Which-Rock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$74.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-06 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

41% 67% +$22

Sports

3% 100% +$26

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$5.5K	2,759	2,759	+0	open	—	04-16 19:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	11	$5.0K	2,560	2,560	+0	open	—	05-15 17:05
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	14	$4.3K	4,344	112	+4,232	open	—	05-30 19:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$3.7K	1,880	1,880	+0	open	—	05-30 10:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	7	$3.6K	1,843	1,843	+0	open	—	04-24 16:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	6	$3.5K	1,862	1,862	-0	open	—	04-18 03:03
Will Raphinha be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$2.8K	2,756	0	+2,756	open	—	04-14 21:01
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	7	$2.7K	2,730	0	+2,730	open	—	04-14 10:32
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	7	$2.6K	2,668	0	+2,668	open	—	04-11 02:43
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$2.5K	1,243	1,243	+0	open	—	03-31 01:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	13	$2.4K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	04-26 05:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$2.1K	1,120	1,084	+36	open	—	05-30 19:07
Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?	6	$2.1K	1,055	1,055	+0	open	—	05-03 14:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-06 18:41
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	15	$1.7K	1,677	0	+1,677	open	—	05-01 21:50
will gianni infantino attend the 2026 state of the union address	24	$1.6K	832	832	+0	open	—	02-25 05:12
will wout van aert finish in the top 3 at the 2026 paris roubaix hauts de france	2	$1.5K	1,517	0	+1,517	open	—	04-12 21:16
foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	1	$1.3K	1,353	0	+1,353	open	—	03-20 02:58
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	open	—	03-31 15:03
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	10	$1.1K	420	719	-299	open	—	04-30 23:09
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	4	$1.1K	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	04-17 11:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	04-24 16:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$15	05-03 19:19
will iran strike kuwait in march	6	$979	500	500	+0	open	—	03-07 11:59
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	5	$921	474	474	+0	open	—	04-29 16:24
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	38	$827	438	438	+0	open	—	04-30 03:52
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$684	360	373	-13	open	—	04-29 14:26
Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	6	$647	334	334	+0	open	—	04-27 21:27
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	2	$621	314	314	+0	open	—	04-26 22:12
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?	10	$603	576	45	+531	open	—	04-30 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 18:41:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	696	99¢	$688	0xd5fca4…
06-06 18:39:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xfb1c96…
06-06 18:15:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	331	99¢	$327	0xf77a36…
06-06 18:08:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5da9bd…
06-06 18:08:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ee2a2…
06-06 18:05:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	909	99¢	$899	0xd25c37…
06-03 20:57:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x0d4f53…
05-30 19:08:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,020	99¢	$1,010	0x85e55f…
05-30 19:07:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	775	100¢	$773	0x32619f…
05-30 10:55:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	1,467	98¢	$1,437	0x299e96…
05-30 10:54:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	189	98¢	$186	0x66ff8b…
05-30 10:54:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,880	100¢	$1,872	0x07dff9…
05-30 04:44:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0x6d6921…
05-30 04:43:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	545	98¢	$533	0x2c48ad…
05-30 04:39:29	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	202	98¢	$197	0xb51322…
05-30 04:39:06	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0xa8e4ee…
05-30 04:38:38	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	377	97¢	$367	0x8fcb03…
05-30 04:37:39	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	227	97¢	$220	0x8ae740…
05-29 20:16:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	95¢	$238	0xc4fd1e…
05-28 18:07:41	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xc8fb6b…
05-26 17:39:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x94a16b…
05-26 17:38:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x4d68eb…
05-26 09:09:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xd5a932…
05-24 17:15:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x62608b…
05-24 17:03:42	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x194fde…
05-24 17:03:16	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x549298…
05-23 21:43:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x343803…
05-23 21:38:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	161	98¢	$158	0x5824e8…
05-23 21:38:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	142	98¢	$139	0xcce923…
05-23 20:05:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0x7c0406…
05-23 19:05:12	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x9c5a83…
05-23 18:56:56	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	35	84¢	$30	0xe19871…
05-22 16:57:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x94ce57…
05-22 16:56:31	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xb0ea02…
05-21 05:49:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0xf1811e…
