Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,221 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$19.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 03-13 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

60% 38% +$1,490

Crypto

27% 69% -$1,891

Politics

13% 29% -$812

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	44	$4.2K	7,874	7,100	+775	No	+$855	02-13 15:45
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$3.5K	5,020	5,020	+0	Yes	+$1,253	01-29 21:05
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	7	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$30	01-31 23:04
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$1.1K	880	880	+0	Yes	+$79	02-23 18:24
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	14	$1.0K	4,921	1,226	+3,695	No	-$1,047	03-01 02:15
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	2	$918	1,472	1,472	+0	No	+$241	02-01 23:13
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$772	1,320	1,320	+0	No	+$20	02-10 09:10
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	12	$600	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$20	02-28 21:36
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	29	$490	6,674	2,143	+4,531	Yes	-$456	02-24 21:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$338	2,407	2,407	+0	Yes	+$95	03-02 14:50
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	6	$250	900	300	+600	No	-$70	03-10 00:03
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	3	$221	300	256	+44	No	-$7	02-23 01:57
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	11	$204	900	900	+0	Yes	-$168	02-24 13:48
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	23	$200	105,000	0	+105,000	No	-$200	03-12 05:05
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	5	$180	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$180	02-13 18:36
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more 497 585	10	$175	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$175	02-13 18:41
bitcoin up or down january 22 7pm et	11	$161	145	115	+30	Down	-$11	01-23 00:58
bitcoin up or down january 27 4pm et	6	$150	106	106	+0	Down	+$0	01-27 21:51
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	6	$124	1,079	1,079	+0	No	+$6	03-03 21:49
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	5	$119	138	138	+0	No	+$39	03-03 19:32
bitcoin up or down january 22 2pm et	8	$105	115	100	+15	Up	+$5	01-22 19:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$102	3,300	3,300	+0	No	-$96	02-28 18:00
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	7	$100	771	0	+771	No	-$100	02-15 18:42
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	4	$100	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$100	03-03 22:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$100	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$100	03-12 09:30
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	1	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$100	02-13 15:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$99	26,350	0	+26,350	No	-$99	03-13 15:21
bitcoin up or down january 22 5pm et	6	$96	110	110	+0	Up	+$12	01-22 22:59
will the us next strike iran on march 31 2026 et	62	$94	8,167	1,000	+7,167	No	-$50	02-27 20:16
bitcoin up or down january 27 5am et	4	$88	120	60	+60	Down	-$52	01-27 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-13 15:21:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6,350	0¢	$19	0x52df54…
03-12 09:30:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x993a19…
03-12 06:10:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$80	0x47066f…
03-12 05:05:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11,754	0¢	$12	0xcbfcfe…
03-12 05:00:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xda9e6f…
03-12 04:58:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x2d887e…
03-12 04:58:19	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1afac0…
03-12 04:55:43	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	60,000	0¢	$60	0x306682…
03-12 04:55:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x222121…
03-12 04:52:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0xf6c4cf…
03-12 04:51:59	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3f5191…
03-12 04:51:39	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0xb4e935…
03-12 04:51:33	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14,000	0¢	$14	0x2d5c57…
03-12 04:51:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x6af8b2…
03-12 04:49:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xf781cb…
03-12 04:42:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x6d6ba8…
03-12 04:37:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	169	0¢	$0	0x6aabf9…
03-12 04:20:03	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	342	0¢	$0	0xa1926f…
03-12 04:13:59	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe791c6…
03-12 04:11:19	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xb675cb…
03-12 04:09:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc367d2…
03-12 03:48:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	214	0¢	$0	0xcef27b…
03-12 03:42:55	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x389452…
03-12 03:31:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,091	0¢	$5	0xaed7c5…
03-12 03:31:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,062	0¢	$7	0x4261c6…
03-10 18:55:15	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$5	0xaf9884…
03-10 00:03:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	112	15¢	$17	0x5ae6d7…
03-09 23:59:17	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	210	15¢	$32	0xa30ae4…
03-09 23:21:09	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	124	15¢	$19	0x5415f4…
