Oblong-Trench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-11 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 0% $-6

Politics

11% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+47	$15	50¢	$24	+$9	06-11 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	2	$241	206	206	+0	open	—	03-17 21:58
btc updown 5m 1774446900	4	$157	124	123	+1	open	—	03-25 14:00
btc updown 5m 1776328800	3	$145	143	134	+9	open	—	04-16 08:45
btc updown 15m 1775062800	2	$142	143	133	+10	open	—	04-01 17:15
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	2	$141	140	140	+0	open	—	03-22 21:16
btc updown 15m 1774869300	3	$141	120	118	+2	open	—	03-30 11:26
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$128	206	206	+0	open	—	06-07 19:58
btc updown 5m 1775980800	3	$118	91	88	+3	open	—	04-12 08:05
eth updown 15m 1774908000	2	$106	146	146	+1	open	—	03-30 22:09
eth updown 15m 1776081600	4	$105	164	155	+9	open	—	04-13 12:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	4	$105	284	284	+0	open	—	05-29 17:37
btc updown 15m 1774981800	2	$104	125	118	+7	open	—	03-31 18:41
btc updown 5m 1774293300	2	$103	88	88	+1	open	—	03-23 19:20
btc updown 5m 1775980500	2	$98	83	79	+5	open	—	04-12 08:01
btc updown 5m 1774447500	3	$98	98	98	+1	open	—	03-25 14:08
btc updown 5m 1774250700	2	$97	95	95	+1	open	—	03-23 07:29
btc updown 5m 1774542000	3	$96	127	126	+1	open	—	03-26 16:24
btc updown 5m 1774811700	4	$94	65	65	+1	open	—	03-29 19:20
btc updown 5m 1774530900	4	$91	86	85	+1	open	—	03-26 13:21
btc updown 5m 1774459500	3	$90	172	172	+0	open	—	03-25 17:29
btc updown 15m 1776383100	2	$89	74	70	+4	open	—	04-17 00:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$88	250	250	+0	open	—	03-22 09:39
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$87	191	191	+0	open	—	06-07 20:20
btc updown 5m 1774875900	3	$86	68	67	+1	open	—	03-30 13:10
btc updown 15m 1774996200	2	$85	80	76	+4	open	—	03-31 22:43
btc updown 5m 1774938600	1	$81	0	82	-82	open	—	03-31 06:35
btc updown 5m 1774292700	2	$79	71	71	+0	open	—	03-23 19:07
btc updown 5m 1776072900	4	$78	111	105	+6	open	—	04-13 09:39
btc updown 5m 1775386500	2	$77	72	68	+4	open	—	04-05 11:00
btc updown 5m 1774940400	3	$76	77	73	+4	open	—	03-31 07:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 19:42:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x8a619e…
06-11 19:42:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x89325f…
06-11 17:38:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x40a4b0…
06-11 17:37:06	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	SELL	236	5¢	$11	0xcbeb5b…
06-11 12:52:33	israel closes its airspace by june 12	Yes	BUY	236	11¢	$25	0x89dad4…
06-09 22:05:42	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	SELL	59	11¢	$6	0x5a14cb…
06-09 22:03:21	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2c879a…
06-09 06:30:39	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	257	2¢	$4	0x03139a…
06-08 13:20:49	btc updown 15m 1780924500	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x6ae392…
06-08 13:19:37	btc updown 15m 1780924500	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0ee12e…
06-08 11:19:57	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	327	10¢	$33	0x925eaa…
06-08 11:17:15	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x5ed827…
06-08 11:15:10	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xeb70d3…
06-08 11:14:36	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xfeec9e…
06-08 11:14:12	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x68cc74…
06-08 11:13:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xff2ee3…
06-08 06:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x25f7c7…
06-07 20:20:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	191	23¢	$44	0x3b974f…
06-07 20:13:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x659fdf…
06-07 20:07:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x6902a3…
06-07 19:58:54	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	206	50¢	$103	0x7869f7…
06-07 17:39:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x260513…
06-07 17:35:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	128	12¢	$15	0x4d5c53…
06-07 14:39:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x16b250…
05-31 23:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdffe86…
05-31 23:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x1aa35d…
05-31 23:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf209e2…
05-29 17:37:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	284	21¢	$60	0x158f14…
05-29 15:55:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	506	1¢	$5	0xc2d95d…
05-28 21:05:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xaee0d6…
05-28 21:04:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	108	14¢	$15	0x9bcae1…
05-28 20:14:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	168	3¢	$5	0x0fe699…
05-28 14:29:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	168	12¢	$20	0xea0785…
05-28 14:27:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x5e8af5…
05-28 14:24:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	187	5¢	$9	0x33ac8a…
05-28 14:24:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	202	6¢	$12	0x58b2b9…
05-28 12:05:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	202	7¢	$15	0x44ac9e…
