Humongous-Well — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$551

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$57

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 62% +$25

Other

13% 100% +$10

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	+83	$19	38¢	$31	+$12	05-06 00:39
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	+187	$9	8¢	$16	+$6	05-05 05:20
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	+27	$10	22¢	$6	$-4	05-05 04:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	+62	$10	6¢	$4	$-6	05-05 21:35
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winner	BESTIA Academy	+22	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	05-06 00:07
LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 2 Winner	mCon esports	+21	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	05-05 19:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$34	65	+65	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$29	75	+75	open	—	05-05 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$24	45	+45	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$20	33	+33	open	—	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$20	34	+34	open	—	05-05 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$20	36	+36	open	—	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$20	37	+37	open	—	05-05 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	1	$20	39	+39	open	—	05-05 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$19	44	+44	Up	+$6	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$19	83	+83	open	—	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$15	32	+32	Down	$-15	05-05 02:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$10	62	+62	open	—	05-05 21:35
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-04 23:34
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winner	1	$10	22	+22	open	—	05-06 00:07
LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 2 Winner	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-05 19:15
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$10	27	+27	open	—	05-05 04:15
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	05-04 23:34
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	1	$10	43	+43	open	—	05-05 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	05-05 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-05 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-05 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$10	18	+18	Down	+$8	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$10	21	+21	Down	$-10	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	+$9	05-05 03:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-04 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	$-10	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-05 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$10	19	+19	Down	+$9	05-05 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0x82a4ff…
05-06 00:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x6bf6c5…
05-06 00:07:24	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winner	BESTIA Academy	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd6972a…
05-05 21:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x2d9bb8…
05-05 21:35:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4c1af5…
05-05 20:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x406082…
05-05 19:44:38	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x5488a4…
05-05 19:15:02	LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 2 Winner	mCon esports	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x100cf5…
05-05 18:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9ef098…
05-05 18:14:16	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa5546c…
05-05 13:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x18929e…
05-05 11:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x862130…
05-05 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xdc110f…
05-05 11:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x0d8d32…
05-05 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd738db…
05-05 08:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcf401a…
05-05 08:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x61f066…
05-05 08:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xdaef6d…
05-05 08:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x074305…
05-05 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x2cf26e…
05-05 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8ab223…
05-05 08:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	59¢	$20	0xaf110d…
05-05 07:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x693d48…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x07e076…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x66c8a5…
05-05 07:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x64abcf…
05-05 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xed5d0c…
05-05 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xa964a3…
05-05 06:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0xd0ce3e…
05-05 06:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x414df2…
05-05 05:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8fd498…
05-05 05:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x776564…
05-05 05:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf014cc…
05-05 05:20:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	No	BUY	187	5¢	$9	0x61b5d2…
05-05 05:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x2e7ce1…
05-05 04:15:24	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x418fb3…
05-05 03:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x09145f…
05-05 03:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x6a962b…
05-05 02:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x28d09f…
05-05 02:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdcea59…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0xf55015…
05-05 02:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x457be1…
05-05 02:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xfb627a…
05-05 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x430d97…
05-05 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfbbd9f…
05-05 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa33023…
05-05 00:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x3bae8b…
05-04 23:34:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa3e915…
05-04 23:34:36	CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x06fbcc…
05-04 23:34:36	CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xde3b5b…
05-04 23:34:36	CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xd9f59e…
05-04 23:29:24	Vila Nova FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x5a59d7…
05-04 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x9cfa19…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	32	$4.76K	168	05-06 00:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	28	$3.78K	197	05-06 00:39
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	27	$2.32K	131	05-06 00:38
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	27	$1.93K	170	05-06 00:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	26	$2.38K	134	05-06 00:39
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	26	$1.72K	152	05-06 00:39
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	23	$515	66	05-06 00:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	22	$2.84K	57	05-06 00:39