Tall-Minimalism-Carpeting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

$2.58K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-26 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$28,894

Other

38% 29% -$2,779

Crypto

0% 40% -$30

Tech

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+2,456	$541	98¢	$2.4K	+$1,865	10-25 21:44
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	+8,323	$1,925	2¢	$125	-$1,801	10-26 14:18
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+250	$10	14¢	$34	+$24	10-25 00:04
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+400	$20	4¢	$15	-$5	10-21 06:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	8	$7.4K	27,774	0	+27,774	No	+$20,416	10-25 12:35
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	19	$4.4K	12,836	0	+12,836	Yes	+$8,478	10-25 06:24
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	11	$2.7K	4,823	2,367	+2,456	open	—	10-25 21:44
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	54	$2.6K	10,045	1,722	+8,323	open	—	10-26 14:18
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	9	$1.3K	810	810	+0	open	—	10-25 19:31
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.2K	2,472	0	+2,472	No	-$1,207	05-16 20:42
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	3	$1.1K	2,279	0	+2,279	No	-$1,100	05-15 17:43
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1000	1,649	0	+1,649	Yes	+$649	05-13 20:39
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$989	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	-$989	05-16 12:52
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	3	$700	1,847	0	+1,847	Yes	+$1,147	05-16 21:58
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$700	1,298	0	+1,298	Yes	-$700	05-16 20:24
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$520	834	0	+834	No	+$314	05-14 20:56
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$412	750	0	+750	No	-$412	05-16 21:26
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$250	504	0	+504	Yes	-$250	05-16 21:42
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$200	206	0	+206	No	+$6	05-12 21:19
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	23	$187	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	10-21 13:02
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	15	$127	733	733	+0	open	—	10-26 00:48
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	7	$114	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	10-26 11:25
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$65	829	0	+829	No	-$65	05-16 19:44
Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$60	375	0	+375	No	-$60	05-16 18:59
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?	1	$60	194	0	+194	No	-$60	05-16 16:09
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	204	0	+204	No	-$50	05-16 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:40 UTC	2	$50	88	0	+88	Up	-$50	06-04 05:40
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$40	73	0	+73	Yes	+$33	05-14 20:25
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$31	15,025	0	+15,025	Yes	-$31	06-09 18:18
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	5	$26	187	0	+187	open	—	10-25 08:30
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?	1	$25	213	0	+213	No	-$25	05-16 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:55 UTC	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	+$24	06-04 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:00 UTC	1	$25	37	0	+37	Up	-$25	06-04 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:50 UTC	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$26	06-04 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:18:33	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	90	5¢	$4	0x231787…
10-26 14:15:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6e892c…
10-26 11:25:26	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	495	11¢	$54	0x47c8a1…
10-26 11:25:08	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd261bb…
10-26 11:21:00	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	1,822	11¢	$200	0xe914a0…
10-26 09:50:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xd9fe6a…
10-26 08:17:47	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xc70430…
10-26 08:17:47	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9cc7be…
10-26 08:14:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xefde98…
10-26 08:14:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	401	10¢	$40	0xed1e27…
10-26 08:14:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd324b4…
10-26 08:14:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	155	10¢	$15	0xd021fb…
10-26 08:11:17	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe67613…
10-26 08:11:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0xf558b8…
10-26 08:11:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	125	10¢	$12	0x819134…
10-26 08:11:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x66b29e…
10-26 08:11:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x5a5912…
10-26 08:11:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x2c8684…
10-26 08:11:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x0cd55d…
10-26 08:09:56	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	174	12¢	$22	0x4610e1…
10-26 08:09:54	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xda0b8c…
10-26 08:09:54	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	101	12¢	$13	0x9f2a75…
10-26 08:09:54	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x555cec…
10-26 08:09:54	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	389	12¢	$49	0x2bb187…
10-26 08:01:44	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	1,646	12¢	$200	0xa58d4e…
10-26 00:48:33	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	733	1¢	$11	0x329799…
10-26 00:38:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	404	13¢	$53	0xe43065…
10-26 00:38:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	213	13¢	$28	0x856d99…