05-28 12:04:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	187	11¢	$20	0x2f3b69…
05-26 19:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4d8385…
05-26 19:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3b7a36…
05-21 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xee29bb…
05-21 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbb3e16…
05-21 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8cba28…
05-20 12:09:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x82541b…
05-18 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x543e21…
05-18 16:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x044103…
05-16 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x7bc683…
05-16 20:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbc7e4b…
05-16 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x71fcb5…
05-12 15:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0c8286…
05-11 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xa3afea…
05-04 10:08:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe5feb…
05-04 10:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x89a9a7…
05-04 05:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x64a958…
05-04 00:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x967db3…
05-03 15:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0588d8…
05-03 15:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x065f2d…
05-03 15:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x573b7d…
05-03 15:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xedb369…
05-03 15:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x81fd1c…
05-03 13:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf20b85…
05-03 12:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0xa46ec2…
05-03 12:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x7d456a…
05-03 11:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x1609fa…
05-03 11:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	43	45¢	$19	0x28cad7…
05-03 11:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x3bda4a…
05-03 11:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x576c0a…
05-03 11:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5546b1…
04-20 14:18:18	btc updown 15m 1776694500	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x39a788…
04-20 11:58:52	btc updown 15m 1776685500	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea876e…
04-20 11:56:20	btc updown 15m 1776685500	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x35953a…
04-20 11:47:58	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x873411…
04-20 11:44:02	btc updown 15m 1776684600	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x2c515b…
04-20 09:07:40	btc updown 15m 1776675600	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1da3e7…
04-20 08:51:26	btc updown 15m 1776674700	Up	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x99352e…
04-20 08:49:56	btc updown 15m 1776674700	Up	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x539da1…
04-20 08:42:04	btc updown 15m 1776673800	Down	SELL	51	74¢	$38	0x18c896…
04-20 08:33:10	btc updown 15m 1776673800	Down	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x19aea9…
04-20 08:27:32	btc updown 15m 1776672900	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xc8ac96…
04-20 08:26:04	btc updown 15m 1776672900	Down	SELL	53	62¢	$33	0x27dc3f…
04-20 08:19:56	btc updown 15m 1776672900	Down	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0xc275da…
04-20 08:15:54	btc updown 5m 1776672900	Down	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x5c2595…
04-20 08:12:24	btc updown 5m 1776672600	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd93e3a…
04-19 21:21:32	btc updown 5m 1776633600	Down	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xfbd127…
04-19 13:22:30	btc updown 5m 1776604800	Down	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x5b18dc…
04-19 13:19:40	btc updown 15m 1776604500	Down	BUY	98	8¢	$8	0xe68c60…
04-19 13:18:48	btc updown 15m 1776604500	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x2c55e5…
04-19 11:54:04	xrp updown 5m 1776599400	Down	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x93320b…
04-19 11:36:04	btc updown 15m 1776598200	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xf3e8a7…
04-19 11:31:54	btc updown 5m 1776598200	Down	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xd58601…
04-19 10:51:28	btc updown 15m 1776595500	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xa1a9d2…
04-19 10:50:10	btc updown 15m 1776595500	Down	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0xd3f585…
04-19 10:43:56	btc updown 15m 1776594600	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x938f13…
04-19 10:43:08	btc updown 15m 1776594600	Up	SELL	39	29¢	$12	0x7e486f…
04-19 10:41:12	btc updown 15m 1776594600	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x730eec…
04-18 08:48:42	btc updown 15m 1776501900	Down	BUY	139	11¢	$15	0xb50fcc…
04-18 08:46:04	btc updown 5m 1776501900	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb1d847…
04-17 20:19:54	elc bbr cov 2026 04 18 cov	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x13eb13…
04-17 20:18:28	btc updown 15m 1776456900	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x37d19e…
04-17 19:12:20	btc updown 15m 1776452400	Up	SELL	62	40¢	$25	0x69d918…