Sandy-Legitimacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$439

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-17 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

53% 0% -$232

Crypto

47% 71% -$18

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$80	54,286	0	+54,286	Yes	-$80	05-13 09:10
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	3	$54	26,550	0	+26,550	Yes	-$54	06-17 01:02
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$40	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$40	05-13 09:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$30	2,600	0	+2,600	Yes	-$30	06-17 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$30	60	0	+60	Up	+$0	05-12 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$27	59	21	+38	Down	-$2	05-12 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	05-12 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	05-12 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	05-12 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	7	$20	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	05-12 03:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	1	$17	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$17	06-15 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	05-12 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 02:35
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$10	04-14 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	05-12 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-12 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	05-12 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	-$5	05-12 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	Up	-$5	05-12 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-12 03:01
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	05-13 09:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	06-15 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 01:02:59	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0x11d992…
06-17 00:58:08	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0x6a7faf…
06-17 00:45:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0x8b1f74…
06-15 23:43:22	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0x3374f5…
06-15 23:42:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0xb8a453…
06-15 23:42:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x8bbccc…
06-15 23:40:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x003f55…
06-15 23:40:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x860823…
05-13 09:24:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x51b654…
05-13 09:10:09	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x1b1c26…
05-13 09:09:00	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0xacae8d…
05-12 04:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbe394f…
05-12 04:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x63d2d5…
05-12 04:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x36c5e2…
05-12 04:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc1142c…
05-12 04:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x148708…
05-12 04:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x48f7a9…
05-12 04:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x254319…
05-12 04:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xc2de17…
05-12 04:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xba504a…
05-12 04:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x86e646…
05-12 04:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x648271…
05-12 03:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6abe27…
05-12 03:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7c5196…
05-12 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x75e0f0…
05-12 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x307cc6…
05-12 03:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xde02d1…
05-12 03:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x64c182…
05-12 03:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x9c84a1…
05-12 03:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x715262…
05-12 03:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3552ca…
05-12 03:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5db7d4…
05-12 03:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x885670…
05-12 03:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xdcf57e…
05-12 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xffbb70…
05-12 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8311ba…
05-12 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7f1907…
05-12 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d662b…
05-12 03:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x784d57…
05-12 03:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x19d6f9…
05-12 02:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x65d726…
05-12 02:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x95763f…
05-12 02:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x501f73…
05-12 02:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0xf9a640…
05-12 02:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x471042…
05-12 02:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x758484…
05-12 02:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x63c718…
05-12 02:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8f9a7d…
05-12 02:32:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	4,286	1¢	$30	0x2eecb9…
04-14 01:02:07	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x794f9d…