Realized P&L
-$226
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
89.7%
Resolved
79
Trades
604
lifetime
Volume
$26.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.85K
26 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-29 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
78% 87% +$571
Sports
12% 67% -$300
Politics
9% 67% -$493
Tech
1% 75% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 328 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +778 $724 94¢ $728 +$3 10-24 00:33
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +215 $202 94¢ $201 -$1 10-21 05:48
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +132 $130 98¢ $130 -$1 10-26 12:14
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +107 $96 91¢ $97 +$1 10-21 14:51
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +96 $31 100¢ $96 +$65 10-27 19:35
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +85 $79 93¢ $80 +$0 10-22 06:47
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +81 $77 96¢ $78 +$1 10-21 03:12
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +55 $52 95¢ $52 +$0 10-21 02:09
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-26 03:33
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $28 99¢ $28 +$0 10-25 21:08
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +33 $28 84¢ $28 $0 10-23 15:47
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +25 $24 99¢ $24 +$0 10-26 17:42
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $19 78¢ $18 -$1 10-21 03:25
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 10-26 08:54
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +18 $15 90¢ $16 +$1 10-16 19:28
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $15 99¢ $15 $0 10-26 01:18
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 10-20 21:12
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +11 $11 97¢ $11 $0 10-25 18:57
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $0 10-14 01:33
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 10-25 21:45
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 10-22 00:49
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +9 $7 66¢ $6 -$1 10-14 10:34
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +58 $42 1¢ $1 -$42 10-27 18:48