Defenseless-Ruffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$59.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.21K

Open exposure

$300

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-24 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$0

Crypto

46% 100% +$52

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30?	No		+300	$299	100¢	$300	+$1	06-19 18:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$7.8K	5,340	2,680	+2,660	open	—	05-22 21:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$3.2K	3,380	0	+3,380	open	—	06-11 17:04
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$3.2K	3,220	0	+3,220	open	—	06-10 01:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$3.1K	3,220	0	+3,220	open	—	06-04 17:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	8	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-01 15:17
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.8K	3,064	0	+3,064	open	—	05-26 14:06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$2.8K	2,828	0	+2,828	open	—	05-26 00:38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$2.7K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	05-24 19:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	1	$2.7K	2,727	0	+2,727	open	—	05-23 20:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$2.7K	2,704	0	+2,704	open	—	05-23 13:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,555	0	+2,555	open	—	05-15 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	3	$2.5K	2,562	0	+2,562	open	—	05-19 15:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	1	$2.5K	2,530	0	+2,530	Yes	+$3	05-11 21:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$5	05-08 14:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 7?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$5	05-07 14:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	4	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$15	05-06 11:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$15	05-08 22:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-12 20:46
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$8	05-10 18:14
bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	1	$713	719	0	+719	open	—	06-10 14:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$568	570	0	+570	open	—	05-22 00:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	1	$510	530	0	+530	open	—	06-15 01:01
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	05-12 20:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	2	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	05-10 22:54
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	06-19 18:49
bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	06-23 14:57
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$243	255	0	+255	open	—	06-24 00:52
will bitcoin reach 67k on june 19	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	06-19 18:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-30 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-19 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 00:52:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	255	95¢	$243	0xff0728…
06-23 14:57:32	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x1eaa85…
06-19 18:49:47	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xb00248…
06-19 18:49:26	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 19	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x07009a…
06-15 01:01:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	530	96¢	$510	0x1a80d9…
06-11 17:04:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,380	95¢	$3,225	0x74a62c…
06-10 14:23:24	bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	719	99¢	$713	0xd0a711…
06-10 01:44:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	3,220	100¢	$3,217	0x23e7f2…
06-04 17:28:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	270	96¢	$259	0x86d952…
06-04 17:28:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x60e3db…
06-04 17:25:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,945	96¢	$2,827	0x58a578…
06-01 15:17:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x9bba3b…
06-01 15:17:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,055	100¢	$1,051	0x6f5a35…
06-01 15:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x2acd60…
06-01 15:16:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb754a1…
06-01 15:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,303	100¢	$1,298	0xb4d88b…
06-01 15:16:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xd27f44…
06-01 15:16:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x302d53…
06-01 15:16:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x416591…
05-30 21:07:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x58c5a4…
05-26 14:06:21	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,064	92¢	$2,825	0x45e0ae…
05-26 00:38:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	2,828	99¢	$2,800	0x6f93e2…
05-24 19:45:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	2,800	98¢	$2,730	0x9312fc…
05-23 20:31:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,727	99¢	$2,700	0x4577db…
05-23 13:51:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2,704	98¢	$2,655	0x38df17…
05-22 21:57:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,660	98¢	$2,620	0x284b07…
05-22 00:45:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	570	100¢	$568	0x981865…
05-21 20:39:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2,680	97¢	$2,597	0xd25d7d…
05-21 13:58:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,680	95¢	$2,551	0x6ccc9b…
05-19 22:32:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcd6e8d…
05-19 19:41:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f2836…
05-19 15:08:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,123	99¢	$1,115	0x49f4aa…
05-19 14:46:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,410	99¢	$1,400	0xf4bbc8…
05-19 13:33:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x4d1c9a…
05-15 02:48:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,555	100¢	$2,547	0xc8c22a…
05-12 20:47:18	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x1dd5af…
05-12 20:46:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xb0cca5…
05-11 21:23:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2,530	100¢	$2,527	0x25721d…
05-10 22:54:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x3710e7…
05-10 18:14:05	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,992	0x76cf46…
05-10 16:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x5aae8f…
05-08 22:59:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,485	0x13cbcd…
05-08 14:40:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xa6dcce…
05-07 16:34:00	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcf2e76…
05-07 14:29:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x59796a…
05-06 11:02:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	910	99¢	$905	0x9f29a1…
05-05 23:45:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	530	99¢	$527	0x4309b9…
05-05 23:44:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	530	99¢	$527	0x0ee7ad…
05-05 23:44:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	530	99¢	$527	0x364ebc…