Sneaky-Child — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

499

lifetime

Volume

$26.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$1.68K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-01 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$10

Crypto

38% 100% +$79

Tech

13% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,120	$986	88¢	$980	$-6	07-01 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+701	$698	100¢	$699	+$0	07-01 18:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	19	$2.0K	1,419	1,419	+0	open	—	06-12 10:20
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	2	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	06-15 11:43
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	4	$995	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 23:18
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	7	$993	1,007	0	+1,007	open	—	06-25 02:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$986	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	07-01 21:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$961	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 17:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$698	701	0	+701	open	—	07-01 18:03
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	2	$685	700	0	+700	open	—	06-12 16:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 16 22	2	$669	673	0	+673	open	—	06-22 10:24
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	6	$594	601	0	+601	open	—	04-27 10:26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	7	$486	300	300	+0	open	—	04-30 00:03
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 70 71f	7	$482	245	245	+0	open	—	04-12 18:28
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 78 79f	4	$441	444	0	+444	open	—	04-04 17:43
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	9	$420	250	250	+0	open	—	04-29 13:46
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$392	400	0	+400	open	—	04-29 22:50
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	2	$391	400	0	+400	open	—	06-27 13:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$388	240	240	+0	open	—	04-07 22:35
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	2	$362	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 17:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$353	300	150	+150	open	—	04-17 19:30
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	2	$341	358	0	+358	open	—	06-08 11:54
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$339	353	0	+353	No	+$13	04-14 19:27
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$334	200	198	+2	open	—	05-04 13:43
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$317	331	0	+331	open	—	03-31 19:20
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	3	$307	316	0	+316	open	—	04-12 15:29
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$298	300	0	+300	open	—	05-03 16:20
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$296	300	0	+300	open	—	04-13 17:09
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	04-27 23:42
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$294	300	0	+300	Yes	+$6	04-13 17:44
highest temperature in dallas on april 16 2026 88 89f	1	$290	293	0	+293	open	—	04-16 22:28
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	3	$289	300	0	+300	open	—	06-12 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:40:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,120	88¢	$986	0xe5a874…
07-01 18:03:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x11d4bc…
06-30 15:28:49	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa084d…
06-30 15:06:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xb67b0a…
06-30 10:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x011a31…
06-29 21:41:35	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x1fe0cf…
06-28 11:54:10	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x6a6696…
06-27 13:25:34	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x8291c1…
06-27 12:33:11	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x36967f…
06-26 10:07:58	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	55	79¢	$43	0x7e81d8…
06-25 22:09:01	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf9b326…
06-25 21:29:20	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc1f0a3…
06-25 19:38:35	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	12¢	$7	0x22f429…
06-25 02:17:22	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x4d592f…
06-25 01:24:37	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x503575…
06-25 01:24:26	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x066a6e…
06-24 18:53:04	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x4969bb…
06-24 17:09:28	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 23 29	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x696e47…
06-24 14:36:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xf3ff4e…
06-24 14:34:07	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x723d76…
06-23 22:15:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	192	98¢	$187	0x24c1d1…
06-23 21:05:17	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xa8cefa…
06-23 20:46:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x957c4b…
06-22 18:57:46	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x35effa…
06-22 18:32:26	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa57aa2…
06-22 18:31:44	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0xce5873…
06-22 18:25:22	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x21268d…
06-22 10:24:08	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 16 22	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xd3744d…
06-22 10:21:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 16 22	Yes	BUY	173	99¢	$172	0x0fc282…
06-22 09:57:05	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 16 22	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xa927f7…
06-21 23:58:28	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x77f98d…
06-21 22:33:44	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xd25419…
06-21 22:04:29	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$0	0xceda8d…
06-20 20:51:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x01f997…
06-20 19:48:22	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x610f37…
06-19 20:45:14	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x5ed01f…
06-18 17:31:52	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x66d2ed…
06-18 17:27:16	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x64787e…
06-18 17:18:53	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x65a6eb…
06-15 11:43:04	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7b902b…
06-15 11:33:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x0771e5…
06-15 10:38:55	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	71	91¢	$64	0x87e967…
06-15 09:08:37	will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x26b36c…
06-14 23:18:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x9f0494…
06-14 23:16:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa0592b…
06-12 16:55:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x1e1021…
06-12 15:45:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x030834…
06-12 11:06:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	192	96¢	$183	0x7390e5…
06-12 10:40:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xa25940…
06-12 10:22:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	200	95¢	$189	0xcb5ed1…
06-12 10:20:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	111	61¢	$68	0xe3c678…
06-12 10:19:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa81c44…
06-12 10:06:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xf3ef4f…
06-12 09:58:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0xde2b80…
06-12 09:56:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xfe89d9…
06-12 09:54:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xe83c43…
06-12 09:54:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa67aa6…
06-12 09:53:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xee79b5…
06-12 09:52:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf91b33…
06-12 09:48:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xf543e1…
06-12 09:45:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x7f6217…
06-11 22:06:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x43b8cd…
06-11 21:52:48	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x58433c…
06-11 17:18:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x24d5e6…
06-11 17:14:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	300	70¢	$210	0x25ae59…
06-11 17:03:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x40aafd…
06-11 15:26:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	419	74¢	$310	0xf4a830…
06-10 22:27:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x65bec1…
06-09 16:25:52	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x7e5f22…
06-08 11:54:24	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xbaf560…
06-08 10:20:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xa80323…
06-08 10:17:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x5e0b7a…
06-08 10:15:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x098838…
06-08 10:14:37	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	298	95¢	$283	0x6a93f3…
06-08 10:08:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0e52ed…
06-07 22:16:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	681	70¢	$477	0x31a4de…
06-07 19:10:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x44c29e…
05-31 20:23:01	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xad468d…
05-31 20:15:22	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x11521d…
05-31 14:03:17	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x0fd4fd…
05-31 13:34:07	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x41f9cf…
05-28 16:37:58	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0xa08da7…
05-27 17:28:51	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x9b8fef…
05-25 01:58:51	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3b57ae…
05-24 23:25:02	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xdaa4bf…
05-24 23:18:07	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x766ec5…
05-24 22:59:13	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	483	100¢	$483	0x744739…
05-24 22:57:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x931ea4…
05-24 18:34:49	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa5a21d…
05-24 11:39:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x4c8297…
05-22 20:18:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x0941c9…
05-22 04:03:01	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa1bd28…
05-21 20:16:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x85c09e…
05-21 06:37:53	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0xa4464a…
05-19 17:05:31	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1d7694…
05-19 17:05:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x046444…
05-19 16:55:50	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xab17ee…
05-18 02:18:45	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x12ee50…
05-18 02:00:54	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x8a6742…
05-17 23:49:33	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xdd1593…