Sneaky-Child — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$1.03K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 06-09 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$10

Crypto

42% 100% +$79

Tech

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No		+1,419	$1,003	72¢	$1.0K	+$26	06-08 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	4	$1.0K	1,419	0	+1,419	open	—	06-08 10:17
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	4	$995	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 23:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$961	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 17:09
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	6	$594	601	0	+601	open	—	04-27 10:26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	7	$486	300	300	+0	open	—	04-30 00:03
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 70 71f	7	$482	245	245	+0	open	—	04-12 18:28
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 78 79f	4	$441	444	0	+444	open	—	04-04 17:43
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	9	$420	250	250	+0	open	—	04-29 13:46
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$392	400	0	+400	open	—	04-29 22:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$388	240	240	+0	open	—	04-07 22:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$353	300	150	+150	open	—	04-17 19:30
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	2	$341	358	0	+358	open	—	06-08 11:54
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$339	353	0	+353	No	+$13	04-14 19:27
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$334	200	198	+2	open	—	05-04 13:43
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$317	331	0	+331	open	—	03-31 19:20
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	3	$307	316	0	+316	open	—	04-12 15:29
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$298	300	0	+300	open	—	05-03 16:20
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 17:09
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	04-27 23:42
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$294	300	0	+300	Yes	+$6	04-13 17:44
highest temperature in dallas on april 16 2026 88 89f	1	$290	293	0	+293	open	—	04-16 22:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	05-02 23:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 20:16
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 80 81f	7	$264	274	0	+274	open	—	04-01 18:01
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	6	$257	267	0	+267	open	—	05-18 02:18
highest temperature in dallas on april 5 2026 74forhigher	1	$209	213	0	+213	open	—	04-05 18:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 23:55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	4	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	04-28 00:44
highest temperature in moscow on april 15 2026 10c	4	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-16 12:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$196	201	0	+201	open	—	04-26 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:25:52	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x7e5f22…
06-08 11:54:24	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xbaf560…
06-08 10:20:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xa80323…
06-08 10:17:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x5e0b7a…
06-08 10:15:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x098838…
06-08 10:14:37	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	298	95¢	$283	0x6a93f3…
06-08 10:08:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0e52ed…
06-07 22:16:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	681	70¢	$477	0x31a4de…
06-07 19:10:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x44c29e…
05-31 20:23:01	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xad468d…
05-31 20:15:22	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x11521d…
05-31 14:03:17	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x0fd4fd…
05-31 13:34:07	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x41f9cf…
05-28 16:37:58	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0xa08da7…
05-27 17:28:51	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x9b8fef…
05-25 01:58:51	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3b57ae…
05-24 23:25:02	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xdaa4bf…
05-24 23:18:07	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x766ec5…
05-24 22:59:13	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	483	100¢	$483	0x744739…
05-24 22:57:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x931ea4…
05-24 18:34:49	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa5a21d…
05-24 11:39:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x4c8297…
05-22 20:18:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x0941c9…
05-22 04:03:01	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa1bd28…
05-21 20:16:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x85c09e…
05-21 06:37:53	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0xa4464a…
05-19 17:05:31	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1d7694…
05-19 17:05:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x046444…
05-19 16:55:50	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xab17ee…
05-18 02:18:45	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x12ee50…
05-18 02:00:54	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x8a6742…
05-17 23:49:33	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xdd1593…
05-17 23:34:37	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5414d0…
05-17 18:34:21	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xc6c3a0…
05-17 18:31:35	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xb92ed8…
05-17 18:26:29	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x81b896…
05-17 18:21:22	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0x99b69e…
05-17 18:17:45	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x422c0a…
05-17 17:54:57	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xee9713…
05-16 13:17:28	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x80ea10…
05-16 13:03:07	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x383606…
05-16 12:13:08	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf813ed…
05-16 12:12:52	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x53d384…
05-16 11:50:31	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x732065…
05-13 15:43:38	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xf341ad…
05-13 15:39:00	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x70681d…
05-11 00:01:54	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xb481b4…
05-10 21:03:04	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	76	76¢	$58	0xc63484…
05-10 19:32:20	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x0b6850…
05-10 15:46:39	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x8ee12d…
05-10 15:42:06	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x90ffca…
05-07 17:36:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	61	92¢	$56	0xcbbb90…
05-07 16:35:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x86e8c6…
05-07 16:35:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x52d0cb…
05-07 16:27:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x939649…
05-07 16:24:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xaece43…
05-07 16:24:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x3b47ff…
05-07 16:20:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x60d2e7…
05-07 16:20:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x5b5aff…
05-07 16:20:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5109e0…
05-07 16:10:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x611eba…
05-07 16:09:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x0e13ab…
05-05 23:27:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xd1a785…
05-05 23:27:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x3322b8…
05-05 23:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0xb633b9…
05-05 23:18:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	81	61¢	$49	0x02ede7…
05-05 23:13:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0x91e3a6…
05-05 23:11:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x00c21d…
05-05 23:04:06	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x9a2394…
05-04 13:43:14	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb9bba1…
05-03 16:20:08	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	277	99¢	$275	0x4d5add…
05-03 16:09:02	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xfeaf94…
05-03 13:02:58	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x009a1b…
05-03 07:39:08	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xa71e44…
05-03 07:11:04	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x2c321d…
05-02 23:03:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x09b33d…
04-30 17:09:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$480	0x357378…
04-30 17:01:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0x5ee264…
04-30 00:03:26	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1fd386…
04-30 00:01:12	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	145	94¢	$136	0x802df5…
04-29 23:37:58	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	150	93¢	$140	0xb10e52…
04-29 22:50:44	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa3a8a9…
04-29 13:46:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	97¢	$103	0x89213f…
04-29 13:27:20	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xd87064…
04-29 13:14:18	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0xd01f24…
04-29 12:59:48	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x8c0e71…
04-29 12:40:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x21d834…
04-29 12:40:18	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xe47a64…
04-29 12:37:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0xf49607…
04-29 12:37:28	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x62988e…
04-29 12:36:16	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x9d8428…
04-28 15:55:06	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd397f5…
04-28 15:48:30	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x4a4989…
04-28 15:19:20	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8ffc96…
04-28 10:54:20	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	85	74¢	$63	0x8a4901…
04-28 10:32:52	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x8d83a6…
04-28 00:44:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd2dc8…
04-28 00:31:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x533d5d…
04-28 00:27:48	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xf00355…
04-28 00:19:44	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x511d80…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	83	$65.5K	7,279	04-25 08:30
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b	71	$2.04K	689	06-01 11:50
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	68	$94.9K	7,644	06-01 04:27
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	67	$354.8K	6,506	06-09 20:07
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	65	$3.72K	453	06-08 12:00
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	62	$57.6K	5,837	06-08 12:01
Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd	61	$4.41K	1,979	04-20 20:46
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	60	$209.7K	13,351	06-09 20:07