10-26 00:38:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	119	13¢	$16	0x619593…
10-26 00:37:39	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xce364c…
10-25 21:44:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	367	99¢	$363	0xf778b7…
10-25 19:32:41	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	1,070	82¢	$880	0x9f425f…
10-25 19:31:17	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	No	SELL	810	100¢	$808	0x5886a9…
10-25 12:35:15	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,300	33¢	$759	0xe03ca9…
10-25 09:05:51	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	106	27¢	$29	0x262a6b…
10-25 09:04:47	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	329	27¢	$89	0xfe52a8…
10-25 08:30:21	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc6b849…
10-25 07:13:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6,831	29¢	$2,000	0xae7514…
10-25 06:27:32	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0x18fb49…
10-25 06:24:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,400	29¢	$406	0xfcdcef…
10-25 00:04:54	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	174	4¢	$7	0x712a45…
10-25 00:04:42	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x8a40cc…
10-24 11:15:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	310	29¢	$90	0xe43851…
10-24 10:06:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	122	29¢	$35	0x1c868b…
10-24 10:04:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	506	30¢	$150	0xebcaec…
10-24 05:34:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	14,550	24¢	$3,492	0xf0ac31…
10-24 03:12:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,661	23¢	$382	0xa005a3…
10-23 08:41:12	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3,333	30¢	$1,000	0x9af0ba…
10-22 22:43:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	72	16¢	$12	0x96eb7e…
10-22 20:34:47	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xc12677…
10-22 20:34:47	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa1a12b…
10-22 19:07:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x990d43…
10-22 10:51:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	109	34¢	$37	0xcbee65…
10-22 10:51:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	191	34¢	$65	0xb4ef73…
10-22 06:45:00	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x7b14ac…
10-22 06:45:00	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1e6d73…
10-22 00:44:14	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	46	34¢	$16	0xb042af…
10-21 23:59:21	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xe354dd…
10-21 23:59:21	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x1f6ccc…
10-21 23:53:48	Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x3cb892…
10-21 23:01:59	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	1,148	20¢	$230	0xd1a046…
10-21 23:01:29	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	103	15¢	$15	0xec1f70…
10-21 13:02:24	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	336	16¢	$52	0x6be463…
10-21 12:43:17	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x81c7d7…
10-21 12:43:17	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x4c06c4…
10-21 12:43:17	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x314f2c…
10-21 12:43:15	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xf7f960…
10-21 12:43:15	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x714d81…
10-21 12:43:15	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x2d3de1…
10-21 11:00:11	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x3ad676…
10-21 10:07:36	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	160	16¢	$25	0xc675a7…
10-21 09:42:32	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xe65731…
10-21 09:42:32	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x6a039b…
10-21 09:41:41	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x2dd65b…
10-21 09:40:56	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x794761…
10-21 08:56:56	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0x87fc08…
10-21 08:26:27	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0xd79d99…
10-21 07:41:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0xf6b775…
10-21 07:32:15	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	1,055	31¢	$328	0x57e24b…
10-21 06:28:29	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x7ea5a6…
10-21 05:13:35	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0xbd5fd7…
10-21 04:23:36	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xa714b6…
10-21 02:57:08	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$57	0x10165e…
10-21 02:44:41	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xfcbcc0…
10-19 06:54:24	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0x72b8c0…
10-18 08:39:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	119	32¢	$38	0x79afef…
10-18 08:39:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	173	32¢	$55	0x2bc6d2…
10-18 08:39:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	173	32¢	$55	0x1ac490…
10-18 08:39:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	173	32¢	$55	0x121ff5…
10-18 07:36:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8d0737…
10-18 06:16:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa8809c…
10-18 05:59:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	339	32¢	$108	0x4ff705…
10-18 05:56:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0xade3f6…
10-18 05:56:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x52b597…
10-18 05:56:24	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0xa109db…
10-18 05:54:26	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	105	31¢	$33	0xcc8fd5…
10-18 05:23:24	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	242	30¢	$73	0xf408fd…
10-18 05:16:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	545	35¢	$191	0xfbae2e…
10-18 04:52:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xbebcd5…
10-18 03:37:14	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	209	35¢	$73	0x952bf5…