Simplistic-Cappelletti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$175

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-15 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

47% 100% +$180

Other

44% 0% $-90

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	2	$1.4K	862	858	+4	open	—	03-22 03:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$1.2K	697	693	+4	open	—	04-21 22:19
will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$1.2K	1,238	0	+1,238	open	—	04-12 20:31
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	24	$1.1K	627	627	+0	open	—	05-27 00:42
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$1.0K	528	528	+0	Sabres	+$28	05-07 01:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$930	850	350	+500	open	—	04-22 00:45
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$867	1,172	0	+1,172	open	—	04-05 02:05
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	2	$723	400	400	+0	open	—	04-22 00:12
nba por sas 2026 04 21	2	$680	915	0	+915	open	—	04-22 01:31
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$660	579	579	+0	open	—	06-15 16:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$660	100,000	70,000	+30,000	open	—	06-02 19:15
mlb sea bal 2026 06 09	1	$656	841	0	+841	open	—	06-10 00:16
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$623	636	0	+636	Knicks	+$13	05-07 01:46
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$500	877	0	+877	open	—	05-27 00:59
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	1	$490	505	0	+505	open	—	06-10 19:14
will there be 1 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	3	$480	800	0	+800	open	—	03-19 14:13
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$459	533	0	+533	Pistons	+$75	05-06 00:29
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$303	440	0	+440	open	—	05-24 00:46
cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21	1	$300	769	0	+769	open	—	03-22 00:59
mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	1	$300	314	0	+314	open	—	06-10 19:13
btc updown 5m 1780687500	3	$300	2,498	0	+2,498	open	—	06-05 19:28
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$300	365	0	+365	Atlanta Braves	+$65	05-06 03:59
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$287	667	0	+667	open	—	06-09 02:21
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	1	$284	323	0	+323	open	—	04-21 22:23
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	3	$204	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	05-28 21:29
mlb mil oak 2026 06 09	1	$200	233	0	+233	open	—	06-10 04:34
mlb wsh sf 2026 06 09	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	06-10 04:34
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	2	$188	250	250	+0	open	—	06-12 02:43
mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	2	$137	175	175	+0	open	—	06-10 05:24
btc updown 5m 1781069100	2	$110	476	476	+0	open	—	06-10 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 16:12:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	579	68¢	$394	0x3b1d8d…
06-12 02:43:21	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	SELL	250	24¢	$60	0xaf696b…
06-12 01:01:12	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0x33a108…
06-10 19:14:09	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	505	97¢	$490	0x75b28c…
06-10 19:13:37	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	314	96¢	$300	0x85fddf…
06-10 05:32:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	579	46¢	$266	0xcfce77…
06-10 05:28:13	btc updown 5m 1781069100	Down	SELL	476	2¢	$10	0xc3af9b…
06-10 05:26:49	btc updown 5m 1781069100	Down	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x28f0d6…
06-10 05:24:57	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	SELL	175	21¢	$37	0xe58d32…
06-10 04:42:00	btc updown 5m 1781066400	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xe018e8…
06-10 04:36:37	btc updown 5m 1781066100	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf500fd…
06-10 04:34:48	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 09	Washington Nationals	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x2dfa87…
06-10 04:34:16	mlb mil oak 2026 06 09	Athletics	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xbf5182…
06-10 04:33:51	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	San Diego Padres	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x08538c…
06-10 00:16:49	mlb sea bal 2026 06 09	Seattle Mariners	BUY	841	78¢	$656	0xd31e00…
06-09 02:21:19	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	667	43¢	$287	0x73c628…
06-05 19:28:15	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	1,913	5¢	$100	0xc9c473…
06-05 19:26:19	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	381	26¢	$100	0xdb5ef7…
06-05 19:24:46	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x26ea0c…
06-03 19:56:03	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	526	4¢	$21	0x7e3f84…
06-03 19:49:04	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x639438…
06-03 19:48:58	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe091d8…
06-03 19:48:52	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x5921d2…
06-03 19:45:48	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x12679a…
06-03 19:37:37	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1a751d…
06-03 19:32:24	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x5fcc54…
06-03 19:30:03	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8f1cda…
06-03 19:25:43	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd1d204…
06-03 19:15:46	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x655035…
06-02 19:15:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70,000	1¢	$560	0x524974…
06-01 17:58:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x536e49…
