Which-Rock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

692

lifetime

Volume

$78.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$497

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-28 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

42% 67% +$22

Sports

3% 100% +$26

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+500	$456	99¢	$497	+$41	06-24 21:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$5.5K	2,759	2,759	+0	open	—	04-16 19:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	11	$5.0K	2,560	2,560	+0	open	—	05-15 17:05
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	14	$4.3K	4,344	112	+4,232	open	—	05-30 19:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$3.7K	1,880	1,880	+0	open	—	05-30 10:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	7	$3.6K	1,843	1,843	+0	open	—	04-24 16:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	6	$3.5K	1,862	1,862	-0	open	—	04-18 03:03
Will Raphinha be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$2.8K	2,756	0	+2,756	open	—	04-14 21:01
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	7	$2.7K	2,730	0	+2,730	open	—	04-14 10:32
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	7	$2.6K	2,668	0	+2,668	open	—	04-11 02:43
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$2.5K	1,243	1,243	+0	open	—	03-31 01:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	13	$2.4K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	04-26 05:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$2.1K	1,120	1,084	+36	open	—	05-30 19:07
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?	6	$2.1K	1,055	1,055	+0	open	—	05-03 14:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-06 18:41
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	15	$1.7K	1,677	0	+1,677	open	—	05-01 21:50
will gianni infantino attend the 2026 state of the union address	24	$1.6K	832	832	+0	open	—	02-25 05:12
will wout van aert finish in the top 3 at the 2026 paris roubaix hauts de france	2	$1.5K	1,517	0	+1,517	open	—	04-12 21:16
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	1	$1.3K	1,353	0	+1,353	open	—	03-20 02:58
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	open	—	03-31 15:03
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	10	$1.1K	420	719	-299	open	—	04-30 23:09
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	4	$1.1K	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	04-17 11:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	04-24 16:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$15	05-03 19:19
will iran strike kuwait in march	6	$979	500	500	+0	open	—	03-07 11:59
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	5	$921	474	474	+0	open	—	04-29 16:24
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	38	$827	438	438	+0	open	—	04-30 03:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$796	700	200	+500	open	—	06-24 21:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$684	360	373	-13	open	—	04-29 14:26
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	7	$679	359	359	+0	open	—	06-13 06:03
Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	6	$647	334	334	+0	open	—	04-27 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 15:45:13	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x4b4548…
06-25 19:45:01	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0xffe7a4…
06-24 21:14:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x70fa9a…
06-24 21:12:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc6cf15…
06-24 21:10:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	381	95¢	$362	0x5fa900…
06-24 21:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x080f6f…
06-24 21:06:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6ff391…
06-24 21:05:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb6c84f…
06-24 21:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3a73cd…
06-24 17:39:56	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xbefad6…
06-23 23:30:10	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x67f6d7…
06-23 23:29:08	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcdf176…
06-20 21:15:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xec9fcc…
06-20 13:10:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	97	50¢	$49	0x96788c…
06-20 12:48:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x0dc5be…
06-19 09:32:04	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xb52c80…
06-19 09:10:40	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xc989d8…
06-19 09:01:29	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x27d477…
06-19 09:01:22	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xb4f806…
06-19 08:51:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x80848d…
06-19 08:40:53	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xec4d40…
06-19 08:31:25	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xaf6dc0…
06-19 08:23:28	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x745a43…
06-19 08:21:07	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xd7bf7c…
06-19 08:19:14	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	80	90¢	$72	0xf38d3b…
06-19 07:57:35	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb9b720…
06-19 06:13:50	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xf1f756…
06-19 06:12:25	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x1e058c…
06-15 05:28:01	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xd90176…
06-15 05:24:10	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	41	43¢	$18	0x7cc1f1…
06-14 20:51:52	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xb10c4e…
06-14 13:52:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x7d15be…
06-14 09:08:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0xe20abf…
06-14 09:07:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	200	75¢	$149	0x185c70…
06-14 01:42:04	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xb17c74…
06-14 00:23:25	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x682da0…
06-13 17:23:24	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	69	68¢	$47	0x0f36f1…
06-13 10:12:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408	No	SELL	529	100¢	$526	0xd3de5a…
06-13 07:08:00	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0xd49eeb…
06-13 06:03:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	359	96¢	$343	0xe294b9…
06-12 22:30:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x8f21c5…
06-12 21:57:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa25542…
06-12 21:57:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3e1a84…
06-12 21:57:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdfaaa7…
06-12 21:57:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2755e0…
06-12 21:00:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x372d87…
06-12 20:20:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	122	90¢	$110	0x2444a7…
06-12 20:14:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	20	91¢	$19	0x1582a0…
06-12 19:25:46	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	59	36¢	$21	0xeb3f4e…
06-12 13:06:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x6c4c09…
06-12 12:00:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0x511fc1…
06-12 11:58:54	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x20e393…
06-11 20:20:24	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xf91632…
06-11 20:19:27	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0x5d3874…
06-11 20:19:12	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x61792d…
06-11 20:18:46	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x3f44a4…
06-11 20:18:07	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x5c5c7f…
06-11 20:17:49	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0xb11b73…
06-11 20:17:33	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	48	37¢	$18	0xffee5d…
06-11 20:17:07	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x038c4d…
06-11 20:17:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	88	74¢	$64	0xbb6899…
06-11 20:16:37	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x1a5657…
06-11 20:15:48	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x97d572…
06-11 20:14:42	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	43	36¢	$15	0xcd4930…
06-11 20:14:27	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	42	34¢	$14	0x680575…
06-11 20:14:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x63c8b1…
06-11 20:14:13	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	118	31¢	$36	0x962208…
06-11 20:13:27	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x0b37b5…
06-11 20:09:52	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	156	82¢	$128	0xc190da…
06-11 20:06:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xbf4657…
06-11 20:06:30	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xa8e780…
06-11 20:01:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x2eecd3…
06-11 20:00:57	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb3f7c2…
06-11 20:00:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x870fb2…
06-11 19:51:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	107	83¢	$89	0x66a123…
06-11 19:50:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4553bd…
06-11 19:50:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	31	83¢	$26	0x3fd9a0…
06-11 19:49:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xe15251…
06-11 19:48:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xa137bb…
06-06 18:41:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	696	99¢	$688	0xd5fca4…
06-06 18:39:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xfb1c96…
06-06 18:15:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	331	99¢	$327	0xf77a36…
06-06 18:08:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5da9bd…
06-06 18:08:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ee2a2…
06-06 18:05:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	909	99¢	$899	0xd25c37…
06-03 20:57:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x0d4f53…
05-30 19:08:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,020	99¢	$1,010	0x85e55f…
05-30 19:07:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	775	100¢	$773	0x32619f…
05-30 10:55:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,467	98¢	$1,437	0x299e96…
05-30 10:54:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$186	0x66ff8b…
05-30 10:54:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,880	100¢	$1,872	0x07dff9…
05-30 04:44:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x6d6921…
05-30 04:43:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	545	98¢	$533	0x2c48ad…
05-30 04:39:29	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	202	98¢	$197	0xb51322…
05-30 04:39:06	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0xa8e4ee…
05-30 04:38:38	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	377	97¢	$367	0x8fcb03…
05-30 04:37:39	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	227	97¢	$220	0x8ae740…
05-29 20:16:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	95¢	$238	0xc4fd1e…
05-28 18:07:41	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xc8fb6b…
05-26 17:39:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x94a16b…