Spicy-Timeout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

1,798

Trades

7,081

lifetime

Volume

$930.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-10 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

61% 87% -$7,687

Crypto

33% 93% +$4,320

Politics

4% 79% +$620

Sports

2% 94% +$235

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on march 15 2026	47	$6.6K	3,488	3,488	+0	Up	+$41	03-15 14:38
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-23 12:00 UTC	24	$4.7K	2,454	2,454	+0	Up	+$61	03-23 15:51
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	15	$4.1K	2,163	2,163	+0	No	+$41	03-20 14:01
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$3.9K	2,436	1,613	+823	No	+$5	03-14 17:19
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	3	$3.8K	2,009	2,009	+0	Yes	+$167	01-03 09:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	19	$3.8K	2,984	2,984	+0	No	-$315	09-26 12:02
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	7	$3.3K	1,830	1,830	+0	No	+$58	03-14 13:37
wta navarro boisson 2026 08 30	4	$3.2K	1,638	1,638	+0	Emma Navarro	+$62	08-31 18:07
wta kraus muchova 2026 08 30	2	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	Karolina Muchova	+$61	08-31 16:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$2.8K	3,131	3,131	+0	No	+$639	06-01 14:58
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	22	$2.8K	2,659	2,659	+0	Yes	-$1,851	09-29 13:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 4	6	$2.7K	1,478	1,478	+0	No	+$222	03-25 08:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	9	$2.7K	1,390	1,387	+3	No	+$50	04-19 11:30
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	8	$2.7K	1,418	1,415	+3	Up	+$138	03-25 15:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-24 12:00 UTC	28	$2.7K	1,392	1,392	+0	Down	+$50	03-24 14:53
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	33	$2.7K	1,631	1,631	+0	No	+$28	03-18 11:28
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	7	$2.6K	1,447	1,447	+0	No	+$183	04-16 04:50
bitcoin up or down on march 11	26	$2.6K	1,484	1,484	+0	Down	+$30	03-11 14:46
will mrbeasts next video get between 68 and 71 million views on day 3	7	$2.5K	1,267	1,267	-0	No	+$13	03-24 09:59
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2	8	$2.5K	1,265	1,265	+0	No	+$35	03-23 10:05
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	13	$2.5K	1,301	1,299	+2	Michigan Wolverines	+$83	03-21 17:55
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	10	$2.5K	1,251	1,251	+0	No	+$20	03-24 13:20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	2	$2.4K	1,243	1,243	+0	Yes	+$64	08-30 17:15
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	3	$2.4K	1,217	1,217	+0	No	+$11	03-22 11:58
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$2.4K	1,202	1,202	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$28	03-22 18:15
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	6	$2.3K	1,314	1,311	+2	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+$27	03-20 18:29
cbb pur mich 2026 03 15	22	$2.3K	1,294	1,294	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$28	03-15 21:24
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	5	$2.3K	1,205	1,205	+0	Down	+$65	03-18 14:31
bitcoin up or down on march 22 2026	7	$2.3K	1,179	1,179	+0	Down	+$20	03-22 10:57
ETHGAS FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$2.3K	1,158	1,158	+0	No	+$9	01-22 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 17:16:51	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x11aa21…
10-10 12:28:54	Uralmash vs. Parma Perm	Uralmash	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0x56989a…
10-10 12:28:45	Uralmash vs. Parma Perm	Uralmash	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x04ff2d…
10-10 12:28:43	Uralmash vs. Parma Perm	Uralmash	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x41ba2d…
10-10 12:28:42	Uralmash vs. Parma Perm	Uralmash	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xd4b312…
10-10 12:28:16	Uralmash vs. Parma Perm	Uralmash	BUY	54	63¢	$34	0xdf44dd…
10-10 12:13:25	Perth Wildcats vs. New Zealand Breakers	Perth Wildcats	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xdc06c5…
10-10 11:08:28	Perth Wildcats vs. New Zealand Breakers	Perth Wildcats	BUY	54	76¢	$41	0x6abd3b…
10-10 11:08:27	Perth Wildcats vs. New Zealand Breakers	Perth Wildcats	BUY	69	76¢	$52	0x5c7cf2…
10-10 11:00:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x9a6858…
10-10 11:00:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x521893…
10-10 08:59:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xa39665…
10-04 17:50:20	Riesen Ludwigsburg vs. Gladiators Trier	Gladiators Trier	SELL	582	100¢	$582	0x1949c4…
10-04 17:34:41	Riesen Ludwigsburg vs. Gladiators Trier	Gladiators Trier	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4d3ec5…
10-04 17:34:40	Riesen Ludwigsburg vs. Gladiators Trier	Gladiators Trier	BUY	341	98¢	$334	0x4d3905…
10-04 17:34:38	Riesen Ludwigsburg vs. Gladiators Trier	Gladiators Trier	BUY	235	98¢	$230	0x082811…
10-04 17:31:19	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	SELL	296	100¢	$296	0x55dbe2…
10-04 17:28:13	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x1a9cb5…
10-04 17:26:53	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xeb5b61…
10-04 17:26:53	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x77bcd4…
10-04 17:26:52	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfd122c…
10-04 17:26:52	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xdf8dc9…
10-04 17:26:29	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf5465c…
10-04 17:26:16	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x78da82…
10-04 17:26:16	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x519e17…
10-04 17:26:16	Pallacanestro Trieste vs. Reyer Venezia	Reyer Venezia	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0x460af6…
10-04 17:06:44	Scafati Basket vs. Pallacanestro Varese	Pallacanestro Varese	SELL	469	100¢	$468	0x1f0530…
10-04 17:01:23	Scafati Basket vs. Pallacanestro Varese	Pallacanestro Varese	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xda9b6e…
10-04 17:01:22	Scafati Basket vs. Pallacanestro Varese	Pallacanestro Varese	BUY	221	97¢	$215	0x7d11e0…
