Quaint-Moose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$319

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

127

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$32.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-25 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

48% 55% +$509

Politics

44% 44% -$534

Crypto

6% 44% -$104

Sports

1% 0% -$190

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by june 9	6	$1.2K	771	771	+0	No	-$21	06-08 13:57
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	10	$1.1K	811	811	+0	Yes	-$10	03-17 21:49
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$984	826	826	+0	No	-$36	06-08 11:52
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$813	548	548	+0	Yes	+$13	04-16 15:40
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	5	$688	1,213	1,213	+0	Yes	+$288	03-17 22:03
lal sev mad 2026 04 11 sev	7	$685	530	524	+6	Yes	+$7	04-11 20:53
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	6	$684	633	623	+10	Yes	+$94	04-04 20:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$607	386	386	+0	No	+$7	03-28 14:41
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	2	$539	339	339	+0	Yes	+$139	03-07 22:00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	2	$538	345	345	+0	Yes	+$138	05-02 20:42
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	2	$515	1,118	1,118	+0	open	—	06-26 20:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$486	1,198	1,198	+0	No	-$14	03-26 08:25
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	4	$466	659	659	+0	No	+$66	03-09 06:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$449	270	270	+0	No	+$49	05-28 07:34
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	4	$431	278	278	+0	Yes	+$31	03-18 21:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$422	264	264	+0	Yes	+$22	04-12 21:04
iran closes its airspace by june 8	7	$411	339	339	+0	Yes	-$19	06-07 21:06
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$410	622	328	+294	No	-$190	07-15 21:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$400	206	206	+0	No	$0	03-16 17:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$399	511	511	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:20
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$391	256	256	+0	No	-$9	03-06 09:27
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$384	311	311	+0	Yes	-$16	03-31 14:08
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	4	$373	342	342	+0	Yes	-$27	03-30 20:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$348	225	225	+0	No	-$52	05-04 18:58
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	4	$344	527	527	+0	No	-$56	03-28 05:55
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	4	$335	259	259	+0	Yes	-$65	04-08 08:52
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	2	$334	772	772	+0	open	—	05-31 09:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$330	291	291	+0	No	-$70	04-08 18:02
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$317	263	258	+5	Yes	+$122	04-14 20:54
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	4	$314	368	368	+0	Yes	-$86	04-02 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:39:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xf4a0b3…
10-24 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xcac20a…
10-23 11:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x7f68de…
10-20 20:44:38	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0xfd3498…
10-20 20:43:08	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	85	85¢	$72	0x166874…
10-20 20:25:30	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	76	84¢	$64	0xfde2f9…
10-20 18:40:12	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x58ecc5…
10-20 18:37:17	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x63e41b…
10-16 20:26:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x3ab9d3…
10-16 20:24:50	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x083bb4…
10-16 20:23:35	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xece44e…
10-16 20:22:08	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xbecc99…
10-14 19:33:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	104	11¢	$11	0x691f64…
10-14 14:35:13	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	83	71¢	$59	0xf5a859…
10-14 14:34:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xc6c6a4…
10-14 14:33:37	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x05b873…
10-13 20:16:37	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	59	46¢	$27	0xc8f96c…
10-13 19:49:04	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xbce5a2…
10-13 18:48:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x0dadd7…
09-09 16:42:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xc0b4aa…
07-15 21:06:01	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x7209e9…
06-26 20:35:02	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,118	19¢	$215	0x4016e4…
06-26 17:46:43	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,118	27¢	$300	0x14825d…
06-23 04:56:28	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	328	33¢	$110	0xa4f8c2…
06-22 17:45:13	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	328	30¢	$100	0x013619…
06-21 20:46:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	161	3¢	$5	0xd9714d…
06-21 20:46:11	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	164	61¢	$100	0x8ce510…
06-18 10:05:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xc5b53d…
06-10 21:33:58	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x836420…
06-08 13:57:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	330	90¢	$297	0x2b0aef…
06-08 12:44:57	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x6f7ae2…
