Realized P&L
-$591
Unrealized P&L
-$115
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
26
Trades
786
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$50.2K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
56% — —
Sports
22% 54% -$591
Other
22% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15,432 $13,015 80¢ $12.4K -$592 10-18 17:36
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +7,307 $7,107 99¢ $7.2K +$130 10-17 16:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +6,421 $5,451 82¢ $5.3K -$188 10-26 09:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +4,467 $4,311 95¢ $4.2K -$65 10-26 21:29
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,253 $4,041 92¢ $3.9K -$133 10-26 08:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +4,003 $3,916 97¢ $3.9K -$41 10-09 05:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +15,167 $2,361 20¢ $3.0K +$596 10-19 20:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3,047 $2,913 96¢ $2.9K +$8 10-26 04:19
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,171 $2,077 95¢ $2.1K -$8 10-10 02:49
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,536 $1,358 86¢ $1.3K -$31 10-18 16:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,343 $985 18¢ $1.1K +$160 10-26 19:25
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +755 $726 98¢ $738 +$12 10-20 10:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +566 $534 93¢ $527 -$7 10-10 05:57
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,599 $277 8¢ $373 +$95 10-26 20:38
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +229 $226 99¢ $227 +$2 09-26 08:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +4,334 $159 5¢ $215 +$56 10-26 22:04
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,536 $178 14¢ $210 +$32 10-19 09:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +3,370 $152 4¢ $140 -$12 10-26 07:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +4,003 $97 3¢ $128 +$31 10-09 05:22
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,171 $102 5¢ $103 +$1 10-09 02:00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +7,307 $220 1¢ $69 -$150 10-16 12:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +566 $34 7¢ $40 +$6 10-04 20:03
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +755 $28 2¢ $17 -$11 10-18 17:01
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +229 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 09-24 22:36