Scrawny-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-12 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

30% 100% +$1

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$151	152	+152	open	—	06-27 07:40
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	1	$140	141	+141	open	—	06-26 03:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	2	$130	130	+130	open	—	08-08 00:50
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$128	129	+129	open	—	05-13 03:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$125	129	+129	open	—	05-15 04:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$125	129	+129	open	—	05-21 01:34
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$125	126	+126	open	—	05-26 17:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$125	130	+130	open	—	08-12 18:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$123	125	+125	open	—	08-09 16:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$123	125	+125	open	—	08-11 12:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$122	123	+123	open	—	08-10 22:00
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	2	$83	83	+83	open	—	06-29 14:32
squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	1	$80	81	+81	open	—	08-04 14:26
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$56	57	+57	open	—	07-30 03:26
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	05-05 16:32
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-01 10:58
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	1	$45	45	+45	open	—	06-28 13:31
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	1	$42	42	+42	open	—	05-29 21:16
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$31	31	+31	open	—	06-26 05:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	05-11 15:24
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-14 02:02
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$21	31	+31	open	—	07-28 10:13
will chainlink dip to 6 in march	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	04-01 00:22
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	07-16 21:00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	3	$9	9	+9	open	—	04-20 20:17
will xauusd dip to 3500 in july 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	07-16 12:03
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-06 20:02
will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	07-24 17:28
Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-11 05:44
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-25 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 18:36:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0xfd1820…
08-11 12:45:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	125	98¢	$123	0x8d4971…
08-10 22:00:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xb4435b…
08-09 16:18:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	125	99¢	$123	0x281d34…
08-08 19:14:46	will ethereum dip to 1200 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe10955…
08-08 16:18:04	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1e5c9f…
08-08 00:50:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6fb20…
08-07 15:15:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x525480…
08-04 14:26:21	squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xf3aebc…
07-30 03:26:30	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xbb35fb…
07-28 10:13:47	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x989f28…
07-25 11:36:57	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x330d06…
07-24 17:28:24	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x219b5f…
07-24 01:08:07	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x198a98…
07-23 09:25:22	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d14c5…
07-22 20:56:12	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x587d2c…
07-22 00:47:31	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7206c3…
07-19 15:02:43	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xc72b37…
07-16 21:00:31	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3e1e2d…
07-16 13:01:19	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xbb97af…
07-16 12:03:13	will xauusd dip to 3500 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4dc5ee…
07-04 00:24:47	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94d8bb…
06-29 14:32:02	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0x1b53c1…
06-28 18:22:23	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x49d867…
06-28 13:31:11	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x502fcd…
06-27 07:40:35	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x42394f…
06-26 05:13:14	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xc695a5…
06-26 03:53:10	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x99bd36…
05-29 21:16:05	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf3726f…
05-26 17:33:29	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x574337…
05-23 17:11:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6d6cc0…
05-21 01:34:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x6fc080…
05-18 19:17:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4c8ca2…
05-16 05:33:33	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f4560…
05-15 04:13:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x8361d1…
05-14 23:46:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfec7d6…
05-13 03:15:23	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x6a7b6f…
05-12 22:02:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbec809…
05-11 15:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9ab379…
05-11 05:44:01	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe6818a…
05-10 17:49:14	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7f569…
05-09 22:43:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c2dbe…
05-09 20:50:13	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x831ada…
05-09 00:44:58	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xf02712…
05-06 09:09:00	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x998ce8…
05-05 16:32:24	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2345da…
05-05 13:53:02	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x19a1e2…
04-20 20:17:42	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3c6e6c…
04-20 10:59:34	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0d21fb…
04-19 23:11:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf8a3fb…
04-19 07:34:10	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x05c3a1…
04-18 18:45:42	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6c6900…
04-17 17:08:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8dbb6a…
04-17 12:20:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac21b6…
04-17 05:23:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x821c69…
04-16 10:17:40	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe67c6…
04-14 02:02:35	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x81800a…
04-14 00:03:21	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x04d88c…
04-13 06:13:01	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x95b30c…
04-12 19:14:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdf506b…
04-08 20:48:37	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x20ab20…
04-08 15:23:13	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2d3d16…
04-08 11:45:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x759e81…
04-08 11:00:11	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfaae2e…
04-05 21:20:03	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7570bd…
04-05 12:50:57	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf203e8…
04-05 07:09:15	Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfe39f9…
04-01 10:58:57	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae9c2c…
04-01 00:22:31	will chainlink dip to 6 in march	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x45801a…
03-30 10:44:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd6363…
03-29 08:52:48	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce6f5c…
03-28 00:55:59	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x46733a…
03-26 11:27:07	will xrp reach 2pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27d9d3…
03-25 05:41:55	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab4176…
03-24 16:22:09	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa82a6d…
03-23 21:06:01	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x33cb00…
03-23 12:45:51	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb36672…
03-23 02:31:25	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x514794…
03-22 16:40:47	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x427a34…
03-12 20:45:01	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x60752f…
03-12 10:16:57	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x793aee…
03-12 06:40:01	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x537d44…
03-11 18:49:03	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3cade2…
03-11 14:08:43	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a6370…
03-10 16:44:05	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6444b6…
03-10 16:12:09	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18a061…
03-10 02:51:47	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95c09f…
03-09 13:30:37	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5da3d2…
03-09 12:25:25	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x176679…
03-09 12:16:13	will bnb reach 1000 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e0456…
03-09 07:20:39	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x382d77…
03-09 06:20:03	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1bfef7…
03-07 18:31:35	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44e5f7…
03-07 16:01:49	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc1891…
03-07 15:28:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x743ab0…
03-06 17:45:17	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb8827…
03-05 15:33:11	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x043578…
03-05 09:35:59	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7c45f…
03-05 07:21:07	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x696380…
03-05 06:11:43	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9280ed…