06-08 11:52:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	256	85¢	$218	0x83be24…
06-08 11:30:06	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	227	91¢	$207	0xdacc4b…
06-08 11:22:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x80e875…
06-08 11:21:04	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xecb865…
06-08 10:05:55	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$83	0xe6e384…
06-08 10:05:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	222	51¢	$112	0x935432…
06-08 10:05:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	214	35¢	$75	0x654890…
06-08 07:42:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe3fe3e…
06-08 03:36:55	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x13dd5f…
06-08 03:36:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xf3966a…
06-07 21:06:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$104	0xf9e9ef…
06-07 20:47:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xa178d6…
06-07 20:46:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x84cffb…
06-07 20:12:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	185	29¢	$54	0x28fdbf…
06-07 20:12:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	178	63¢	$113	0x750450…
06-07 19:56:42	Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	560	16¢	$87	0x4c1444…
06-07 19:55:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	190	37¢	$70	0x7d6fa4…
06-07 19:53:58	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	131	78¢	$102	0x5d421d…
06-07 19:51:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xa64bae…
06-07 19:50:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0x7010df…
06-07 19:50:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x1c8870…
06-07 19:49:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x35f707…
06-07 19:48:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x4c75ce…
06-07 19:44:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	162	56¢	$91	0x290716…
06-07 19:26:54	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	87¢	$97	0x297573…
06-07 19:25:13	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	139	75¢	$104	0xceb9fe…
06-07 19:24:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	162	68¢	$110	0x79d4ac…
06-03 08:00:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x86bfea…
06-03 07:59:54	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xa785f0…
06-02 12:01:02	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xffde81…
05-31 09:02:30	Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	772	17¢	$134	0x7dd6ec…
05-28 07:34:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	270	92¢	$249	0xfd08e8…
05-26 03:55:32	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	164	50¢	$81	0x267af5…
05-25 12:28:49	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x5fd82b…
05-25 09:45:56	Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	772	26¢	$200	0xee30c7…
05-25 09:45:36	Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	18¢	$100	0x7cc6f6…
05-25 09:42:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x51987d…
05-10 20:43:20	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	167	97¢	$161	0x168716…
05-10 06:54:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xf1731b…
05-05 20:01:28	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	122	89¢	$109	0xce6253…
05-05 17:13:08	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	122	90¢	$110	0xe35350…
05-05 04:20:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	111	92¢	$102	0x4123e0…
05-05 04:20:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	154	72¢	$111	0x9e6133…
05-05 04:20:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	125	83¢	$104	0xda84b0…
05-05 04:20:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	115	90¢	$103	0x31aad7…
05-04 18:58:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	225	66¢	$148	0xf66d53…
05-04 06:47:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x8a1ed2…
05-04 06:47:28	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xfcd219…
05-04 06:44:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xed0fd5…
05-04 06:44:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x35b5f0…
05-04 06:44:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x1521cc…
05-02 20:42:40	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	345	98¢	$338	0x6794ee…
05-02 19:21:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x5df4f3…
04-28 19:44:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	SELL	256	39¢	$100	0x6524e3…
04-28 19:43:10	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x3784f2…
04-25 15:47:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	165	96¢	$158	0x39b8cd…
04-21 20:17:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0x34aba9…
04-21 20:16:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x29dad1…
04-16 15:40:32	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	97¢	$119	0xd4c98e…
04-16 14:49:12	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x2f5892…
04-15 21:00:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x9e565d…
04-15 21:00:26	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xea75b1…
04-15 20:55:56	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x838c07…
04-14 21:07:50	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xc97cab…
04-14 21:07:44	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x8c50a8…
04-14 20:54:32	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	SELL	258	84¢	$217	0x2ac419…
04-14 20:39:38	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	41¢	$51	0xb2f4ff…
04-14 20:38:02	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	SELL	179	79¢	$142	0x51ef5b…
04-14 07:37:45	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x5ed501…