Sneaky-Child — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

+$39

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

582

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$1.02K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-19 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$10

Crypto

38% 100% +$79

Tech

12% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,120	$986	92¢	$1.0K	+$39	07-01 21:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	19	$2.0K	1,419	1,419	+0	open	—	06-12 10:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	31	$1.4K	701	701	+0	open	—	07-02 17:38
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	2	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	06-15 11:43
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	4	$995	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 23:18
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	7	$993	1,007	0	+1,007	open	—	06-25 02:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$986	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	07-01 21:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$961	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 17:09
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	2	$685	700	0	+700	open	—	06-12 16:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 16 22	2	$669	673	0	+673	open	—	06-22 10:24
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	6	$594	601	0	+601	open	—	04-27 10:26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	7	$486	300	300	+0	open	—	04-30 00:03
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	7	$482	410	307	+103	open	—	07-15 20:56
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 70 71f	7	$482	245	245	+0	open	—	04-12 18:28
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 78 79f	4	$441	444	0	+444	open	—	04-04 17:43
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	9	$420	250	250	+0	open	—	04-29 13:46
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$392	400	0	+400	open	—	04-29 22:50
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	2	$391	400	0	+400	open	—	06-27 13:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$388	240	240	+0	open	—	04-07 22:35
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	2	$362	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 17:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$353	300	150	+150	open	—	04-17 19:30
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	7	$343	355	0	+355	open	—	07-05 20:42
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	2	$341	358	0	+358	open	—	06-08 11:54
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$339	353	0	+353	No	+$13	04-14 19:27
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$334	200	198	+2	open	—	05-04 13:43
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$317	331	0	+331	open	—	03-31 19:20
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	3	$307	316	0	+316	open	—	04-12 15:29
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$298	300	0	+300	open	—	05-03 16:20
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 17:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	4	$295	300	0	+300	open	—	07-06 11:04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	04-27 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:58:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf05d07…
07-19 21:57:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x45d1e4…
07-19 10:31:18	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1e6130…
07-18 22:55:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	22	70¢	$16	0xd2d495…
07-18 22:54:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x8f846c…
07-18 22:51:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x39cadd…
07-18 22:21:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0x7c26b4…
07-18 22:21:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0x68d9e8…
07-18 22:14:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x17a224…
07-18 22:12:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xebc8b0…
07-18 21:45:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xb931c7…
07-18 19:36:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x826d8e…
07-18 09:39:40	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0xbd9578…
07-17 16:36:31	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 14 20	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xcfed27…
07-15 20:56:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	102	95¢	$98	0x47e597…
07-15 20:54:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0x814487…
07-15 20:54:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x105f37…
07-15 20:54:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	37	95¢	$36	0x13284a…
07-15 13:15:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	110	46¢	$51	0x392d6b…
07-14 21:27:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x37cacf…
07-14 20:35:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x54af95…
07-13 23:25:05	btc updown 5m 1783985100	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xa0fd88…
07-13 23:25:05	btc updown 5m 1783985100	Down	BUY	162	51¢	$83	0x93d24c…
07-13 23:25:05	btc updown 5m 1783985100	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x1bece7…
07-13 23:25:05	btc updown 5m 1783985100	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x0a5291…
07-13 23:20:32	btc updown 5m 1783984800	Down	BUY	188	50¢	$94	0xcfae88…
07-13 23:20:08	btc updown 5m 1783984800	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcea68a…
07-13 23:20:08	btc updown 5m 1783984800	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xb7d88c…
07-13 23:20:08	btc updown 5m 1783984800	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x7ab38a…
07-13 23:20:08	btc updown 5m 1783984800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1d8e0f…
07-13 23:15:22	btc updown 5m 1783984500	Down	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0xad7307…
07-13 23:15:20	btc updown 5m 1783984500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc180e3…
07-13 23:09:56	btc updown 5m 1783984200	Down	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x7d32b1…
07-13 23:05:04	btc updown 5m 1783983900	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x94ed30…
07-13 23:05:01	btc updown 5m 1783983900	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x82c0a7…
07-13 23:05:01	btc updown 5m 1783983900	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3b16ae…
07-13 23:05:01	btc updown 5m 1783983900	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x08d7f6…
07-13 22:58:49	btc updown 5m 1783983600	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x0aaf0f…
07-08 21:17:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x7fd9cc…
07-07 15:43:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x9b5717…
07-06 23:31:40	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x249940…
07-06 17:17:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	109	95¢	$104	0x155c86…
07-06 11:04:23	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xab5227…
07-05 20:42:26	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x63a498…
07-05 16:44:32	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xcc797d…
07-05 12:54:14	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x1a3f29…
07-05 12:45:38	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x0b2cb2…
07-05 12:30:52	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x58eaec…
07-05 12:30:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbf6883…
07-05 11:43:08	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe04ef5…
07-04 02:50:40	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	94	92¢	$86	0xf29776…
07-03 21:02:56	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd9cead…
07-03 12:03:11	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 30 july 6	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa99b11…
07-02 17:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xeea09c…
07-02 17:22:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1fc5a4…
07-02 17:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x373332…
07-02 17:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3e2045…
07-02 17:08:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdfdac2…
07-02 17:08:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x80bd8f…
07-02 17:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7f2475…
07-02 17:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3601ad…
07-02 16:47:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb1ff0d…
07-02 16:47:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef2068…
07-02 16:40:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x570d1b…
07-02 16:22:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9bbde4…
07-02 16:22:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x63b910…
07-02 16:21:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x40c454…
07-02 16:21:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x950d0a…
07-02 16:20:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xff2303…
07-02 16:13:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0xb10901…
07-02 16:08:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd27423…
07-02 16:07:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfa73d0…
07-02 16:07:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfa4962…
07-02 16:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a94d8…
07-02 16:04:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe04338…
07-02 15:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x576057…
07-02 15:48:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc967ad…
07-02 15:48:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x640aa6…
07-02 15:38:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x568de6…
07-02 15:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x427539…
07-02 15:38:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe1bcfd…
07-02 15:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x630b17…
07-01 21:40:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,120	88¢	$986	0xe5a874…
07-01 18:03:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x11d4bc…
06-30 15:28:49	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa084d…
06-30 15:06:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xb67b0a…
06-30 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x011a31…
06-29 21:41:35	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x1fe0cf…
06-28 11:54:10	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x6a6696…
06-27 13:25:34	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x8291c1…
06-27 12:33:11	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x36967f…
06-26 10:07:58	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	55	79¢	$43	0x7e81d8…
06-25 22:09:01	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf9b326…
06-25 21:29:20	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc1f0a3…
06-25 19:38:35	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	12¢	$7	0x22f429…
06-25 02:17:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x4d592f…
06-25 01:24:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x503575…
06-25 01:24:26	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x066a6e…
06-24 18:53:04	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x4969bb…
06-24 17:09:28	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x696e47…