Fluid-Sculpture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$446

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 09-02 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

86% 20% +$508

Politics

12% 32% -$29

Sports

2% 0% -$30

Crypto

1% 25% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	17	$1.3K	957	957	+0	Usyk	+$563	05-23 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$180	195	195	+0	No	+$45	04-18 15:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$149	237	237	+0	No	+$19	05-25 23:25
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	2	$40	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-19 14:55
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	4	$32	400	0	+400	Michael	-$32	05-01 22:43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	72	0	+72	No	-$30	07-16 11:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$23	106	106	+0	No	-$4	05-25 22:19
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$20	48	0	+48	No	-$20	07-13 12:20
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$20	55	0	+55	No	-$20	07-13 12:19
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	2	$20	62	62	+0	No	$0	07-11 23:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$15	41	41	+0	No	-$7	04-29 09:18
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	3	$14	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	04-20 12:06
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$10	9	9	+0	No	+$0	04-29 10:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$10	833	0	+833	No	-$10	05-26 22:47
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$8	200	0	+200	No	-$8	04-23 10:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$8	127	0	+127	No	-$8	04-19 10:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$6	147	147	+0	No	-$4	04-29 09:18
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	1	$5	182	0	+182	No	-$5	08-30 19:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	62	0	+62	No	-$5	04-27 11:27
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	1	$5	298	0	+298	No	-$5	04-29 09:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	1	$5	38	0	+38	No	-$5	05-26 22:32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	05-26 22:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	1	$4	111	0	+111	No	-$4	08-30 19:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$3	250	0	+250	No	-$3	04-13 12:54
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$3	04-13 12:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$3	20	0	+20	No	-$3	04-19 10:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$3	267	0	+267	No	-$3	04-19 10:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$3	55	55	+0	No	-$3	04-29 09:18
will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$4	04-17 11:52
will trump say transgender during tpusa events on april 17	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	04-17 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 11:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdd064d…
09-02 11:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb0e663…
08-30 19:53:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x0780ea…
08-30 19:44:09	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$5	0x4ea28d…
07-16 11:15:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0xd1bc1d…
07-13 12:20:22	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x061f75…
07-13 12:19:59	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xff5a78…
07-11 23:02:29	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x9f7d6a…
07-11 21:53:28	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2f082d…
05-26 22:47:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xa01c77…
05-26 22:32:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xdf0f65…
05-26 22:32:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xda571e…
05-26 22:31:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x5088ec…
05-25 23:25:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	33¢	$44	0x588842…
05-25 22:19:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	9¢	$10	0x405eb3…
05-25 21:49:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x83237d…
05-25 21:49:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x65c290…
05-25 21:48:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd7f31f…
05-25 21:48:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9325b8…
05-25 21:47:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7132c6…
05-25 21:43:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x02d02b…
05-25 21:37:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x7efa62…
05-25 20:09:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	38¢	$40	0x5ab80f…
05-24 22:32:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x04f07b…
05-23 23:22:58	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	957	100¢	$956	0xbb22ed…
05-23 23:02:58	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	487	20¢	$97	0xdf47a2…
05-23 23:00:55	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x1747e9…
05-23 23:00:52	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x2bc3e9…
05-23 23:00:34	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbe322c…
05-23 23:00:27	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb4cfaf…
05-23 23:00:01	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe89245…
05-23 22:59:08	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x3b3a41…
05-23 22:58:32	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbb4b45…
05-23 22:57:44	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x024a35…
05-23 22:57:20	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc17169…
05-23 22:55:45	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3b15fa…
05-23 22:55:10	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfcd259…
05-23 22:53:43	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x549045…
05-23 22:53:34	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x54c767…
05-23 22:53:10	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x365a3f…
05-23 22:51:30	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xde3273…
05-01 22:43:02	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	217	1¢	$3	0x6641cc…
04-29 13:28:16	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x17d965…
04-29 10:42:02	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xea72cf…
04-29 10:34:08	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf0d991…
04-29 10:23:54	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xdcd6a5…
04-29 09:19:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	298	2¢	$5	0x86be77…
04-29 09:18:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0xe56c6f…
04-29 09:18:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$0	0x0d1f13…
04-29 09:18:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	1¢	$1	0xadf056…
04-29 09:18:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	9¢	$4	0xd87fe0…
04-29 09:03:30	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x343a4d…
04-27 11:27:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x56c174…
04-27 11:27:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x38074f…
04-27 11:27:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x006e72…
04-25 19:48:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xc06bbe…
04-23 10:02:46	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x32a7f8…
04-20 12:22:30	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf6fb78…
04-20 12:06:52	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x803149…
04-20 08:57:30	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcba3f9…
04-20 08:53:24	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xec2be6…
04-20 08:53:14	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x55ea15…
04-19 14:55:30	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	SELL	25	82¢	$20	0xad7d8b…
04-19 14:54:40	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x41ef2a…
04-19 10:49:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x28afa1…
04-19 10:48:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7f87d1…
04-19 10:48:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$3	0xab2c16…
04-18 15:52:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	110	72¢	$80	0xa228aa…
04-17 13:23:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcbe9b5…
04-17 13:19:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xcfd7e1…
04-17 13:19:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6697db…
04-17 13:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe56def…
04-17 13:16:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x23b00e…
04-17 13:15:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x65784f…
04-17 13:15:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0a8fad…
04-17 13:14:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5b7a7d…
04-17 13:12:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1a404b…
04-17 13:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x51aa3b…
04-17 12:54:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xce93c4…
04-17 12:54:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x90a511…
04-17 11:53:36	will trump say gay during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0197ce…
04-17 11:53:26	will trump say kamala during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xac580a…
04-17 11:53:06	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9b417d…
04-17 11:52:58	will trump say transgender during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x27d76b…
04-17 11:52:24	will trump say god 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2fd9dc…
04-17 11:52:16	will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7e26ff…
04-17 11:52:00	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x574707…
04-14 08:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	62	21¢	$13	0x16c634…
04-13 13:00:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0xf6c7d0…
04-13 12:55:25	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xd81432…
04-13 12:54:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xb9c406…
04-13 12:54:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x656854…
04-13 12:53:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x8ebe96…
04-08 13:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0xa58464…