03-09 23:15:07	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	154	15¢	$23	0xf7c58b…
03-09 19:29:09	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x8e75da…
03-09 19:26:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xe10231…
03-09 19:26:19	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xabce6d…
03-07 05:03:23	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	300	30¢	$90	0x66f40e…
03-05 19:42:25	Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	214	1¢	$1	0x8edb38…
03-05 19:41:07	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5,327	0¢	$16	0xa4f959…
03-05 19:40:55	Will Massoud Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$20	0x4a3cf1…
03-03 23:49:49	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	321	0¢	$1	0x6a677e…
03-03 22:49:03	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,855	2¢	$46	0x242fd1…
03-03 22:19:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa82aa8…
03-03 22:08:33	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x52b8e4…
03-03 22:02:05	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	445	2¢	$11	0x0f5172…
03-03 21:49:09	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$51	0x858964…
03-03 21:24:05	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$26	0x2d4eb4…
03-03 20:55:45	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,692	2¢	$42	0xaa907e…
03-03 20:47:11	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x701a78…
03-03 20:25:09	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xe6767f…
03-03 20:24:53	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x633d14…
03-03 20:24:51	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfdc7d8…
03-03 20:24:51	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf5dae2…
03-03 20:24:41	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x79983f…
03-03 20:24:33	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x547696…
03-03 20:24:27	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8972c7…
03-03 20:23:25	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2344e7…
03-03 20:20:45	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe7153b…
03-03 20:20:45	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0xaa3a0d…
03-03 20:20:45	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x285152…
03-03 20:20:27	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x490abd…
03-03 20:19:35	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5e08dc…
03-03 20:19:07	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe8fa86…
03-03 20:19:07	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x7cd769…
03-03 20:18:31	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x03289e…
03-03 20:18:11	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6279bb…
03-03 20:18:11	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x312204…
03-03 20:17:41	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x416063…
03-03 20:17:25	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x49f2ac…
03-03 20:17:21	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xed597b…
03-03 20:17:09	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x8419d1…
03-03 20:17:09	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x3d9731…
03-03 20:17:09	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	184	2¢	$5	0x0a5c75…
03-03 19:45:39	Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$1	0xc8b644…
03-03 19:34:49	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x1bc711…
03-03 19:32:05	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	SELL	37	50¢	$19	0x00ce05…
03-03 19:21:11	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x6ddd45…
03-03 19:20:43	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xb08c2e…
03-03 19:17:53	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	967	0¢	$3	0x1c6012…
03-03 19:14:55	Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$1	0xc4747a…
03-03 19:14:11	Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xaa4c59…
03-03 18:04:31	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	SELL	101	60¢	$60	0x8ea411…
03-03 13:56:25	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x3ddfd0…
03-03 01:04:37	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xfbbf7a…
03-03 00:58:17	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xea0556…
03-03 00:37:41	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	No	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0xf1e2da…
03-02 19:53:59	Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	102	27¢	$28	0xf7b277…
03-02 14:50:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	146	9¢	$13	0x5c8940…
03-02 14:45:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xf1f919…
03-02 14:39:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	274	9¢	$25	0xf27eeb…
03-02 14:07:27	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe9e985…
03-02 14:07:25	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd3571d…
03-02 14:07:25	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x90fc9d…
03-02 13:53:49	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc2b7ec…
03-02 13:52:43	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa5cb5e…
03-02 13:52:21	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x138b96…
03-02 13:52:01	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x4f37ba…
03-02 13:51:49	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xaad7cc…
03-02 13:51:31	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf48d6c…
03-02 13:49:39	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb8bd83…
03-02 13:49:27	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x9db127…
03-02 13:49:15	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6c1ac1…
03-02 13:49:03	Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x144e02…