Sophisticated-Acquisition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$672

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.7%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

$99

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-31 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

76% 0% -$4

Other

17% 0% -$668

Sports

6% 0% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No		-99	-$98	100¢	$-99	-$1	05-18 23:44
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes		-99	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-18 23:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$2.7K	1,361	1,361	+0	open	—	06-10 14:15
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	3	$2.7K	1,328	1,328	+0	No	-$1	06-11 09:33
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$2.6K	1,348	1,348	+0	open	—	10-23 02:25
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$2.6K	1,301	1,301	+0	open	—	06-11 08:27
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$2.6K	1,293	1,293	+0	No	-$1	06-10 13:44
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$2.5K	1,280	1,280	+0	No	-$1	06-09 04:14
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,272	1,272	+0	open	—	06-09 04:50
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$2.4K	1,222	1,222	+0	open	—	06-11 07:57
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.5K	784	784	+0	No	-$1	05-20 09:46
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$1.5K	773	773	+0	open	—	05-18 05:27
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$1.5K	742	742	+0	open	—	05-19 00:35
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$1.4K	727	727	+0	open	—	05-20 08:38
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$1.4K	720	720	+0	No	-$1	05-18 23:17
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$1.4K	715	715	+0	open	—	05-18 04:14
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?	2	$386	845	34	+811	Yes	-$357	09-11 09:04
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	2	$341	793	40	+754	Yes	-$309	09-07 16:28
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	10-31 09:56
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?	4	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	06-10 14:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$136	79	79	+0	open	—	05-19 00:43
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	4	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	05-20 09:54
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	4	$135	68	68	+0	No	$0	06-11 09:23
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$133	67	67	+0	No	$0	03-29 23:45
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?	2	$127	64	64	+0	No	$0	06-13 16:13
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	4	$121	68	68	+0	No	$0	05-18 05:18
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	10-28 12:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	05-22 14:46
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	06-13 16:05
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$99	0	198	-198	open	—	05-18 23:59
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	3	$94	47	47	+0	No	$0	03-26 18:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9?	2	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	06-09 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:56:13	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xffac53…
10-31 09:49:43	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xc0ed9b…
10-31 09:39:58	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xcc305f…
10-31 09:30:39	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xfc7686…
10-31 09:25:04	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0d8390…
10-31 09:15:46	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x1064f3…
10-31 09:06:12	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd985f0…
10-31 08:59:36	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5f298f…
10-31 08:53:27	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0xfbc021…
10-28 12:11:02	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x857067…
10-28 12:01:35	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x27ad90…
10-28 11:56:01	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9e88db…
10-28 11:49:28	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x50ffef…
10-28 11:43:05	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa63a81…
10-28 11:37:38	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x61f552…
10-28 11:28:56	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x048bba…
10-28 11:22:41	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdc5b11…
10-25 04:24:50	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x8db93d…
10-25 04:10:56	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb32894…
10-25 03:57:02	Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x905b9c…
10-25 03:49:59	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x919570…
10-25 03:41:11	Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfa164b…
10-25 03:24:30	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2123aa…
10-25 02:59:03	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfc04b0…
10-25 02:53:05	Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5a18b9…
10-23 02:42:36	Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xb49b83…
10-23 02:33:05	Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x465a6b…
10-23 02:25:50	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x34d01d…
10-23 02:17:26	Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x81f46e…
10-23 02:08:24	Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x686613…
10-23 01:58:17	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd0f5be…
10-23 01:49:08	Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x974c33…
09-11 09:04:18	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?	No	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0x342428…
09-11 08:32:04	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	845	44¢	$372	0x460616…
09-07 16:28:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x7a87aa…
09-07 15:48:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	793	41¢	$325	0x6ef901…
06-13 16:13:54	Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x803a99…
06-13 16:05:18	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x3d4552…
06-13 15:58:12	Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x44893a…
06-13 15:46:57	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa1e455…
06-13 15:39:25	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x175c32…
06-13 15:31:22	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0d4c8c…
06-13 15:22:19	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe95de6…
06-13 15:11:58	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa97b54…
06-11 23:46:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd5b172…
06-11 23:36:55	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1091a6…
06-11 23:27:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd44d3c…
06-11 23:19:52	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8bcd3c…
06-11 23:10:07	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfb0639…
06-11 23:01:33	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6e4e21…
06-11 09:33:03	Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	1,328	100¢	$1,325	0x5a5aaf…
06-11 09:23:49	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0xe85ca1…
06-11 09:09:16	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x527882…
06-11 08:52:03	Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	1,288	100¢	$1,286	0x70956a…
06-11 08:33:42	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x4f0c40…
06-11 08:27:34	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,301	99¢	$1,291	0x085a1f…
06-11 08:21:24	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x40309d…
06-11 08:12:45	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,285	99¢	$1,276	0x4bd706…
06-11 08:06:43	Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe8ffbc…
06-11 07:57:52	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	890	99¢	$884	0xd0e366…
06-11 07:47:30	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	331	99¢	$329	0x412f41…
06-11 07:40:16	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x49194f…
06-11 07:29:34	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,222	99¢	$1,214	0xa20637…
06-10 14:53:46	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,331	98¢	$1,307	0x3020f7…
06-10 14:47:43	Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xbd4de9…
06-10 14:40:34	Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd6241…
06-10 14:30:18	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,311	98¢	$1,288	0x9c7a52…
06-10 14:24:13	Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x18d8f9…
06-10 14:15:12	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,361	99¢	$1,342	0x7be629…
06-10 14:08:30	Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x0708bb…
06-10 14:01:42	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,341	99¢	$1,323	0x963816…
06-10 13:51:37	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xb82439…
06-10 13:44:36	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,023	100¢	$1,021	0x988bf5…
06-10 13:35:21	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0x57b33a…
06-10 13:21:06	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdce782…
06-10 13:13:22	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,293	100¢	$1,291	0xb2d2b3…
06-09 04:50:18	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,272	100¢	$1,267	0x1f5e85…
06-09 04:41:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7ba20…
06-09 04:35:40	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe5eb8f…
06-09 04:28:55	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,272	100¢	$1,268	0x5d19a2…
06-09 04:22:24	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2f7e43…
06-09 04:14:30	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	922	99¢	$915	0x3ecf8c…
06-09 04:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xd397a7…
06-09 02:57:06	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	358	99¢	$356	0xe07180…
06-09 02:48:37	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,280	99¢	$1,272	0x831dc8…
05-22 14:46:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x49fedc…
05-22 14:36:30	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x8daff0…
05-22 14:30:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7ded01…
05-22 14:25:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1c8aab…
05-22 14:16:38	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4934c1…
05-22 14:06:59	Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdde5c6…
05-22 13:58:03	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xae1fd1…
05-22 13:47:30	Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x23886d…
05-22 13:02:14	Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4e8047…
05-20 09:54:34	Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xe44d2d…
05-20 09:46:45	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	784	98¢	$772	0xcfc9d0…
05-20 09:36:29	Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5e5445…
05-20 09:26:44	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	751	98¢	$739	0xca4872…
05-20 09:15:25	Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xabca3f…
05-20 09:05:04	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xb2df95…