Incomplete-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-07 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$0

Politics

41% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$97	97	0	+97	open	—	02-16 23:47
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$93	93	0	+93	open	—	02-13 03:52
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-16 03:39
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-14 17:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$83	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	02-13 13:04
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$58	3,242	3,242	+0	open	—	02-17 13:56
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-12 13:11
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-11 12:13
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-10 13:37
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-09 08:27
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 7	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-07 09:17
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-05 23:16
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	04-03 13:27
ethereum above 2400 on april 1	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-01 10:00
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-31 13:28
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-29 09:04
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-28 07:32
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-26 04:19
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-24 12:11
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-25 06:43
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-23 12:31
ethereum above 1900 on march 22	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-22 13:38
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-21 14:42
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-20 14:18
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-19 13:37
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-15 17:55
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-16 09:45
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-21 03:40
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf79ac9…
06-04 14:03:36	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64531a…
06-02 10:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x07bd37…
05-28 01:18:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x15c00e…
05-21 10:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x6b7a0f…
05-20 14:38:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2486c0…
05-15 13:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd5177f…
05-14 10:43:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3e385…
05-11 13:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9d5caf…
05-10 13:53:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4449a9…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb54bc0…
05-05 14:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x9673b4…
05-04 12:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x921a5c…
05-03 12:39:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x02330c…
05-03 12:32:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9301f3…
04-27 13:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x466223…
04-27 13:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4c515e…
04-23 11:48:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20f802…
04-22 13:50:36	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ec370…
04-21 13:12:02	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49b874…
04-20 14:00:14	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe8f131…
04-19 12:54:50	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x653339…
04-16 15:06:12	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0a109…
04-15 08:32:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc827e0…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcee92e…
04-13 12:34:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x942ecf…
04-12 13:11:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8887f8…
04-11 12:13:13	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbe50a8…
04-10 13:37:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2874be…
04-09 08:27:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb48c30…
04-07 09:17:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 7	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4ee687…
04-05 23:16:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x24cced…
04-03 13:27:55	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xe652db…
04-01 10:00:59	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe269d4…
03-31 13:28:17	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x52cb4e…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xff7116…
03-29 09:04:30	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa299a9…
03-28 07:32:29	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x49059f…
03-26 04:19:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ad9ef…
03-25 06:43:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x528582…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 12:31:49	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb25645…
03-22 13:38:53	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x473768…
03-21 14:42:53	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2d2684…
03-20 14:18:23	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x66781e…
03-19 13:37:37	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa2c02a…
03-18 02:52:01	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x2824eb…
03-17 10:15:15	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6bc482…
03-16 09:45:49	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd9e533…
03-15 17:55:03	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa02b1e…
03-13 00:11:59	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8ad8d1…
03-11 09:54:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9e3930…
03-01 15:58:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9c5a27…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd7c4a2…
02-23 04:34:52	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x143d25…
02-22 04:01:28	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4bbd14…
02-21 03:40:46	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xab86e8…
02-17 13:56:47	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	SELL	3,242	1¢	$29	0xe7f593…
02-17 13:54:47	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	3,242	1¢	$29	0xf4da7f…
02-16 23:47:47	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xdb4d85…
02-16 03:39:19	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x41b049…
02-15 17:46:37	will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x71332a…
02-14 17:57:57	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd93931…
02-14 14:16:31	will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0x209c45…
02-14 12:44:29	will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x8836c8…
02-13 13:04:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,030	4¢	$39	0x396937…
02-13 10:20:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x7fc3ec…
02-13 10:20:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x552d25…
02-13 10:16:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x739580…
02-13 10:15:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0x572eb9…
02-13 10:14:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	821	4¢	$35	0x30a207…
02-13 05:22:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,001	0¢	$6	0xe79bfd…
02-13 03:52:01	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x1cf6c2…
02-12 13:11:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,001	0¢	$6	0x0e2e06…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Relieved-Dollop 0xfde3…f33b	59	$1.28K	81	06-04 16:42
Imperfect-Apology 0x4255…a731	56	$1.68K	77	06-07 08:33
Dear-Beancurd 0x70d9…1bf9	56	$1.26K	61	06-04 16:42
Gray-Chicken 0x2a9e…4a01	55	$1.34K	113	06-04 14:45
Wry-Codepage 0x6cc0…ebd5	53	$1.29K	71	06-07 08:33
Visible-Grandson 0xd735…1f2e	53	$1.16K	62	06-07 08:33
Circular-Spectacles 0x2c65…18f9	52	$1.52K	79	06-07 08:33
Antique-Gopher 0x74ac…fd35	52	$1.39K	92	06-07 08:33