Boring-Tremor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$435

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-21 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

94% 58% $-31

Politics

6% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No		+1,000	$470	44¢	$435	$-35	07-21 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	3	$618	843	393	+450	Yes	+$225	05-08 13:07
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	4	$470	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-21 15:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$432	470	0	+470	Up	$-432	05-07 16:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$258	550	0	+550	open	—	05-12 15:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	2	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	05-06 11:20
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	4	$196	400	0	+400	Up	+$204	05-11 09:26
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	1	$194	349	0	+349	Yes	+$155	05-06 11:07
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	4	$177	200	0	+200	Up	+$23	05-05 13:14
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	3	$71	102	0	+102	Down	$-71	05-05 13:20
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	3	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 10:06
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$46	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	05-06 11:26
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$46	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	05-05 13:10
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$46	50	0	+50	Down	$-46	05-05 13:12
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$43	50	0	+50	Up	+$7	05-05 13:12
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$42	50	0	+50	Up	+$8	05-05 13:10
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$35	50	0	+50	Down	$-35	05-05 13:16
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$35	50	0	+50	Down	$-35	05-05 13:14
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$34	50	0	+50	Down	+$16	05-05 13:15
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$32	50	0	+50	Down	$-32	05-05 13:15
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$27	50	0	+50	Up	+$23	05-05 13:13
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$26	50	0	+50	Up	$-26	05-06 11:02
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$24	50	0	+50	Up	$-24	05-05 13:14
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$22	23	0	+23	Up	+$1	05-05 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:33:48	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	537	47¢	$252	0x75fbac…
07-21 15:30:57	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x50b5ce…
07-21 15:06:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0xe3cda1…
07-21 14:33:33	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	69	47¢	$32	0x237642…
05-12 15:45:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	528	47¢	$248	0x3249df…
05-12 13:01:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0x7e5676…
05-11 09:26:39	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	215	49¢	$105	0x5c093b…
05-11 09:03:24	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	118	49¢	$58	0x75d1b1…
05-11 08:48:42	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	42	49¢	$21	0xe5b205…
05-11 08:44:07	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xdfc6a9…
05-08 13:07:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	450	49¢	$220	0x6bc1dc…
05-08 10:06:41	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x559225…
05-08 10:06:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	393	50¢	$197	0x356960…
05-08 10:01:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	393	51¢	$201	0x5c2941…
05-07 16:09:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe687b3…
05-07 12:31:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	443	92¢	$408	0xafb674…
05-06 11:26:54	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0xc24849…
05-06 11:20:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xfbaca5…
05-06 11:07:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	349	56¢	$194	0x358a81…
05-06 11:05:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xb8950c…
05-06 11:02:48	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x9b53bf…
05-06 11:02:16	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x2da58c…
05-05 13:20:02	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x53c08b…
05-05 13:16:56	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0x751445…
05-05 13:16:44	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x1735ea…
05-05 13:16:00	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x7a1949…
05-05 13:15:38	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xae1cad…
05-05 13:15:12	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x2565d2…
05-05 13:14:50	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xd215db…
05-05 13:14:32	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x75427d…
05-05 13:14:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x91e565…
05-05 13:13:18	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xe69d4f…
05-05 13:12:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe62742…
05-05 13:12:48	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xea7ff1…
05-05 13:12:26	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x0d45e9…
05-05 13:12:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xba3123…
05-05 13:11:38	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x7a8fc0…
05-05 13:10:52	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x27d3b7…
05-05 13:10:14	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x3b338d…
05-05 13:09:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xb78dde…
05-05 13:06:18	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	33	65¢	$21	0x2d9e38…
05-05 13:05:18	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xd21d17…