Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$629

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-28 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

66% 47% +$13

Politics

34% 73% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-15	-$12	82¢	$-13	$0	07-15 21:10
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$10	68¢	$11	+$1	10-21 11:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+15	$10	36¢	$6	-$4	08-30 19:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 15 2026	2	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	08-29 13:30
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-09 22:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	10-21 20:31
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$18	22	22	+0	Yes	-$2	04-27 16:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$18	15	15	+0	No	-$2	08-28 14:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$12	0	15	-15	open	—	07-15 21:10
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	2	$11	88	88	+0	Yes	-$9	08-31 20:13
Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 22?	1	$10	60	0	+60	No	-$10	10-21 13:32
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	3	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	08-28 16:43
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?	1	$10	53	0	+53	Yes	+$43	08-28 17:06
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	4	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	09-09 06:41
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on August 31, 2026?	3	$10	90	0	+90	No	-$10	08-29 07:25
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	-$10	08-28 07:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	08-30 21:36
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	+$9	08-29 06:58
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	2	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	10-20 17:39
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	10-20 21:15
will us gas price be between 4pt24 and 4pt25 on october 22 2026	1	$10	91	0	+91	No	-$10	10-22 01:44
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	11	$10	11	0	+11	No	-$10	08-30 14:56
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?	4	$10	30	0	+30	Yes	+$20	08-29 11:37
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	-$10	08-30 16:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$10	61	0	+61	Yes	+$51	06-12 09:35
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	10-21 11:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-28 14:09
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	+$8	08-29 07:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	08-30 19:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	1	$10	21	0	+21	Yes	+$11	06-12 10:58
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	1	$10	23	0	+23	Yes	+$13	09-02 10:05
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on August 28, 2026?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	-$10	08-28 10:15
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	2	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	-$10	10-15 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:00:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x975ee1…
10-27 02:31:38	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x8d1bee…
10-26 20:29:03	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xadba6d…
10-26 20:29:03	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x1bb250…
10-26 13:32:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x23e7cd…
10-25 12:37:36	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x6ce808…
10-22 02:24:02	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x80d9a7…
10-22 02:03:33	will us gas price be between 4pt25 and 4pt26 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x26ab4f…
10-22 01:44:29	will us gas price be between 4pt24 and 4pt25 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd944d4…
10-22 01:42:33	will us gas price be less than 4pt24 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x79bdf9…
10-21 22:50:29	Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.6B?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xd87fbd…
10-21 21:25:09	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xe2b183…
10-21 20:31:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xb191f7…
10-21 20:19:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x3258cb…
10-21 13:32:02	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 22?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xb9d806…
10-21 11:07:14	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x347e7d…
10-20 21:15:47	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x247e87…
10-20 19:06:33	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xd772d2…
10-20 18:21:02	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xff0789…
10-20 17:39:39	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x2d7b97…
10-20 17:32:36	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9e666b…
10-20 17:26:27	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xfe7db4…
10-20 17:25:33	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf43aae…
10-20 17:24:47	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x07bc81…
10-20 15:10:27	Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x75198c…
10-15 16:13:44	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd72bb5…
10-15 16:05:05	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x42a882…
10-09 22:40:28	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x74a0d7…
10-09 17:14:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x612783…
10-09 09:32:57	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3e5d62…
10-09 08:43:24	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1b6dad…
10-07 16:50:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x575aaf…
10-06 14:09:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb05f49…
10-06 10:50:19	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8de68f…
10-06 09:27:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xceaed8…
09-09 09:09:28	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc8da97…
09-09 06:41:45	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x761d00…
09-09 06:27:57	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x93f996…
09-02 10:05:37	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8df882…
09-01 22:33:18	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x43d2f2…
09-01 13:46:51	Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by September 30?	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x1fb756…
08-31 20:13:58	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x6ee5ee…
08-30 21:36:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbd8c0f…
08-30 21:35:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x59c454…
08-30 19:31:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc257e1…
08-30 16:55:39	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x221864…
08-30 14:56:27	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2f9803…
08-30 14:56:25	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc8b470…
08-30 14:56:25	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xbc0767…
08-30 14:56:25	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x041752…
08-30 14:56:24	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xa832e2…
08-30 14:56:24	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5b256f…
08-30 14:56:24	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x14778d…
08-30 14:56:22	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xf91add…
08-30 14:56:22	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xf4903a…
08-30 14:56:22	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x808a62…
08-30 14:56:22	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x1b9373…
08-30 14:40:31	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xab254f…
08-29 20:58:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xe85c98…
08-29 20:13:03	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x0a4c1c…
08-29 20:11:39	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x403a48…
08-29 20:11:13	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x58a71a…
08-29 20:10:49	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x78db15…
08-29 13:30:28	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 15 2026	Yes	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0xb8afee…
08-29 11:37:12	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x11a305…
08-29 11:35:51	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xd56e39…
08-29 11:35:51	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x841894…
08-29 11:13:39	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x149611…
08-29 10:38:40	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xb8defa…
08-29 07:25:03	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xd5bb99…
08-29 07:14:46	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xa68be7…
08-29 07:14:46	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6bec08…
08-29 07:14:39	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	11¢	$7	0x7a2617…
08-29 07:10:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x37af36…
08-29 06:58:57	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x881314…
08-28 21:27:16	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xff4080…
08-28 17:06:09	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x40aa68…
08-28 16:43:49	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x7e1cd2…
08-28 16:42:09	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd1bbad…
08-28 16:15:30	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6ed669…
08-28 14:27:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xb653a8…
08-28 14:09:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac9c0d…
08-28 14:00:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x14ce7d…
08-28 11:37:40	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x884c4e…
08-28 11:06:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe4ed7e…
08-28 10:15:09	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2a8777…
08-28 07:54:03	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8d7f34…
08-28 07:50:46	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xe4d8ab…
08-28 07:47:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xfd8ae9…
07-15 21:10:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x9d8f76…
06-12 13:45:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x7106d4…
06-12 10:58:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8c0988…
06-12 09:35:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xc9317d…
04-27 16:27:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x5b0873…
04-27 15:35:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd2bdc9…
04-26 14:32:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdc46eb…
04-25 21:51:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe1c87d…
04-25 21:48:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x69dafe…
04-25 21:45:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x07dc42…
04-25 08:52:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc154bf…