Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$853

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-03 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 75% +$22

Politics

41% — —

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$200	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	06-03 17:43
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	14	$108	105	105	+0	open	—	05-15 05:37
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	14	$98	99	99	+0	open	—	05-17 04:23
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	6	$59	45	45	+0	open	—	05-14 13:01
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$50	2,777	0	+2,777	open	—	05-14 05:15
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$37	61	61	+0	open	—	05-14 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$31	64	0	+64	Down	+$11	05-13 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$31	65	0	+65	Down	+$2	05-13 23:11
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	4	$30	28	28	+0	open	—	05-15 00:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 05:07
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 16:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	4	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$19	44	0	+44	Down	+$4	05-14 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$18	36	0	+36	Up	+$0	05-13 23:05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$17	37	36	+1	open	—	05-14 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$17	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	05-14 00:05
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$16	32	31	+1	open	—	05-14 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Down	+$14	05-13 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	5	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-13 23:31
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	05-17 12:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	2	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 05:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?	2	$9	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 17:43:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$200	0x818b2b…
05-17 13:15:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x69f223…
05-17 13:14:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x38be1b…
05-17 12:40:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x633e44…
05-17 12:10:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0dc2f2…
05-17 07:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xec4023…
05-17 06:40:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5216cd…
05-17 04:23:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x015dbe…
05-17 03:53:00	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6f5f09…
05-16 09:17:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0x33679e…
05-16 08:47:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf8a299…
05-16 08:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$4	0xf139ba…
05-16 08:05:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8823fc…
05-15 07:14:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xae32b8…
05-15 06:44:29	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x79d80d…
05-15 05:37:02	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x10b1b6…
05-15 05:27:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x193662…
05-15 05:21:55	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xd34bf7…
05-15 05:13:43	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0790d9…
05-15 04:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdb58b3…
05-15 04:51:53	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe3bbe3…
05-15 04:43:32	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xf2ad79…
05-15 04:13:28	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b4c9e…
05-15 02:08:50	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xcb17c3…
05-15 01:38:44	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x725bc4…
05-15 00:25:25	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x8c91fd…
05-14 23:55:22	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x04a52c…
05-14 18:22:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	21¢	$7	0x7d273f…
05-14 18:02:04	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x77ba23…
05-14 16:18:46	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0xe22bb4…
05-14 15:48:40	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf5dcf8…
05-14 15:13:08	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0x32e525…
05-14 15:12:02	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0df278…
05-14 14:03:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$10	0xc3a140…
05-14 13:33:53	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x088b65…
05-14 13:01:24	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x98ca93…
05-14 12:23:50	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x444de7…
05-14 12:22:17	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x508d35…
05-14 12:14:00	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xf4a83d…
05-14 11:52:11	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x920767…
05-14 11:47:41	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x2513ad…
05-14 11:32:56	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9d5673…
05-14 11:20:15	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x02a6ef…
05-14 11:05:55	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4752fb…
05-14 11:00:54	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0xc141ba…
05-14 10:52:34	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb1d579…
05-14 10:35:34	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0x2ffa13…
05-14 10:30:52	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6d7db4…
05-14 10:30:50	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x92cd84…
05-14 10:05:33	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf9da8a…
05-14 09:58:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xba76fe…
05-14 09:26:03	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x007a08…
05-14 08:56:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x091280…
05-14 08:21:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x8ad7d2…
05-14 07:51:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x43e5c9…
05-14 05:15:38	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	2,777	2¢	$50	0x4869b0…
05-14 05:07:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x5c70c6…
05-14 04:37:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x12433c…
05-14 04:37:29	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xeb07ac…
05-14 04:07:26	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2c869e…
05-14 02:48:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	18	52¢	$10	0xe34268…
05-14 02:09:03	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc1027a…
05-14 00:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x3ba199…
05-14 00:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x028502…
05-14 00:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x56e9ae…
05-14 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x1b54ce…
05-14 00:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x561916…
05-13 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x93c12e…
05-13 23:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd9116c…
05-13 23:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x13c7f0…
05-13 23:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x45dcee…
05-13 23:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xcff215…
05-13 23:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xe134fd…
05-13 23:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xd6f255…
05-13 23:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x9903da…
05-13 23:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x629ebb…
05-13 23:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0x5e8844…
05-13 23:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4670d8…
05-13 23:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x4d8970…
05-13 23:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2df2c8…
05-13 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x959175…
05-13 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa76636…
05-13 18:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdb47dd…
05-13 18:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xadcd61…
05-13 18:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xdb3edd…
05-13 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0c1ce9…