
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	4	$1.1K	910	894	+15	Yes	+$269	04-12 17:34
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	4	$1.0K	577	577	+0	Yes	+$113	06-15 04:01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	3	$1000	1,704	0	+1,704	No	-$1,000	06-29 21:50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$959	3,095	0	+3,095	No	-$959	05-19 19:36
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-02?	4	$924	825	825	+0	Yes	+$124	05-02 14:19
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$921	663	663	+0	Yes	+$404	06-20 22:05
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	4	$900	3,131	0	+3,131	Paraguay	-$900	06-29 23:23
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$893	886	886	+0	Yes	+$276	04-12 21:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$891	540	540	+0	Yes	+$91	04-12 19:33
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$877	1,105	1,105	+0	No	+$77	04-12 19:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$861	1,424	1,424	+0	No	+$61	04-12 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:26:16	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,143	7¢	$150	0x4ff947…
10-28 11:21:23	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	6¢	$57	0xd8797e…
10-27 21:59:23	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x4ca27f…
10-27 20:25:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	136	71¢	$97	0x0d9885…
10-27 19:37:47	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe7824a…
10-27 19:37:27	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x746078…
10-27 19:35:45	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb243e6…
10-27 19:35:36	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xf451b3…
10-27 19:35:26	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0x73d45c…
10-27 19:34:59	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x1ab0a9…
10-24 18:08:33	Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xacb07e…
10-24 15:43:00	Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xaf2c6f…
10-24 15:41:51	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	78	67¢	$52	0x9e4ecc…
10-24 15:29:27	Lincoln City FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xe51a82…
10-24 13:15:51	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xae513d…
10-24 11:45:32	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	145	89¢	$129	0x9fa5b3…
10-24 11:45:05	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x7e9eb4…
10-24 11:33:15	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x2dc764…
10-23 20:52:29	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x941c9f…
10-23 20:52:17	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xbb3171…
10-23 20:50:45	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	592	8¢	$50	0xa3d451…
10-23 18:04:45	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x9a05d2…
10-22 18:38:09	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,579	6¢	$94	0xe1dc21…
10-22 17:30:06	Will FC København win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x2e5193…
10-22 17:23:41	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x301075…
10-21 20:44:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1,408	14¢	$200	0xb5e091…
10-21 20:41:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	335	16¢	$53	0xb7fb8a…
10-21 20:41:39	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	939	65¢	$610	0xddd382…
10-21 20:41:38	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0x1f8bc3…
10-21 20:36:29	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xf6425d…
10-21 20:35:17	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	1,049	77¢	$807	0x785b37…
10-21 20:08:59	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x4b75ca…
10-21 19:42:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	522	38¢	$200	0x9ead24…
10-21 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	172	99¢	$171	0x8e542b…
10-21 06:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xa38da7…
10-21 06:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x70b523…
10-21 05:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	567	18¢	$100	0x7854c2…
10-21 05:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf82c01…
10-20 19:39:14	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	103	33¢	$34	0x3bd686…
10-20 19:33:53	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x0c702a…
10-20 19:33:12	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xf628a9…
10-20 19:33:02	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xfe6d41…
10-19 20:57:15	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	278	99¢	$275	0xd3fea3…
10-19 20:22:15	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xe5287e…
10-19 20:20:48	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0xec62bb…
10-19 20:17:20	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x124165…
10-19 19:12:23	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x5c8204…
10-19 19:11:32	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x528d9f…
10-19 19:10:57	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,579	6¢	$100	0x2afcac…
10-18 20:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x57e300…
10-18 20:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8936e1…
10-18 20:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x87564b…
10-18 17:49:30	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	19¢	$90	0xd332d1…
10-18 16:46:08	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x3da466…
10-18 15:15:20	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xbd32b9…
10-18 15:15:08	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xf7cc04…
10-18 15:13:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x35ee7a…
10-18 14:41:45	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x05c1bb…
10-17 13:47:50	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	360	18¢	$63	0xbd3584…
10-17 13:45:00	next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x26c90e…
10-17 13:39:20	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0x9134c1…
10-17 13:39:12	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x5553f2…
07-19 21:52:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,269	8¢	$100	0xece447…
07-19 21:52:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	124	92¢	$114	0xa302b5…
07-19 21:43:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa1016b…
07-19 21:43:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xfd8b29…
07-19 21:32:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	584	34¢	$200	0x50813d…
07-19 20:51:15	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	506	40¢	$200	0x692fbd…
07-19 20:18:39	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,154	3¢	$30	0x0e534f…
07-19 20:18:06	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,704	3¢	$100	0xf6dc3e…
07-18 22:18:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa8010e…
07-14 20:30:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	1,351	9¢	$126	0xfacccc…
07-14 19:36:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9c04b5…
07-14 19:36:23	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	1,039	19¢	$200	0x2b4352…
07-14 19:34:29	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	256	19¢	$50	0x85bfec…
07-14 19:24:49	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x51fb06…
07-14 19:24:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x94a02c…
07-07 20:36:07	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1569cf…
06-30 09:36:47	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte3	Yes	BUY	2,151	6¢	$119	0xa2f28a…
06-30 06:16:11	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	1,083	12¢	$130	0x931876…
06-29 23:23:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	1,915	5¢	$100	0xf67694…
06-29 23:14:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x6cc7a8…
06-29 23:13:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xc7e924…
06-29 22:35:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	526	76¢	$400	0xba916e…
06-29 22:30:53	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0xc00619…
06-29 21:51:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte2	Yes	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0x55602c…
06-29 21:50:34	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x7deb3c…
06-29 21:50:10	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	571	34¢	$194	0xd50db2…
06-29 21:49:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0xd8274b…
06-29 21:48:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0xe7e198…
06-29 21:48:07	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0xf69f9b…
06-29 20:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4afb79…
06-29 19:50:43	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0x5a5bf0…
06-29 18:58:47	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	5,341	98¢	$5,234	0xcba671…
06-29 18:20:43	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2,174	46¢	$1,000	0x4f4945…
06-29 18:20:07	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	1,220	100¢	$1,218	0x78fedf…
06-29 17:51:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1,188	23¢	$273	0x01c6f2…
06-29 17:40:53	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1,724	29¢	$500	0x1aae33…
06-29 17:31:19	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	254	29¢	$74	0x5d6088…
06-29 17:18:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	1,220	41¢	$500	0x321d20…