10-04 17:01:22	Scafati Basket vs. Pallacanestro Varese	Pallacanestro Varese	BUY	213	97¢	$206	0x4ea4a7…
09-29 15:19:08	wta monnet buyukak 2026 09 29	Carole Monnet	BUY	754	90¢	$679	0x156b1e…
09-29 15:07:47	Will Algeria win on 2026-09-29?	No	SELL	682	100¢	$681	0xc89f7a…
09-29 13:17:35	Will Algeria win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	682	64¢	$436	0xb477b8…
09-29 13:16:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	125	6¢	$8	0x4f32e1…
09-29 13:12:36	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x601f25…
09-29 13:12:26	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xcca380…
09-29 13:12:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xb2adb1…
09-29 13:12:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	96	8¢	$8	0xf38bc1…
09-29 13:10:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	181	11¢	$20	0xdf57fc…
09-29 13:10:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x9c2e79…
09-29 13:10:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0x554685…
09-29 13:10:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	126	13¢	$16	0x246f00…
09-29 13:10:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	128	13¢	$17	0x180e5d…
09-29 13:09:59	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	176	13¢	$23	0xb4fc22…
09-29 13:08:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	112	14¢	$16	0x898913…
09-29 12:35:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	96	21¢	$20	0x987921…
09-29 12:35:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x837215…
09-29 12:35:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	1,376	22¢	$306	0xe38ac2…
09-27 15:05:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	667	92¢	$613	0xd2a910…
09-27 15:05:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x3d0157…
09-27 15:04:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x908b90…
09-27 14:43:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	1,113	100¢	$1,112	0x9535f4…
09-27 13:24:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	278	84¢	$234	0x5d95b8…
09-27 13:21:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	163	83¢	$135	0xee2f2f…
09-27 13:21:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	950	84¢	$798	0x92d6ee…
09-27 13:20:41	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x54c6ac…
09-27 10:47:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x61f959…
09-27 10:47:50	wta fernand gibson 2026 09 27	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xac91d7…
09-27 10:42:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	125	93¢	$116	0x2c706c…
09-27 10:34:08	wta fernand gibson 2026 09 27	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xa48baa…
09-27 10:31:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	667	92¢	$616	0xd6886b…
09-27 10:29:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	201	88¢	$177	0xf33943…
09-27 10:23:35	Sydney Kings vs. Illawarra Hawks	Sydney Kings	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x300f44…
09-27 09:26:36	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0xc6c086…
09-27 08:43:17	Sydney Kings vs. Illawarra Hawks	Sydney Kings	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x79fa2f…
09-27 08:42:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	275	99¢	$272	0xee7868…
09-27 07:57:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x730c36…
09-27 05:37:09	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	728	100¢	$727	0x01924a…
09-26 19:52:54	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x9e5f91…
09-26 19:52:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6f7d32…
09-26 19:47:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	165	96¢	$158	0x9dae29…
09-26 17:06:44	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$99	0xc7be29…
09-26 17:06:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0x672277…
09-26 17:03:23	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0xa587a0…
09-26 17:02:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	210	90¢	$189	0xdc7672…
09-26 16:50:12	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	SELL	438	100¢	$438	0xdb0a53…
09-26 16:50:12	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0xcec216…
09-26 16:50:12	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x181b18…
09-26 12:54:35	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x26c949…
09-26 12:02:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	1,141	100¢	$1,140	0xa7424b…
09-26 10:56:17	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	No	BUY	955	94¢	$901	0x5a66f7…
09-25 19:10:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	323	90¢	$291	0xca35f9…
09-25 19:09:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xadcc25…
09-25 19:09:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xcfdb0f…
09-25 19:08:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xfd8cc8…
09-25 19:08:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	94	90¢	$84	0x13adf4…
09-25 19:04:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x502db0…
09-25 19:03:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xaa5ac3…
09-25 18:29:27	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x0cec25…
09-25 15:02:20	atp faria gaston 2026 09 25	Hugo Gaston	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa1b813…
09-25 14:41:05	atp faria gaston 2026 09 25	Hugo Gaston	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0x25ab49…
09-25 14:37:38	wta sakkari gibson 2026 09 25	Talia Gibson	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf4049f…
09-25 14:34:42	wta sakkari gibson 2026 09 25	Talia Gibson	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xe557b9…
09-25 11:56:57	Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3b8ac9…
09-25 11:09:30	Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	659	95¢	$626	0xdfa135…
09-25 11:02:08	Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xeb1fd5…
09-25 11:02:05	Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xded7cd…
09-25 11:01:54	Brisbane Bullets vs. Illawarra Hawks	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	317	92¢	$291	0xf3f720…
09-25 10:52:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	126	75¢	$94	0x340ec8…
09-25 10:05:30	wta wa prozoro 2026 09 25	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7f6226…