06-01 17:56:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x26af8a…
05-28 21:29:00	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,566	5¢	$182	0x9bf502…
05-28 21:29:00	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	430	5¢	$22	0x4962d2…
05-28 21:20:23	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x7fd85f…
05-27 00:59:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x681cc6…
05-27 00:42:45	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x6d7cf3…
05-27 00:40:26	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe2bd35…
05-27 00:40:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xbe9070…
05-27 00:40:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x988e50…
05-27 00:40:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x8a1fc4…
05-27 00:40:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x626a09…
05-27 00:40:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x2dc7c4…
05-27 00:40:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x1f29e7…
05-27 00:40:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	201	95¢	$191	0x19bb66…
05-27 00:40:23	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0xb6696e…
05-27 00:40:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc630b0…
05-27 00:40:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x896bc1…
05-27 00:40:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	84	95¢	$80	0x82ec8f…
05-27 00:40:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x648548…
05-27 00:39:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x10a921…
05-27 00:39:09	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xca7260…
05-27 00:38:59	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x616241…
05-27 00:38:29	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x073d99…
05-27 00:38:27	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x6f0ebd…
05-27 00:38:01	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1c19b2…
05-27 00:37:49	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc25219…
05-27 00:37:38	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x15e003…
05-27 00:36:25	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbd19cf…
05-26 23:46:27	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	627	74¢	$464	0xb7cadd…
05-24 00:46:21	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	440	69¢	$303	0x670c9c…
05-07 01:46:40	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	636	98¢	$623	0x2a431a…
05-07 01:42:19	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	SELL	528	100¢	$528	0xc67b38…
05-07 01:13:55	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0xa8e6f0…
05-06 03:59:48	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	365	82¢	$300	0x731e75…
05-06 00:29:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	533	86¢	$459	0xc9fef5…
05-05 20:15:10	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	935	3¢	$28	0x262449…
05-05 20:15:08	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb25901…
05-05 20:15:08	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0x878a89…
05-05 20:15:08	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0edd62…
05-05 20:15:06	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa85ddc…
05-05 20:15:06	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	206	3¢	$6	0xa50873…
05-05 20:15:06	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0x30768f…
05-05 20:15:06	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0c0f74…
05-05 20:15:04	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,511	3¢	$45	0x9312e3…
05-05 20:15:04	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x40a576…
04-22 01:31:58	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Spurs	BUY	361	78¢	$281	0x70de4b…
04-22 00:45:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	350	81¢	$284	0xdc2ced…
04-22 00:16:30	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Spurs	BUY	554	72¢	$399	0x6015de…
04-22 00:12:38	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x42ff47…
04-21 22:23:52	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	323	88¢	$284	0xd2a801…
04-21 22:23:10	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0x5067ce…
04-21 22:19:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	693	88¢	$611	0xf725c9…
04-14 17:22:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	697	85¢	$592	0xd4dac6…
04-14 17:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	850	76¢	$646	0xf7da71…
04-12 20:31:55	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,072	94¢	$1,006	0xc0fa1b…
04-12 20:31:47	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x5d0631…
04-12 20:31:13	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xf3d9df…
04-05 02:05:07	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x6002ba…
04-05 02:04:41	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	1,149	74¢	$850	0x331a74…
03-22 03:32:05	cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	Nebraska Cornhuskers	SELL	858	100¢	$858	0x963e5a…
03-22 01:12:43	cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	Nebraska Cornhuskers	BUY	862	58¢	$500	0x9ec095…
03-22 00:59:25	cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21	Gonzaga Bulldogs	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0x24f34e…
03-19 14:13:27	will there be 1 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe2267d…
03-19 14:12:45	will there be 1 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	280	60¢	$168	0x100484…
03-19 14:11:53	will there be 1 buzzer beaters during the 2026 mens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x73b109…
03-05 20:01:53	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	No	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xdadd61…