Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$175

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 11-03 09:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

68% 67% +$43

Other

13% — —

Tech

13% 0% -$23

Crypto

6% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+22	$1	3¢	$1	$0	10-25 03:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	11-03 09:08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+11	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	10-27 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$68	56	56	+0	Yes	+$44	10-26 01:36
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$21	1,037	1,037	+0	open	—	11-02 17:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$20	141	0	+141	No	-$20	10-26 01:45
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$7	10-26 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$10	10-26 05:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	10-26 01:55
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	2	$8	114	0	+114	El-Sayed	-$8	10-26 04:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$8	100	0	+100	open	—	10-26 02:04
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	1	$8	52	0	+52	open	—	11-02 17:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	10-27 02:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	10-25 02:53
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	11-03 09:08
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	10-25 15:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$1	22	0	+22	open	—	10-25 03:35
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	11-02 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:08:40	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa0fd6b…
11-02 19:26:55	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x17e5cf…
11-02 17:36:00	Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x1c248a…
11-02 17:27:58	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	1,037	1¢	$11	0xa5debe…
10-27 02:47:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x6b8c9e…
10-26 05:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x079e28…
10-26 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x539db2…
10-26 04:24:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	1,037	1¢	$10	0x356243…
10-26 04:13:11	Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	Rogers	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x0d698a…
10-26 02:04:53	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2f14e1…
10-26 01:55:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x3e04f1…
10-26 01:45:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	14¢	$20	0x486d4c…
10-26 01:36:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xe79b24…
10-26 01:34:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0xa55179…
10-25 20:07:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7aa856…
10-25 20:00:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x923080…
10-25 19:22:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdfe355…
10-25 18:12:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5d813a…
10-25 15:45:50	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1aea83…
10-25 14:39:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x271c4a…
10-25 14:02:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4ec9b9…
10-25 13:51:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x4cf7e0…
10-25 03:35:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x8fd31d…
10-25 03:22:26	Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	Rogers	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc134b1…
10-25 02:53:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x79be42…