Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.31K

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$257.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5.37K

Open exposure

$27.4K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

64% 53% -$32,511

Politics

34% 40% -$9,976

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+41,954	$19,000	38¢	$15.7K	-$3,267	10-13 00:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-8,862	-$8,268	98¢	$-8663	-$394	06-01 10:25
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,534	$1,000	84¢	$1.3K	+$288	09-20 04:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,053	$1,000	97¢	$1.0K	+$24	09-20 04:45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	+737	$700	100¢	$736	+$36	10-07 16:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$32.3K	25,541	24,722	+820	Yes	+$8,097	10-14 14:23
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$24.4K	12,451	12,451	+0	No	+$391	03-25 22:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$24.2K	12,215	12,215	+0	No	+$191	04-27 00:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	1	$19.0K	41,954	0	+41,954	open	—	10-13 00:37
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	1	$15.0K	28,574	0	+28,574	Under	+$13,574	07-11 22:05
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	1	$15.0K	28,846	0	+28,846	No	-$15,000	07-18 15:40
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$15.0K	27,650	0	+27,650	Argentina	-$15,000	07-15 16:56
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	3	$14.8K	27,411	24,821	+2,590	Under	-$7,873	07-09 21:59
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	2	$14.0K	24,407	0	+24,407	Under	-$13,961	07-10 15:02
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	1	$12.0K	24,000	0	+24,000	Under	+$12,000	07-14 19:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$11.8K	0	14,092	-14,092	No	-$2,255	01-01 09:46
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 8pt5	1	$11.6K	25,068	0	+25,068	Under	-$11,586	07-12 00:21
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	1	$11.4K	25,657	0	+25,657	Over	-$11,353	07-10 19:06
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 9pt5	1	$8.9K	17,508	0	+17,508	Over	+$8,579	07-09 19:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$8.3K	0	8,862	-8,862	open	—	06-01 10:25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	7	$7.3K	15,436	0	+15,436	Yes	-$7,303	02-28 20:47
nba mil atl 2026 03 14	2	$2.1K	1,136	1,136	+0	Hawks	+$135	03-15 00:44
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	1	$2.0K	3,712	0	+3,712	Over	-$2,000	07-18 21:41
sea udi juv 2026 03 14 total 2pt5	2	$1.9K	3,807	0	+3,807	Under	+$1,941	03-14 20:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	09-20 04:45
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 2pt5	1	$1000	1,645	0	+1,645	Morocco	+$645	07-09 21:30
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	1	$1000	1,408	0	+1,408	Under	+$408	07-01 03:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1000	1,534	0	+1,534	open	—	09-20 04:45
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	1	$1000	4,152	0	+4,152	Yes	-$1,000	07-09 22:34
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	1	$700	737	0	+737	open	—	10-07 16:41
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	1	$500	1,562	0	+1,562	Over	-$500	07-18 22:15
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 0pt5	1	$500	1,136	0	+1,136	Under	-$500	07-09 20:29
Dota 2: oveA vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	1	$77	90	0	+90	Mena Warriors	+$13	10-28 11:06
aus wsw mac 2026 01 01 mac	3	$62	39	39	-0	Yes	+$3	01-01 09:47
epl liv lee 2026 01 01 total 3pt5	1	$0	0	0	+0	Under	+$0	01-01 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:06:49	Dota 2: oveA vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	Mena Warriors	BUY	90	85¢	$77	0x737bdf…
10-14 14:23:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x5d631f…
10-13 00:37:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	41,954	45¢	$19,000	0x6c65cc…
10-13 00:13:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24,722	80¢	$19,777	0x3e7997…
10-07 16:41:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	737	95¢	$700	0x84da60…
09-21 15:11:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22,449	49¢	$11,000	0xfc09ab…
09-20 12:48:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0x8f10f7…
09-20 04:45:34	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,534	65¢	$1,000	0x65ef2c…
09-20 04:45:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0xfdbb9d…
07-18 22:15:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0xdfb450…
07-18 21:41:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	3,712	54¢	$2,000	0xec8098…
07-18 15:40:40	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	28,846	52¢	$15,000	0x5f060d…
07-15 16:56:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	27,650	54¢	$15,000	0x1ab90a…
07-14 19:02:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	24,000	50¢	$12,000	0x4e64fe…
07-12 00:21:28	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	25,068	46¢	$11,586	0xbe31da…
07-11 22:05:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	28,574	52¢	$15,000	0x3ed306…
07-10 19:06:16	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	25,657	44¢	$11,353	0x7bee92…
07-10 15:02:32	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10,372	57¢	$5,961	0x740aab…
07-10 15:02:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	14,035	57¢	$8,000	0x040266…
07-09 22:34:14	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	4,152	24¢	$1,000	0xfced31…
07-09 21:59:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	24,821	9¢	$2,144	0x570188…
07-09 21:38:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2,590	36¢	$941	0x2b3d98…
07-09 21:30:37	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	1,645	61¢	$1,000	0x4a031a…
07-09 20:29:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0x1685a5…
07-09 19:48:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	17,508	51¢	$8,929	0x4f0c8c…
07-09 18:05:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24,821	47¢	$11,666	0xc4f14f…
07-01 03:48:28	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0x0a6261…
06-01 10:25:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8,862	93¢	$8,268	0x1481d5…
04-27 00:48:08	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	12,215	100¢	$12,191	0xafb0fe…
03-25 22:48:23	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	12,215	98¢	$12,000	0x2e7861…
03-25 22:47:53	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	12,451	100¢	$12,391	0x1453f0…
03-17 00:51:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	12,451	96¢	$12,000	0x2e060a…
03-15 00:44:21	nba mil atl 2026 03 14	Hawks	SELL	1,136	100¢	$1,135	0x7c5fe9…
03-14 20:25:05	sea udi juv 2026 03 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,744	50¢	$865	0x90780c…
03-14 20:25:01	sea udi juv 2026 03 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2,063	48¢	$1,000	0x80e1c0…
03-14 19:56:25	nba mil atl 2026 03 14	Hawks	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x44aadd…
02-28 20:47:37	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	2,067	7¢	$140	0xb7f36c…
02-28 20:46:45	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,808	7¢	$120	0x17d46a…
02-28 20:38:57	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	127	5¢	$7	0x9f9807…
02-28 20:38:35	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	727	5¢	$40	0x0d346b…
01-09 02:13:10	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,613	62¢	$1,000	0xf8020a…
01-08 18:28:32	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0x05321c…
01-07 00:26:11	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	7,506	67¢	$4,996	0x723d3d…
01-01 19:10:45	epl liv lee 2026 01 01 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x07b8db…
01-01 09:47:37	aus wsw mac 2026 01 01 mac	Yes	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0xe054a0…
01-01 09:47:13	aus wsw mac 2026 01 01 mac	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x10f703…
01-01 09:46:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	14,092	84¢	$11,837	0x899f31…
01-01 09:44:17	aus wsw mac 2026 01 01 mac	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$29	0x66fa84…