05-21 04:58:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x301198…
05-20 03:39:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2ad41e…
05-19 18:16:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	420	94¢	$397	0x947f8e…
05-18 19:02:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	700	94¢	$659	0xa66581…
05-18 05:36:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1c19ed…
05-16 22:05:18	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in May 2026?	No	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x6e195b…
05-16 21:29:50	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb67f39…
05-16 21:29:34	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$60	0x876df1…
05-16 17:13:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xb4a0c4…
05-16 17:10:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x5d9ef4…
05-16 17:09:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,180	96¢	$1,132	0x5ccf31…
05-16 17:05:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	394	95¢	$375	0x93d8e9…
05-16 17:04:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x5b6ca4…
05-16 16:56:57	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x8248ad…
05-16 16:55:12	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa363ce…
05-15 17:05:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,300	100¢	$2,298	0xff2365…
05-12 18:42:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x027b05…
05-12 18:36:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x059836…
05-07 13:02:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$935	0x25f002…
05-06 20:52:17	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0xe6a6a9…
05-06 20:24:42	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x9bc205…
05-06 09:06:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	913	94¢	$862	0x89b886…
05-06 09:04:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6a75dc…
05-06 09:04:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x537364…
05-06 09:04:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0xf7359e…
05-06 08:57:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x481bac…
05-06 07:11:04	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xc022dd…
05-06 05:52:34	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x913d04…
05-06 05:51:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0xacaa31…
05-06 05:50:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9dfeb2…
05-06 05:48:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x4a07fb…
05-06 05:36:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xf0255b…
05-05 22:19:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xca42ad…
05-05 20:30:32	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x3537a9…
05-05 20:28:56	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7c905f…
05-05 20:28:02	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xd7f558…
05-05 20:24:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	260	98¢	$256	0xcd808e…
05-05 20:24:30	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x472507…
05-05 05:51:38	Will Vitória de Guimarães qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf7d761…
05-05 05:50:48	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x52d4d3…
05-05 05:50:32	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8314a3…
05-05 05:50:00	Will Sporting CP qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5723…
05-04 19:53:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	260	96¢	$250	0xa33e1f…
05-04 15:48:44	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x4951bb…
05-04 15:31:26	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x6f8015…
05-03 19:19:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	950	99¢	$937	0xd23563…
05-03 19:18:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3ae31c…
05-03 19:15:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x592ea6…
05-03 19:12:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xd1f681…
05-03 14:47:16	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 8?	No	SELL	1,055	100¢	$1,054	0xa1146d…
05-03 06:04:18	Will Estoril Praia qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x30e3d4…
05-03 06:04:06	Will Estoril Praia qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf12712…
05-02 20:31:26	Will Gil Vicente qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x0ccb2f…
05-02 20:28:02	Will Alverca qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x759377…
05-02 20:27:28	Will Vitória de Guimarães qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6ffa8a…
05-02 20:26:36	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xb211d0…
05-02 20:26:26	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0xd44b74…
05-02 20:26:16	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x336f33…
05-02 20:26:02	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x295a5c…
05-02 20:25:46	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x821e0b…
05-02 20:25:20	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x711eea…
05-02 20:24:48	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x098b34…
05-02 20:24:42	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9c8c46…
05-02 20:24:34	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xe815be…
05-02 20:24:24	Will Moreirense qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x6d1a12…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	100	$24.1M	34,443	06-09 13:45
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	99	$17.5K	2,991	06-04 12:04
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	98	$71.6K	7,173	05-29 23:43
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	91	$203.5K	15,028	06-01 03:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	90	$733.8K	11,736	06-09 06:12
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	88	$28.4K	6,214	05-06 16:25
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	77	$291.0K	25,788	06-09 23:31
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	73	$2.12K	1,367	06-07 02:32