Unrealistic-Innocent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$754

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-18 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 67% +$4

Other

26% — —

Politics

12% — —

Sports

6% 67% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	12	$92	57	57	+0	open	—	04-30 14:38
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	15	$90	49	49	+0	open	—	05-02 20:05
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	4	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 11:29
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	6	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$34	24	22	+2	open	—	04-30 11:15
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$21	16	16	+0	Sean Strickland	+$1	05-10 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	6	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 18:32
Will the fight be won by submission?	3	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$2	05-10 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$12	8	6	+2	open	—	05-03 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-18 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$9	9	4	+4	open	—	05-03 09:08
Shymkent 2: Alexandr Binda vs Manoj Dhamne Manas	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 13:43
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	8	$7	116	16	+100	Joshua Van	$-1	05-10 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 13:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	8	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 09:29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 21:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x41abf7…
05-18 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xdd7df6…
05-18 21:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6b7643…
05-18 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x69b3b5…
05-18 21:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x1c7206…
05-18 21:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x03261f…
05-18 20:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x30cd3f…
05-18 20:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x140dc5…
05-18 20:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3bd764…
05-18 19:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x16ab98…
05-18 19:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1ec644…
05-18 19:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc420da…
05-18 18:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x67a6e6…
05-18 18:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xd47eeb…
05-18 18:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd40a98…
05-18 18:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xa1dd55…
05-18 18:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x15226e…
05-18 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3b262f…
05-18 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb10096…
05-18 18:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x91acb9…
05-18 18:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x2182f6…
05-18 18:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5525bb…
05-18 18:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x04691a…
05-18 18:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0xf606a0…
05-18 18:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa0d82f…
05-18 18:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x7a0c96…
05-18 18:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0xa9eb95…
05-18 18:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd26a5f…
05-18 18:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xa8393b…
05-18 18:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x12e035…
05-18 18:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f16f8…
05-18 18:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x52b70e…
05-18 18:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x61bbcb…
05-18 18:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe085ad…
05-18 17:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x6255f8…
05-18 17:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xd8187c…
05-18 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa239b7…
05-18 17:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x6ee279…
05-18 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x5dcb00…
05-18 17:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x842e8b…
05-18 17:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xb3e4eb…
05-18 17:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xa6f78a…
05-18 17:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x481aac…
05-18 17:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x07a746…
05-18 17:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x40291a…
05-17 09:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x7400e7…
05-17 09:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbb443c…
05-17 09:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x502809…
05-17 09:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x581d0e…
05-17 09:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x79e11c…
05-17 09:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x84b1b1…
05-11 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbb796b…
05-11 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc194a6…
05-11 21:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x6013f8…
05-11 21:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xd0b07c…
05-11 21:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x9b6cee…
05-11 21:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc1afc3…
05-11 21:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x75d003…
05-11 21:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xd268bf…
05-11 21:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3865e5…
05-11 21:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf6feb2…
05-11 21:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x9ccbf6…
05-11 21:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xafd986…
05-11 21:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xd32f08…
05-11 21:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xeadde8…
05-11 21:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xb661e2…
05-11 21:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x889d81…
05-11 21:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x2d23d1…
05-11 21:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x86aa0a…
05-11 21:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xd079a7…
05-11 21:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x59933e…
05-11 21:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc9cfef…
05-11 21:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xb698b1…
05-11 21:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xc2e549…
05-11 21:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7e32f5…
05-11 21:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3f9cb7…
05-11 21:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc2f6a5…
05-11 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x1140e3…
05-11 21:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf53fa1…
05-11 21:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8d04a5…
05-11 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xdf7e85…
05-11 21:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x42d32d…
05-11 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x18032a…
05-11 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xba87d6…
05-11 21:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7fb5c3…
05-11 21:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69c981…
05-11 21:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5bef68…
05-10 15:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x86255b…
05-10 15:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x96f584…
05-10 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x84993f…
05-10 15:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$0	0xff6982…
05-10 15:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x002c4f…
05-10 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbfceff…
05-10 15:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xc1222d…
05-10 15:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x882521…
05-10 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x4635ed…
05-10 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xb59463…
05-10 15:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x672555…
05-10 15:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9ad39c…
05-10 15:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x31d192…