Misty-Sprinter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$596

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.3%

Resolved

325

Trades

1,264

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-28 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

68% 10% -$467

Politics

19% 2% -$59

Sports

6% 0% -$40

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

3% 0% -$18

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	10	$1.5K	750	750	+0	No	-$1	05-16 04:05
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$422	220	220	+0	open	—	05-20 06:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$320	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-08 01:50
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$256	328	328	+0	No	-$1	07-15 16:54
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	14	$188	142	142	+0	Yes	-$3	07-17 22:30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	15	$182	500	500	+0	open	—	07-16 18:49
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	18	$180	220	220	+0	open	—	07-17 22:26
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	10	$172	300	300	+0	No	-$3	07-16 16:16
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	7	$156	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-15 23:58
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	6	$152	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-14 21:08
will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	9	$137	120	120	+0	Yes	-$13	07-18 01:10
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	5	$123	41	110	-69	Yes	-$13	05-16 10:39
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	16	$122	432	432	+0	No	-$2	07-16 05:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	2	$122	100	100	+0	No	-$2	05-20 11:03
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	6	$122	66	66	+0	Yes	$0	07-17 14:51
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	5	$116	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	07-14 15:09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$116	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	07-15 14:19
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	10	$115	261	261	+0	No	-$4	07-16 23:30
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	6	$113	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-16 14:07
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	7	$110	60	60	+0	No	+$0	03-17 19:00
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	7	$108	80	80	+0	No	-$1	07-17 18:11
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	5	$106	150	150	+0	No	-$1	07-13 21:46
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	20	$105	260	260	+0	No	-$3	07-08 06:57
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	13	$104	120	120	+0	No	-$1	07-07 23:44
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	8	$99	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-16 13:53
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	5	$99	59	59	+0	Yes	$0	08-07 18:03
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	6	$98	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	08-07 17:59
Will Enzo Fernandez join Real Madrid?	5	$97	60	60	+0	No	-$2	08-07 23:01
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	5	$96	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	08-07 04:40
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$88	140	140	+0	No	-$1	07-17 22:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 07:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfe55c1…
08-28 07:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x6dd53d…
08-28 07:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x181951…
08-28 07:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x4c0703…
08-28 07:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5c362b…
08-28 07:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x18c133…
08-28 07:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x47ae16…
08-28 07:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9d219f…
08-28 07:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x7cddbb…
08-28 07:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x13b67c…
08-28 07:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf8325a…
08-28 07:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x675340…
08-28 07:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x009486…
08-28 07:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b2575…
08-27 23:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcebf4e…
08-27 21:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe3888e…
08-27 20:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xa89006…
08-27 20:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8c16a3…
08-27 19:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x19d8a2…
08-27 19:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xd752a3…
08-27 17:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x35e242…
08-27 17:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd17f9a…
08-27 16:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf97718…
08-27 15:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa6a020…
08-27 13:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfd49e6…
08-27 10:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb0a2f1…
08-27 06:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0cd008…
08-26 22:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc518b8…
08-26 22:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x226359…
08-26 18:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x30c197…
08-26 17:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2c91da…
08-26 17:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6d3393…
08-26 16:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2f9f70…
08-26 15:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x906faa…
08-26 02:05:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf5301…
08-25 22:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x99796f…
08-25 22:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x32ff99…
08-25 22:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x54573a…
08-25 17:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x02da66…
08-25 17:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe5051b…
08-25 12:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x136115…
08-25 05:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x94a346…
08-25 04:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x43d546…
08-25 04:13:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xef4044…
08-25 02:58:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xb43eff…
08-24 20:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc05b86…
08-24 20:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf64dd1…
08-24 20:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x767e01…
08-24 19:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xff3626…
08-24 19:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x544bb3…
08-24 19:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8dfdf5…
08-24 18:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xd69aaa…
08-24 17:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x6b6f1b…
08-24 17:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb8b96b…
08-24 17:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x423f62…
08-24 15:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xd52c4a…
08-24 15:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5c847e…
08-24 04:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8a56fb…
08-23 22:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5ce2f1…
08-23 21:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb2fd3e…
08-23 21:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf0e26f…
08-23 20:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbf36cb…
08-23 18:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xca07f4…
08-23 18:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x922320…
08-23 15:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6f74f3…
08-23 15:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x014b46…
08-23 14:12:10	Will ENVY Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf66b6d…
08-12 12:50:16	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.7M in July?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0x6732e2…
08-12 12:50:06	Will BNK FEARX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9c603b…
08-08 02:11:07	Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa63715…
08-08 02:10:58	over 6m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831375	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xa428dd…
08-08 02:10:46	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x415fa0…
08-08 02:10:39	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0xa1eeb3…
08-08 02:09:55	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x80c6d5…
08-08 02:09:43	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x0c54d4…
08-08 01:34:15	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x8d566b…
08-08 01:34:12	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3813ad…
08-08 01:11:13	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xa72640…
08-08 01:09:36	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0xdb581d…
08-08 00:57:22	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf12a9c…
08-08 00:50:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0xdedeef…
08-08 00:50:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x3d4fe5…
08-08 00:50:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x868214…
08-08 00:48:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xa0de1e…
08-08 00:48:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb29dfd…
08-08 00:30:49	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x659f6e…
08-08 00:29:19	over 6m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831375	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7b7e0c…
08-08 00:29:19	will erling haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x214f6b…
08-08 00:29:16	over 6m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831375	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa26f20…
08-08 00:29:15	will erling haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x797da2…
08-08 00:18:06	Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x7cc292…
08-08 00:17:58	Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x4de245…
08-08 00:17:57	Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x26565c…
08-08 00:17:54	Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xe010cb…
08-08 00:17:51	Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x3dc1d4…
08-07 23:38:25	Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x93bb4c…
08-07 23:38:22	Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x75805b…
08-07 23:36:54	will ousmane dembele finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x8e3a78…
08-07 23:36:48	will ousmane dembele finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x02323e…
08-07 23:15:46	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xea725c…