Wrong-Microphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$529

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved

455

Trades

3,571

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-30 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

56% 41% -$143

Politics

39% 50% -$286

Sports

5% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	115	$8.7K	17,184	0	+17,184	No	-$56	02-13 06:36
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	203	$8.0K	14,457	2,516	+11,942	Yes	-$346	01-18 20:03
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	44	$4.4K	7,019	2,351	+4,668	Yes	+$82	01-13 20:16
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	55	$1.9K	3,784	0	+3,784	Yes	-$100	01-25 23:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	24	$1.7K	3,540	0	+3,540	Yes	-$7	01-31 05:03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	16	$629	1,260	0	+1,260	Yes	+$1	02-03 22:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?	32	$530	531	0	+531	No	+$1	05-27 09:39
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	23	$455	933	389	+544	Yes	+$4	01-13 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	81	$300	320	310	+10	Yes	-$2	07-27 08:09
will epstein data set 9 be released before march 598	20	$200	352	0	+352	Yes	+$4	01-20 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?	76	$190	358	348	+10	No	-$11	07-27 08:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27?	56	$158	224	150	+74	Yes	-$6	07-27 17:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?	40	$146	122	118	+3	Yes	+$10	07-19 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	24	$142	98	95	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 07:29
wtfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 2pt92	4	$136	210	210	+0	Yes	-$27	01-13 20:17
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$134	200	200	+0	Yes	-$22	01-13 20:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	35	$120	138	98	+40	No	-$5	07-14 15:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 20?	25	$116	92	92	+0	No	+$7	07-20 21:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 31?	17	$114	84	74	+10	Yes	-$4	07-31 20:41
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	10	$109	210	0	+210	No	-$4	02-10 10:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?	20	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-11 14:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	44	$100	150	150	+0	Yes	+$10	07-16 15:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?	25	$97	134	62	+72	No	$0	07-27 15:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?	29	$97	119	101	+18	No	$0	07-22 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	24	$96	80	78	+2	No	+$3	07-25 06:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?	18	$93	74	74	+0	Yes	-$5	07-29 19:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	27	$89	75	75	+0	Yes	+$6	07-15 15:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?	31	$87	65	65	+0	Yes	+$5	07-12 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	19	$87	69	69	+0	Yes	+$3	07-25 07:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	45	$84	156	146	+10	No	+$0	07-15 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:58:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x7b85e6…
10-30 16:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7651fa…
10-30 15:48:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa20d9e…
10-30 15:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb55a4a…
10-30 12:28:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x18d1a3…
10-30 08:45:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x424c26…
10-30 07:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x5c7ead…
10-30 07:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x846a67…
10-30 07:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xe68c0b…
10-30 07:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x6cdf5e…
10-30 04:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x106d97…
10-30 04:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x179ab2…
10-30 04:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x40059a…
10-30 01:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xb95387…
10-29 15:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xf628df…
10-29 15:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x3302c0…
10-29 15:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x881782…
10-29 14:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x0dba66…
10-29 14:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x4d2d54…
10-29 14:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x1ba73e…
10-29 13:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xb49541…
10-29 09:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x140d01…
10-29 09:03:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xf9484b…
10-29 04:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x558e40…
10-29 04:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x1639e8…
10-29 01:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x3cec85…
10-29 01:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2089e1…
10-28 18:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2d5dfb…
10-28 16:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xff3cb4…
10-28 16:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x524cde…
10-28 15:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x31db64…
10-28 15:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x3250de…
10-28 15:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$1	0xe0a6b6…
10-28 14:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x0dc1a0…
10-28 12:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x9889aa…
10-28 11:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x417d30…
10-28 11:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xa955fa…
10-28 10:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe80471…
10-28 10:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x2572be…
10-28 09:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x51d607…
10-28 05:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xf3b196…
10-28 04:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x50e3f5…
10-28 04:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6039fb…
10-28 02:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x666502…
10-28 02:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x5d05b9…
10-28 02:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1a3100…
10-28 02:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7f8890…
10-28 01:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x859f6b…
10-28 01:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x84dc60…
10-27 15:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xff7a87…
10-27 14:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x57810a…
10-27 14:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x78a249…
10-27 11:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd349b4…
10-27 08:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x63b7fc…
10-27 05:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x27796d…
10-27 05:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x35be82…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xeea18b…
10-27 03:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xebac29…
10-27 01:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x231e7f…
10-27 01:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x376ad3…
10-27 00:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x5032b4…
10-27 00:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x5d0791…
10-26 18:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x72737e…
10-26 16:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xcdbcf0…
10-26 16:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa1a171…
10-26 14:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x0067f3…
10-26 13:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xa2be1d…
10-26 09:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x39ca32…
10-26 07:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x611898…
10-26 07:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x308121…
10-26 04:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xae32b8…
10-26 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x31c055…
10-26 01:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd09489…
10-26 00:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xdaf46e…
10-25 18:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x5e6168…
10-25 18:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcc6d22…
10-25 17:36:59	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xfb6779…
10-25 16:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb18399…
10-25 16:25:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x52824c…
10-25 16:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbdb265…
10-25 15:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd93c3c…
10-25 15:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x18a95b…
10-25 13:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xf9256c…
10-25 13:06:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x9688e7…
10-25 13:06:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3db3c4…
10-25 11:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x672843…
10-25 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb8152b…
10-25 08:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xc9fd7d…
10-25 08:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb6a5e4…
10-25 08:00:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xb7322c…
10-25 07:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x34f2c8…
10-25 05:00:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2e886a…
10-25 04:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x2d0fc5…
10-25 04:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xde4ca5…
10-25 04:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc581a9…
10-24 18:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x16866a…
10-24 17:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x086bc3…
10-24 15:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x4025cd…
10-24 13:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x2b6e50…
10-24 10:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x52bc16…