Wrong-Microphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$54

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

22.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

173

3,911 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$208

$35.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-13 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

56% 35% -$240

Politics

38% 50% -$286

Sports

5% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 13?	Yes	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	11-13 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 13?	Yes	+18	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	11-13 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 13?	Yes	+18	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	11-13 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 13?	Yes	+12	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-13 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 13?	Yes	+18	$6	0¢	$0	-$6	11-13 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 13?	Yes	+11	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-13 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on November 13?	Yes	+11	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-13 14:40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 13?	Yes	+9	$4	0¢	$0	-$3	11-13 12:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	115	$8.7K	17,184	0	+17,184	No	-$56	02-13 06:36
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	203	$8.0K	14,457	2,516	+11,942	Yes	-$346	01-18 20:03
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	44	$4.4K	7,019	2,351	+4,668	Yes	+$82	01-13 20:16
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	55	$1.9K	3,784	0	+3,784	Yes	-$100	01-25 23:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	24	$1.7K	3,540	0	+3,540	Yes	-$7	01-31 05:03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	16	$629	1,260	0	+1,260	Yes	+$1	02-03 22:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?	32	$530	531	0	+531	No	+$1	05-27 09:39
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	23	$455	933	389	+544	Yes	+$4	01-13 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	81	$300	320	310	+10	Yes	-$2	07-27 08:09
will epstein data set 9 be released before march 598	20	$200	352	0	+352	Yes	+$4	01-20 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?	76	$190	358	348	+10	No	-$11	07-27 08:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27?	56	$158	224	150	+74	Yes	-$6	07-27 17:52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?	40	$146	122	118	+3	Yes	+$10	07-19 21:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	24	$142	98	95	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 07:29
wtfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 2pt92	4	$136	210	210	+0	Yes	-$27	01-13 20:17
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$134	200	200	+0	Yes	-$22	01-13 20:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	35	$120	138	98	+40	No	-$5	07-14 15:49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 20?	25	$116	92	92	+0	No	+$7	07-20 21:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 31?	17	$114	84	74	+10	Yes	-$4	07-31 20:41
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	10	$109	210	0	+210	No	-$4	02-10 10:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?	20	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-11 14:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?	44	$100	150	150	+0	Yes	+$10	07-16 15:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?	25	$97	134	62	+72	No	$0	07-27 15:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?	29	$97	119	101	+18	No	$0	07-22 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	24	$96	80	78	+2	No	+$3	07-25 06:47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?	18	$93	74	74	+0	Yes	-$5	07-29 19:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	27	$89	75	75	+0	Yes	+$6	07-15 15:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?	31	$87	65	65	+0	Yes	+$5	07-12 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?	19	$87	69	69	+0	Yes	+$3	07-25 07:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	45	$84	156	146	+10	No	+$0	07-15 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 17:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfbae1d…
11-13 16:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8c5809…
11-13 16:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x65a002…
11-13 15:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb071cc…
11-13 15:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb4f7ab…
11-13 14:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x08d48c…
11-13 14:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x53225c…
11-13 12:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ae45d…
11-13 12:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xbd4135…
11-13 12:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xf39e76…
11-13 11:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x5bd76b…
11-13 10:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7262bd…
11-13 09:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xd1a2e1…
11-13 07:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xfc9e56…
11-13 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x69fd74…
11-13 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x42a601…
11-13 06:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x81a000…
11-13 06:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4131a0…
11-13 03:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xc2860d…
11-13 02:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x61dfcf…
11-12 19:02:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x04ef95…
11-12 17:02:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x4cbccb…
11-12 16:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xe1c1d9…
11-12 16:02:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x86f165…
11-12 15:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc89854…
11-12 15:05:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc3bf14…
11-12 15:05:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1ea5da…
11-12 15:05:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x8267d8…
11-12 15:05:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x4c8bff…
11-12 15:05:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x36fcbd…
11-12 15:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6ea13d…
11-12 15:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x5d86db…
11-12 15:01:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf75f7f…
11-12 15:01:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x23d719…
11-12 15:01:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbfb93c…
11-12 14:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xd6479c…
11-12 13:55:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4ded62…
11-12 13:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6df472…
11-12 12:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe81a0c…
11-12 12:01:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x552ffc…
11-12 10:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe05716…
11-12 06:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x15fb92…
11-12 04:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8c3fd1…
11-12 02:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x95290c…
11-12 01:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xabc4d4…
11-12 01:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xfea2c1…
11-12 01:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x013824…
11-11 19:08:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbd7fd5…
11-11 18:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8d0339…
11-11 18:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4b3f96…
11-11 18:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x49ae16…
11-11 18:14:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2f662d…
11-11 17:57:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xee94be…
11-11 17:57:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x671ed4…
11-11 17:00:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe649ef…
11-11 16:52:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xdd5748…
11-11 16:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xd5237a…
11-11 16:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6a5c94…
11-11 16:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb0583f…
11-11 16:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x0fde46…
11-11 16:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x611e24…
11-11 15:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x001b54…
11-11 14:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x70cd81…
11-11 13:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x852507…
11-11 11:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd20f0b…
11-11 10:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb79ee1…
11-11 09:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3d6191…
11-11 07:29:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x765ba5…
11-10 19:57:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0854d0…
11-10 19:00:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x96585b…
11-10 17:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x48a41d…
11-10 17:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd912df…
11-10 17:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x523f81…
11-10 17:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x956d45…
11-10 17:07:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x21b3f7…
11-10 15:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9cdb5d…
11-10 12:07:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x65614f…
11-10 11:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0be2e1…
11-10 10:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x30cead…
11-10 09:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc61e31…
11-10 06:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x0d9825…
11-10 06:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x485ca3…
11-10 04:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xebc125…
11-10 04:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7d39f6…
11-10 04:39:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6c3288…
11-10 01:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x0e57b3…
11-10 00:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0649fe…
11-09 19:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x8c20bc…
11-09 18:16:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xf73a18…
11-09 18:16:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf28915…
11-09 18:16:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x19b3d2…
11-09 18:16:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x090e7e…
11-09 18:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd3b24c…
11-09 18:02:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c5e0f…
11-09 18:02:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x72d0c3…
11-09 18:01:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xddaba2…
11-09 18:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xfe7cf6…
11-09 17:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x0fd798…
11-09 17:04:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x291e12…
11-09 16:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x27d5b0…