Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,131
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$81
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-14 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$10
Other
32% 0% $-3
Tech
9%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +32 $20 87¢ $28 +$8 06-02 19:17
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 06-02 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +34 $12 29¢ $10 $-2 06-13 13:39
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $8 78¢ $7 $-1 06-07 03:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +8 $4 74¢ $6 +$2 06-12 16:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +11 $2 47¢ $5 +$3 06-14 02:58
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -17 $-5 22¢ $-4 +$2 06-07 04:00