Scrawny-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$925

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-29 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

35% 100% +$1

Other

35% — —

Politics

30% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$128	129	+129	open	—	05-13 03:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$125	129	+129	open	—	05-15 04:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$125	129	+129	open	—	05-21 01:34
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$125	126	+126	open	—	05-26 17:33
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	05-05 16:32
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-01 10:58
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	1	$42	42	+42	open	—	05-29 21:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	05-11 15:24
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-14 02:02
will chainlink dip to 6 in march	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	04-01 00:22
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	3	$9	9	+9	open	—	04-20 20:17
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-06 20:02
Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-11 05:44
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-09 22:43
si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-05 21:23
aapl above 310 on january 30 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-08 01:28
pltr above 162 on february 27 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-23 20:54
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-09 20:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-12 22:02
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-19 07:34
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-23 17:11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-12 19:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-14 23:46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-18 19:17
nvda above 130 on january 30 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-17 07:11
googl above 370 on january 30 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-24 20:44
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-08 11:45
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-05 07:09
will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-08 15:23
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	2	$3	3	+3	open	—	03-23 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 21:16:05	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf3726f…
05-26 17:33:29	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x574337…
05-23 17:11:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6d6cc0…
05-21 01:34:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x6fc080…
05-18 19:17:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4c8ca2…
05-16 05:33:33	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f4560…
05-15 04:13:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x8361d1…
05-14 23:46:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfec7d6…
05-13 03:15:23	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x6a7b6f…
05-12 22:02:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbec809…
05-11 15:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9ab379…
05-11 05:44:01	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe6818a…
05-10 17:49:14	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7f569…
05-09 22:43:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c2dbe…
05-09 20:50:13	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x831ada…
05-09 00:44:58	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xf02712…
05-06 09:09:00	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x998ce8…
05-05 16:32:24	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2345da…
05-05 13:53:02	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x19a1e2…
04-20 20:17:42	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3c6e6c…
04-20 10:59:34	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0d21fb…
04-19 23:11:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf8a3fb…
04-19 07:34:10	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x05c3a1…
04-18 18:45:42	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6c6900…
04-17 17:08:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8dbb6a…
04-17 12:20:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac21b6…
04-17 05:23:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x821c69…
04-16 10:17:40	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe67c6…
04-14 02:02:35	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x81800a…
04-14 00:03:21	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x04d88c…
04-13 06:13:01	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x95b30c…
04-12 19:14:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdf506b…
04-08 20:48:37	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x20ab20…
04-08 15:23:13	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2d3d16…
04-08 11:45:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x759e81…
04-08 11:00:11	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfaae2e…
04-05 21:20:03	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7570bd…
04-05 12:50:57	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf203e8…
04-05 07:09:15	Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfe39f9…
04-01 10:58:57	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae9c2c…
04-01 00:22:31	will chainlink dip to 6 in march	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x45801a…
03-30 10:44:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd6363…
03-29 08:52:48	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce6f5c…
03-28 00:55:59	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x46733a…
03-26 11:27:07	will xrp reach 2pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27d9d3…
03-25 05:41:55	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab4176…
03-24 16:22:09	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa82a6d…
03-23 21:06:01	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x33cb00…
03-23 12:45:51	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb36672…
03-23 02:31:25	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x514794…
03-22 16:40:47	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x427a34…
03-12 20:45:01	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x60752f…
03-12 10:16:57	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x793aee…
03-12 06:40:01	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x537d44…
03-11 18:49:03	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3cade2…
03-11 14:08:43	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a6370…
03-10 16:44:05	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6444b6…
03-10 16:12:09	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18a061…
03-10 02:51:47	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95c09f…
03-09 13:30:37	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5da3d2…
03-09 12:25:25	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x176679…
03-09 12:16:13	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e0456…
03-09 07:20:39	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x382d77…
03-09 06:20:03	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1bfef7…
03-07 18:31:35	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44e5f7…
03-07 16:01:49	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc1891…
03-07 15:28:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x743ab0…
03-06 17:45:17	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb8827…
03-05 15:33:11	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x043578…
03-05 09:35:59	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7c45f…
03-05 07:21:07	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x696380…
03-05 06:11:43	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9280ed…
03-05 02:53:35	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33901e…
03-04 18:31:23	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9227a…
03-04 12:25:09	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50e6da…
03-03 20:41:39	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x841aaf…
03-03 20:01:45	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e8e20…
02-24 23:42:38	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc4c873…
02-23 23:58:42	will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc702e…
02-23 23:17:54	aapl above 320 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9be8d9…
02-23 20:54:50	pltr above 162 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed8afc…
02-22 02:32:58	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x818b1c…
02-22 01:28:52	nflx above 60 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x019e9d…
02-21 23:51:02	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdbd649…
02-21 04:51:02	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3a5780…
02-12 01:24:13	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c479a…
02-11 23:15:39	nvda above 250 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c1c9c…
02-10 17:15:27	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11a325…
01-24 20:44:36	googl above 370 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc7e8b2…
01-23 14:00:20	will hyperliquid dip to 8 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x56cf66…
01-23 00:41:14	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x79a411…
01-21 13:50:08	will xrp reach 3pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf812b0…
01-20 04:59:32	tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x02ba30…
01-19 11:35:44	pltr above 204 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6c7a9c…
01-17 07:11:42	nvda above 130 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa9d946…
01-16 21:31:24	googl above 280 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x792d0f…
01-13 19:19:14	aapl above 220 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfaa53a…
01-11 15:13:28	gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdaff8f…
01-09 16:50:12	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xecb1a3…
01-08 16:12:52	nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaef204…