Hairy-Pike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-17 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

82% 83% +$21

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$52	100	+100	Yes	+$48	06-25 07:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$47	100	+100	No	-$47	06-04 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on May 11?	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	05-10 03:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on May 18?	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	05-17 01:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$39	100	+100	Yes	+$61	06-04 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 25?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	05-24 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on June 3?	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	06-03 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 30?	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	05-29 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	05-17 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on June 16?	1	$35	35	+35	No	+$0	06-15 02:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-21 05:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on May 5?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-05 01:09
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 11?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	05-10 03:20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	04-28 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$26	100	+100	No	-$26	06-25 07:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-29 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-29 00:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 25?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-24 02:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 16?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	06-15 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-21 05:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on May 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-24 02:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	05-21 05:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-29 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	04-28 01:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-17 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 3?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-03 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 28?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	04-27 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 30?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	05-29 02:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 22?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	05-21 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 14:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x1d3d2f…
09-17 14:02:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0x7476a7…
09-17 14:02:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x06a62b…
06-25 07:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd1f759…
06-25 07:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x9dc860…
06-25 07:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x336cbe…
06-15 02:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x490a33…
06-15 02:50:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf0b9de…
06-04 06:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xf8ad88…
06-04 06:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd38f6f…
06-04 06:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x1284bd…
06-03 05:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf7b413…
06-03 05:25:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a07c6…
06-03 05:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdd252a…
05-29 02:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc5ed5e…
05-29 02:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x0de9fd…
05-29 02:36:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x159109…
05-29 02:36:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90bd14…
05-24 02:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1d4cec…
05-24 02:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xde8326…
05-24 02:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 25?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x4d9030…
05-24 02:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x06e671…
05-21 05:55:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf3e337…
05-21 05:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb77df5…
05-21 05:54:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x45644a…
05-21 05:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xeb68df…
05-17 01:45:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on May 18?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x229e6e…
05-17 01:44:38	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x592370…
05-17 01:43:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95f503…
05-17 01:43:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d2ec7…
05-10 03:20:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4fe938…
05-10 03:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on May 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb44a58…
05-10 03:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on May 11?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5f35b7…
05-10 03:19:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe5879f…
05-05 01:09:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on May 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62180b…
05-05 01:09:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa8f15c…
05-05 00:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x51fdd2…
04-29 00:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on April 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbe6cd5…
04-29 00:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe849cf…
04-28 01:18:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7c839…
04-28 01:18:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfa0ad3…
04-28 00:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ca522…
04-27 09:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf83f3e…
04-27 09:04:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d410c…
04-27 08:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8893d7…
04-27 08:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b2bb6…