Starry-Brook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$226

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-10 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

66% 57% -$4

Crypto

29% 50% -$9

Politics

5% 67% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	2	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	03-13 12:50
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	2	$21	21	21	+0	No	-$9	03-20 01:19
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	1	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	+$2	01-31 10:14
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	02-09 04:35
bitcoin up or down on february 3	3	$10	19	12	+7	Down	-$1	02-03 14:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	2	$8	7	5	+2	Yes	-$2	03-08 03:34
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	02-09 04:35
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$7	10	0	+10	No	+$3	02-10 07:54
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	02-10 07:54
xrp up or down on february 6	6	$6	10	2	+7	Up	-$1	02-06 08:16
bitcoin up or down on february 2	2	$4	9	0	+9	Up	$0	02-02 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	+$0	03-14 07:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	+$0	03-14 07:55
spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	-$3	03-16 10:57
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	1	$3	0	5	-5	No	-$2	02-23 00:23
bitcoin up or down on february 14	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 08:35
solana up or down on february 5	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$0	02-05 11:49
bitcoin up or down on march 8	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	03-08 03:48
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-11 02:50
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	3	$3	4	2	+2	Yes	-$1	02-24 23:48
will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-15 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:10 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 13:10
si up or down on february 2 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	02-03 00:18
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	02-02 14:37
cl up or down on february 9 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	Up	-$2	02-09 16:04
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	2	$2	2	1	+0	Up	+$0	03-10 12:17
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-02 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	02-14 10:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 09:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	01-31 10:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 14:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	02-02 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:14:57	spy up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x80ccd1…
07-25 07:49:15	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6c54cc…
07-04 03:35:52	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0814d6…
07-04 03:35:32	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe7cc25…
05-17 05:04:39	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7d16da…
05-10 01:21:30	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb0c59f…
05-03 04:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5fd17c…
05-03 04:05:12	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x34ff67…
04-02 05:21:35	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfdbdb8…
04-01 10:33:53	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25fbc4…
03-23 10:33:29	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x76d0e3…
03-23 05:32:51	cl up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x444d2a…
03-22 02:42:25	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa6b7dd…
03-22 02:13:37	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x410af4…
03-20 14:45:03	si up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcf6567…
03-20 14:44:25	tsla up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x12da41…
03-20 14:41:49	nvda close above 175 on march 20 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc25c0c…
03-20 01:19:17	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x18fc0c…
03-18 10:11:57	si up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x279786…
03-16 10:57:57	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xac826b…
03-15 02:19:43	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	21	68¢	$15	0x0b2102…
03-14 07:57:47	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4f54f2…
03-14 07:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7f811b…
03-14 07:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x135276…
03-14 07:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x290365…
03-14 07:47:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x291543…
03-14 07:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x836b3d…
03-14 07:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x213b92…
03-14 07:40:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x77377d…
03-14 07:38:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x550082…
03-14 07:38:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xa5a72f…
03-14 07:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf9c394…
03-14 07:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x328ca9…
03-13 12:52:07	ndx up or down on march 13 2026	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc0729f…
03-13 12:50:53	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x031318…
03-13 10:58:27	spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x95cdf3…
03-12 12:34:19	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6b9dc0…
03-11 13:41:57	bitcoin up or down on march 11	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7990a8…
03-11 10:58:05	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 11	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xee71ba…
03-11 02:51:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbb7c46…
03-11 02:50:15	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xdc7ce7…
03-10 12:17:59	spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8bda60…
03-10 11:45:23	spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x65b5ce…
03-10 07:26:45	cl up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3956fa…
03-09 13:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xb5699a…
03-09 13:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xee2691…
03-09 11:03:29	ethereum up or down on march 9	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54f1bb…
03-08 03:49:47	xrp up or down on march 8	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x62b8d7…
03-08 03:48:15	bitcoin up or down on march 8	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4bbbb7…
03-08 03:34:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xef92bc…
03-07 07:50:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe21248…
03-07 07:49:53	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0d6a8e…
03-07 06:49:49	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x296a60…
03-05 02:47:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x884bdc…
03-02 11:50:27	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x4ff1c1…
03-02 08:50:19	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x276937…
03-02 08:49:43	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2d6d0f…
03-02 08:49:35	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb3411b…
03-02 03:02:19	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8f9cbf…
02-24 23:48:00	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7e809b…
02-23 00:37:46	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf8c263…
02-23 00:37:30	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9d39eb…
02-23 00:24:02	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xfbbc89…
02-23 00:23:56	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x724583…
02-23 00:23:52	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x370f24…
02-15 04:06:27	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x19719c…
02-15 04:05:51	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xfe5856…
02-15 04:05:05	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x53a551…
02-14 10:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeec148…
02-14 10:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd2f219…
02-14 10:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x389e27…
02-14 10:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd7d0dd…
02-14 08:35:59	bitcoin up or down on february 14	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe2ba7c…
02-14 03:10:59	bitcoin up or down on february 14	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7ec1aa…
02-11 14:27:19	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xf8e1e1…
02-10 07:54:41	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x6d9eea…
02-10 07:54:27	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbcd869…
02-10 07:47:59	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x99ba13…
02-10 07:47:29	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb650fd…
02-09 16:04:41	cl up or down on february 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbd0197…
02-09 04:35:29	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x56c2ed…
02-09 04:35:23	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xcc1b3e…
02-09 03:42:57	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb2c589…
02-09 03:36:19	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xb8ad24…
02-06 08:16:17	xrp up or down on february 6	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x57dc33…
02-06 08:15:47	xrp up or down on february 6	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x279677…
02-06 08:15:19	xrp up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0be64b…
02-06 05:06:09	xrp up or down on february 6	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x59a547…
02-06 04:50:39	xrp up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb62f4b…
02-06 04:45:47	xrp up or down on february 6	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdae579…
02-05 11:49:03	solana up or down on february 5	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x9e2a77…
02-05 10:52:19	solana up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xaad09d…
02-05 03:51:01	ethereum up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x987cc0…
02-05 03:45:29	ethereum up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x8ce753…
02-05 03:44:53	ethereum up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x118b96…
02-04 12:53:14	bitcoin up or down february 4 7am et	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5aa6e6…
02-04 00:02:14	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2da144…
02-04 00:02:00	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdd3921…
02-03 14:57:52	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xe887a9…
02-03 03:34:40	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x6ca794…