Educated-Casino — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

-$339

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,758

lifetime

Volume

$301.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

$1.52K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-15 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

83% 100% +$95

Sports

9% 0% $-61

Other

8% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+12,187	$1,863	12¢	$1.5K	$-339	06-06 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	473	$102.1K	68,441	66,543	+1,898	open	—	05-30 06:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	89	$15.2K	16,341	15,289	+1,052	open	—	04-12 21:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	32	$14.5K	14,104	14,128	-25	open	—	05-23 13:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	52	$12.3K	10,795	10,795	+0	open	—	04-25 17:26
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	7	$12.2K	8,770	4,100	+4,670	open	—	05-12 11:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	16	$11.1K	6,817	6,869	-52	open	—	04-28 13:50
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	10	$9.6K	4,410	6,610	-2,200	open	—	04-08 03:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	20	$8.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	05-21 10:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	15	$7.0K	3,018	6,135	-3,117	open	—	05-10 20:45
Rockets vs. Lakers	7	$6.1K	5,213	1,000	+4,213	open	—	04-30 04:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	33	$5.8K	4,400	3,080	+1,320	open	—	04-19 19:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	43	$5.7K	3,256	4,629	-1,373	open	—	06-15 15:28
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	87	$5.0K	4,771	4,392	+379	open	—	05-21 19:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	12	$4.9K	2,550	3,050	-500	open	—	05-23 13:09
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	17	$4.6K	3,720	3,705	+15	open	—	04-26 19:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	125	$4.6K	20,222	8,035	+12,187	open	—	06-06 04:42
Pistons vs. Magic	26	$4.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-27 17:55
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	106	$4.2K	4,392	4,369	+23	open	—	05-20 11:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	10	$3.9K	3,363	3,363	+0	open	—	05-23 12:09
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	10	$3.8K	3,365	2,365	+1,000	open	—	04-26 21:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$2.6K	2,818	0	+2,818	open	—	05-22 18:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	9	$2.5K	1,644	1,644	+0	open	—	05-10 19:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	4	$2.5K	1,800	900	+900	open	—	05-10 20:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	5	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-30 04:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	9	$2.3K	2,512	3,012	-500	open	—	05-21 02:21
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	18	$2.2K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-18 11:10
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	24	$2.1K	1,500	895	+605	open	—	04-29 08:51
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	6	$2.1K	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	04-29 03:17
Pistons vs. Magic	28	$1.8K	2,423	1,223	+1,200	open	—	04-25 18:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	14	$1.7K	3,600	1,735	+1,865	open	—	05-22 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:28:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc5ad48…
06-15 15:28:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xa47c6f…
06-15 15:28:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xb06d9d…
06-15 15:25:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x656634…
06-15 15:24:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0xc03e4c…
06-15 15:24:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xfb0983…
06-15 15:24:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	116	6¢	$8	0x4bc66d…
06-15 03:17:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0xdb7c42…
06-11 18:44:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	250	88¢	$221	0x9eed22…
06-11 18:42:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5eaf66…
06-11 18:41:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x3bd325…
06-11 01:43:12	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	556	44¢	$245	0x019f48…
06-11 01:31:30	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	556	44¢	$245	0xd37509…
06-08 12:42:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2eb41c…
06-06 04:42:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$48	0x122427…
06-05 15:10:13	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x6703e9…
06-05 15:08:09	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x24ae0f…
06-05 14:03:42	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x1c0387…
06-05 14:02:00	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe02c34…
06-05 06:13:48	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	683	48¢	$328	0x2c82c8…
06-05 06:13:39	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8a6f4e…
06-05 06:13:12	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	301	48¢	$144	0xca743e…
06-05 06:05:15	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xad94bf…
06-05 05:52:55	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xfbab7b…
06-05 02:34:40	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	584	44¢	$257	0xd114da…
06-05 01:21:39	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x24d291…
06-05 01:21:34	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0x768dcd…
06-04 14:49:16	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x910413…
06-04 14:49:16	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x3a3fde…
06-04 14:23:03	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	112	48¢	$54	0x2d81c2…
06-04 12:26:42	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xebeed4…
06-04 10:53:30	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x579fa8…
06-04 10:53:19	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	375	30¢	$112	0x3c427f…
06-04 10:52:18	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x4eb01f…
06-04 10:43:07	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	167	30¢	$50	0xe739dc…
06-04 10:41:06	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	375	30¢	$112	0x81b1c7…
06-04 10:37:18	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x8ca011…
06-04 10:32:31	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xc81b0e…
06-04 10:25:01	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	1,590	28¢	$445	0x745a88…
06-04 10:25:01	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$9	0x693720…
06-04 08:21:33	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xc2fa81…
06-04 08:05:54	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0xda6416…
06-04 08:05:54	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xbc7dfd…
06-04 08:05:49	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xb7b341…
06-04 08:05:37	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x29df5d…
06-04 08:05:36	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0x2e76e4…
06-04 07:51:48	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	227	36¢	$82	0xe79197…
06-04 07:51:25	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	283	36¢	$102	0xf0f4a4…
06-04 07:04:57	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0xde93ac…
06-04 06:46:24	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x293381…
06-04 06:46:13	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe513d2…
06-04 06:45:16	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb133b4…
06-04 06:45:06	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x87a96a…
06-04 06:44:52	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x704209…
06-04 06:44:24	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xdda8a3…
06-04 06:44:13	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1f5a98…
06-04 06:44:12	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x080059…
06-04 06:05:46	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	370	36¢	$133	0xa3cac5…
06-04 06:04:16	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	274	36¢	$99	0xae4289…
06-04 05:18:10	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xe68195…
06-04 02:58:21	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	15	69¢	$11	0xd6b0ce…
06-04 02:49:28	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa7f4fa…
06-04 02:31:06	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0x314d53…
06-04 02:26:37	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0x052212…
06-04 02:26:18	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xc384fb…
06-04 02:15:31	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xfe9023…
06-04 02:15:30	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xf81c9b…
06-04 02:15:30	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x8f5bbf…
06-04 02:15:28	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xe3aefe…
06-04 02:15:28	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xa69a17…
06-04 01:37:06	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x169d7b…
06-04 00:51:21	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x43d910…
06-04 00:34:04	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x41b848…
06-04 00:34:03	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc3812e…
06-04 00:34:01	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x112317…
06-04 00:34:01	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x0ba3ef…
06-03 20:20:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	573	27¢	$155	0xc631af…
06-03 19:00:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	SELL	490	73¢	$358	0xe5b3fa…
06-03 07:41:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xf2b25c…
06-03 07:41:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x45c2a6…
06-03 07:41:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	No	SELL	210	27¢	$57	0xe29d27…
06-03 07:16:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	No	SELL	74	27¢	$20	0x139f94…
06-03 06:12:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	BUY	290	71¢	$206	0x79d14a…
06-03 05:00:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	35	45¢	$16	0x1a3ef3…
06-03 05:00:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x04f879…
06-03 05:00:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xf22caf…
06-03 05:00:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xa58b3c…
06-03 05:00:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x4e4e1a…
06-03 05:00:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x3cd586…
06-03 02:38:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	69	45¢	$31	0x1eb6bc…
06-03 02:38:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xbbb507…
06-03 02:38:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x142342…
06-03 02:38:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x0c6eeb…
06-03 02:38:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe43f9b…
06-03 02:38:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x5b5758…
06-03 02:38:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xc68be1…
06-03 02:38:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x3d618f…
06-03 02:38:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x35a911…
06-02 23:14:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x1f6abd…
06-02 23:01:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	450	46¢	$207	0x677cd2…