Electric-Declination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

542

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-31 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% — —

Tech

11% — —

Politics

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	13	$268	261	260	+1	open	—	07-23 19:16
elon musk of tweets march 10 40 49	2	$257	133	133	+0	open	—	03-11 15:28
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	3	$252	132	132	+0	open	—	03-10 16:01
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	6	$226	167	167	+0	open	—	03-07 16:25
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 115 139	2	$161	99	99	+0	open	—	03-21 13:05
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	2	$99	55	55	+0	open	—	07-22 07:34
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	5	$74	60	53	+7	open	—	03-25 14:24
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	3	$66	49	40	+9	open	—	04-04 13:04
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	7	$64	69	56	+14	open	—	03-17 15:08
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	2	$52	42	42	+0	open	—	03-31 06:48
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	2	$52	35	35	+0	open	—	03-25 14:23
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	5	$49	52	52	+0	open	—	03-27 14:18
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	3	$47	44	32	+12	open	—	03-31 20:42
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	4	$43	35	35	+0	open	—	03-30 06:33
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	4	$43	36	36	+0	open	—	03-31 17:41
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	3	$42	73	73	+0	open	—	03-21 11:34
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 30 2026 20260630182730908	4	$37	49	41	+8	open	—	07-31 21:48
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	4	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	03-04 16:45
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	07-21 16:40
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	2	$36	31	31	+0	open	—	02-03 17:02
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	07-07 21:55
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$36	23	22	+0	open	—	04-07 15:43
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 26 2026 20260630182730904	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	07-26 16:49
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	01-30 17:21
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	1	$33	51	0	+51	open	—	07-18 22:54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	3	$32	51	14	+36	open	—	04-27 14:49
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-03 12:50
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	3	$30	27	27	+0	open	—	02-28 17:25
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	07-19 22:07
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	6	$29	50	50	+0	open	—	03-17 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 21:48:54	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 30 2026 20260630182730908	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0d1137…
07-31 21:48:35	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 30 2026 20260630182730908	No	SELL	41	80¢	$33	0x24f366…
07-30 19:44:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 30 2026 20260630182730908	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x524338…
07-30 08:09:05	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 30 2026 20260630182730908	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x118fb6…
07-29 09:26:11	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 29 2026 20260630182730907	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xd3b25e…
07-28 21:27:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 28 2026 20260630182730906	No	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xcf1a00…
07-28 11:39:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 28 2026 20260630182730906	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x54b103…
07-26 16:49:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 26 2026 20260630182730904	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x201f1a…
07-26 13:23:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 26 2026 20260630182730904	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2ed62a…
07-25 15:35:33	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 25 2026 20260630182730903	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2b3520…
07-23 22:45:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x50961c…
07-23 20:20:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x19dcf0…
07-23 19:16:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	33	32¢	$10	0x351c60…
07-23 19:13:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0x44b41b…
07-23 11:13:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	74	55¢	$41	0x196759…
07-23 11:05:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaf0fd5…
07-23 11:02:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	103	50¢	$51	0xa20a00…
07-22 15:05:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x05e624…
07-22 11:09:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 22 2026 20260630182730900	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xd5a546…
07-22 07:57:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 22 2026 20260630182730900	No	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x5cb808…
07-22 07:55:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x34c5d1…
07-22 07:34:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0xd5b3de…
07-22 07:34:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x099173…
07-21 17:13:25	will elon post claude on x this week 20260717142156669	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xbfd950…
07-21 17:13:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 21 2026 20260630182730899	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xbb84c8…
07-21 16:40:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x45f3b2…
07-21 15:19:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 21 2026 20260630182730899	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xade905…
07-21 15:05:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 21 2026 20260630182730899	No	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xfde151…
07-20 13:20:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x37c3a3…
07-20 13:20:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x35ff34…
07-20 13:18:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	42	27¢	$12	0x57e258…
07-20 10:54:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 21 2026 20260630182730899	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xd47557…
07-19 22:40:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xfe9378…
07-19 22:39:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x76f341…
07-19 22:39:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x54ad34…
07-19 22:38:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xbdee20…
07-19 22:29:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 20 2026 20260630182730898	No	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x56e3de…
07-19 22:20:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x823b28…
07-19 22:07:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbbcbce…
07-19 22:00:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x17df62…
07-19 14:46:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x7bd0d4…
07-18 22:54:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x2bb793…
07-18 22:48:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts second half	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa241f9…
07-18 22:29:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x932679…
07-18 20:52:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xfeb81e…
07-18 19:08:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xda5aa5…
07-18 11:33:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xcebfe1…
07-17 10:59:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x5cc244…
07-07 22:51:41	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf29562…
07-07 22:10:10	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x19e0f4…
07-07 21:55:28	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb11d11…
07-07 21:49:16	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x86a5dd…
07-07 17:49:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x803ba6…
07-06 18:33:34	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x30612a…
07-04 22:31:26	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xea06eb…
07-04 18:57:20	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x171efd…
07-04 16:47:20	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5d94da…
07-03 20:45:16	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb78c6f…
07-03 20:04:44	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2f3562…
07-03 20:01:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7a2c9d…
07-02 14:22:37	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xaafd86…
07-01 21:14:28	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x549d2a…
07-01 20:05:55	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc024d8…
06-29 23:26:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe5d56f…
06-26 22:09:32	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xa0dd4c…
06-26 00:24:07	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xd6381a…
06-26 00:00:40	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc12f55…
06-25 22:31:58	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8e4259…
06-25 22:31:20	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1bc6cd…
06-24 22:09:58	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa185fe…
06-24 21:05:40	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ca139…
06-24 18:51:31	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x58ad4a…
06-24 08:32:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xee1b15…
06-23 22:24:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x91f4e9…
06-23 18:29:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x29b3b3…
06-23 18:19:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5c1a73…
06-22 21:12:05	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x6e4424…
06-21 19:00:20	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x640682…
06-21 18:57:23	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 assists kevin de bruyne gte2	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd406e2…
06-21 16:29:01	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x88671f…
06-20 21:47:28	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 10pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf9c4cd…
06-20 20:03:46	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xda90d7…
06-19 20:59:25	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1650d7…
06-19 19:11:31	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc12fd6…
05-19 16:55:46	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xd7d332…
05-09 21:30:11	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6c0919…
05-06 20:29:44	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa34a83…
04-28 07:56:28	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x9f3394…
04-27 21:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x015f6e…
04-27 21:17:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2668b9…
04-27 15:38:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4510f2…
04-27 15:37:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x70395d…
04-27 14:49:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0xaeb284…
04-27 09:01:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xa40458…
04-25 22:25:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5a0b5b…
04-25 12:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xcdb304…
04-25 12:22:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe283aa…
04-25 12:20:28	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa1e716…
04-25 12:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x12da53…
04-25 12:20:20	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaba0b6…