Shameless-Signify — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,468

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 08-17 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$10

Other

30% 0% $-3

Tech

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	37	$465	348	308	+39	open	—	04-16 12:25
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	45	$419	381	371	+10	open	—	04-22 21:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	47	$345	260	256	+4	open	—	06-19 21:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	14	$327	638	637	+0	open	—	04-15 21:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	28	$315	995	213	+782	open	—	03-07 01:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$302	275	266	+9	open	—	03-26 23:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	26	$274	414	449	-35	open	—	04-21 19:48
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	26	$262	207	108	+99	open	—	06-30 16:35
internet access restored in iran by march 14 2026	24	$257	138	130	+9	open	—	03-09 23:05
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	35	$251	376	375	+1	open	—	04-15 01:19
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	30	$249	415	343	+72	open	—	05-28 09:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	21	$218	155	151	+4	open	—	04-19 13:40
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	31	$212	282	202	+79	open	—	05-27 15:29
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	10	$180	184	184	+0	open	—	04-22 01:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	20	$179	632	618	+13	open	—	04-27 04:52
iran leadership change by march 31	13	$178	101	101	+0	open	—	03-29 11:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	7	$170	107	107	+0	open	—	06-25 18:39
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$163	184	180	+4	open	—	03-29 16:06
will germany strike iran by march 31	19	$147	148	145	+3	open	—	03-15 21:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	5	$144	585	583	+2	open	—	04-17 20:10
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	10	$128	107	106	+1	open	—	06-04 13:42
will uae strike iran by march 31	8	$128	78	72	+6	open	—	03-27 01:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	4	$125	106	104	+2	open	—	03-29 11:44
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	12	$123	344	340	+3	open	—	04-21 03:23
internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	8	$121	63	63	+0	open	—	03-29 11:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$108	99	84	+15	open	—	04-07 23:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$108	58	58	+0	open	—	03-29 11:45
will turkey strike iran by march 31	8	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	03-29 11:43
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	16	$104	148	97	+51	open	—	04-15 18:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$102	0	117	-117	open	—	06-17 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 22:03:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x8a3fc2…
08-17 20:00:51	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x9571f8…
08-17 19:42:55	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x6bea78…
08-17 18:49:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x93e751…
08-17 18:44:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xa51a9c…
08-17 18:43:49	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xd478aa…
08-17 17:55:43	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xd3010f…
08-17 13:42:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xdfac0b…
08-17 13:42:19	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xc9d410…
08-17 13:27:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x039079…
08-17 13:19:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x336562…
08-17 12:01:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x3529c1…
08-17 11:01:18	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x7d99a9…
08-17 10:58:15	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x4e4f19…
08-17 09:05:09	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x4565f9…
08-17 08:58:42	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xeb1bbf…
08-17 07:14:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x875dac…
08-17 06:50:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x8badd3…
08-17 06:49:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x04922a…
08-17 00:58:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x340d9c…
08-17 00:00:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xc9d59f…
08-16 23:29:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xb92573…
08-16 22:41:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xe094e9…
08-16 22:41:15	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x1eacab…
08-15 12:51:12	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa2eb23…
08-14 19:36:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x472371…
08-14 15:24:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x31b3c3…
08-14 13:11:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x88225d…
08-14 13:11:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x9ea597…
08-14 13:08:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xf6d3b1…
08-14 13:08:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x5f56a3…
08-14 13:05:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xda0266…
08-14 13:05:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x7da2cf…
08-14 13:02:24	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x481464…
08-14 12:51:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x9c06c5…
08-14 12:51:07	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2d2f2b…
08-14 12:51:06	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbde4e8…
08-14 12:51:06	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5ec4d7…
08-14 12:50:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe9f894…
08-14 12:50:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x7f33be…
08-14 12:50:51	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x7db992…
08-14 12:50:49	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0xdc4aa8…
08-13 18:32:55	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xf9ca54…
08-12 19:20:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x4bbd6d…
08-12 17:08:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x201c62…
08-12 17:02:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x174933…
08-12 15:56:27	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xce8796…
08-12 15:54:27	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xabfdad…
08-12 15:53:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x83eff2…
08-12 15:48:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x625dde…
08-12 15:47:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xcb0b5e…
08-12 15:46:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x195428…
08-12 15:46:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x58ef45…
08-12 15:45:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x32069f…
08-12 15:44:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x8dbcd8…
08-12 15:43:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x6d05ff…
08-12 15:38:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xa32e2f…
08-12 15:38:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x0d8c85…
08-12 15:35:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xa6cdad…
08-12 15:32:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x33c622…
08-12 11:32:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xd34f22…
08-12 11:29:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xff70db…
08-12 11:29:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xbe45cc…
08-12 11:17:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x98256e…
08-12 11:14:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x75a389…
08-12 11:11:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xb2782c…
08-12 11:01:06	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0xd776c4…
08-12 10:59:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0xa8c649…
08-12 10:56:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x881662…
08-12 10:54:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x307f24…
08-12 10:53:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x81113e…
08-12 10:53:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x423669…
08-12 10:53:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x847fb2…
08-12 10:53:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9f6f6e…
08-12 10:52:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x5dffba…
08-12 10:52:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x9f3235…
08-12 10:52:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xc24040…
08-12 10:50:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x9de2a0…
08-10 15:53:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xc9504e…
08-08 15:35:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xf4f5e7…
08-06 23:05:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x62f6ef…
08-06 21:14:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x8653f8…
08-06 20:57:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x9cd67b…
08-06 20:22:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x9de672…
08-06 20:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x97a078…
08-06 11:10:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x674273…
08-06 11:05:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x703373…
08-06 09:38:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x6d195a…
08-06 03:45:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x256e12…
08-06 00:58:02	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x525817…
08-06 00:28:17	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x0bb286…
08-05 23:46:41	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x172c8f…
08-05 23:31:02	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x2d6fd4…
08-05 23:29:15	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x74f8cf…
08-05 22:40:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xc2b831…
08-05 22:30:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x64e42a…
08-05 22:28:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x8c8bf5…
08-05 15:31:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xa8c0ab…
08-05 14:06:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x1636f7…
08-05 13:42:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x09c37a…