Subtle-Cupboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$975

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-28 17:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 26% +$27

Other

26% — —

Politics

10% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	5	$150	118	77	+42	Down	$-10	05-07 16:41
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	3	$62	97	37	+60	open	—	04-30 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$50	85	0	+85	Up	+$35	05-07 14:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$50	87	87	+0	open	—	05-08 14:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$47	38	37	+1	open	—	04-29 14:54
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$41	48	48	+0	open	—	05-13 03:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$38	1,538	1,538	+0	open	—	04-29 15:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$33	61	61	+0	open	—	04-30 16:00
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	2	$31	165	165	+0	open	—	05-05 18:23
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$30	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-11 03:13
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	2	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-30 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$28	48	0	+48	Up	+$20	05-08 14:06
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$26	333	333	+0	open	—	04-30 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Up	+$26	05-07 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$25	93	0	+93	Down	$-25	05-07 14:16
Will 3DMAX qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	2	$21	85	85	+0	open	—	04-30 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$20	38	19	+19	Down	$-1	05-11 14:23
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	1	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-29 14:56
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	2	$15	357	357	+0	open	—	05-14 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$15	17	10	+7	Up	$-5	05-13 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$14	12	5	+7	Down	$-4	05-14 03:20
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	1	$10	207	0	+207	open	—	04-27 17:18
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	1	$10	79	0	+79	open	—	04-29 14:57
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	04-27 17:24
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-28 17:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 17:26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	05-02 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	Up	$-3	05-11 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	Down	$-3	05-11 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-2	05-11 03:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 17:15:30	World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia	Latvia	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdcce9f…
05-14 13:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x973d98…
05-14 13:34:09	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	357	1¢	$5	0xcc1b2b…
05-14 03:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1a7240…
05-14 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8e19b3…
05-14 03:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x0cf76a…
05-14 03:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6287e2…
05-14 03:17:15	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x382cd1…
05-13 03:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1a9e6a…
05-13 03:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x778b8d…
05-13 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x289590…
05-13 03:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbdd854…
05-13 03:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8383d1…
05-13 03:37:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	48	66¢	$31	0xab0dfc…
05-11 14:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1ec264…
05-11 14:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8a24bc…
05-11 14:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2fb60e…
05-11 14:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb50278…
05-11 14:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xba5055…
05-11 14:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x3ab144…
05-11 14:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x75c05f…
05-11 14:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xc662ed…
05-11 13:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2d8d3d…
05-11 13:25:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x52f2d2…
05-11 03:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x45f08d…
05-11 03:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x92ba2f…
05-11 03:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x821836…
05-11 03:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1ff789…
05-11 03:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xee8774…
05-11 03:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x736427…
05-11 03:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x13c993…
05-11 03:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5f3075…
05-11 03:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x265184…
05-11 03:13:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x078883…
05-11 03:13:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x16d725…
05-08 14:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb2cd80…
05-08 14:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x559223…
05-08 14:04:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	34¢	$30	0x74e412…
05-07 16:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x3a4a43…
05-07 16:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x978f80…
05-07 16:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	77	91¢	$70	0xee2026…
05-07 16:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe0c938…
05-07 16:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xdae863…
05-07 16:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3dafa0…
05-07 16:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd30bc9…
05-07 16:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf51a7d…
05-07 14:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2622fd…
05-07 14:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x133f68…
05-07 14:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x4b8941…
05-07 14:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x7f26a4…
05-07 14:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0a3de0…
05-07 14:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xfde44f…
05-07 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0441e9…
05-07 03:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3e7cec…
05-06 14:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf59263…
05-06 14:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf0cc5d…
05-06 14:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe92daf…
05-05 18:23:04	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	SELL	165	6¢	$11	0x667fe0…
05-02 05:34:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x9ba551…
05-02 05:33:56	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x278725…
05-02 05:32:40	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	165	12¢	$20	0x14d384…
04-30 16:46:16	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0xf68f16…
04-30 16:19:46	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4338b9…
04-30 16:19:44	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xa821a7…
04-30 16:15:58	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xabbe45…
04-30 16:06:32	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe8efce…
04-30 16:06:24	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xe3e616…
04-30 16:00:44	Will 3DMAX qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0x62d907…
04-30 16:00:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	61	22¢	$13	0x951518…
04-30 04:03:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	333	2¢	$6	0xf29750…
04-29 15:09:42	Will 3DMAX qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0xce2332…
04-29 15:08:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,538	1¢	$18	0xf15afe…
04-29 15:07:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x49941b…
04-29 15:07:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x6f14e2…
04-29 15:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xbc23f1…
04-29 14:57:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xc6fc63…
04-29 14:56:12	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x5766f9…
04-29 14:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x08188d…
04-27 17:26:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc36eb4…
04-27 17:26:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb7aa0a…
04-27 17:24:16	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner	Leo Team	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x13af6f…
04-27 17:18:42	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0x789291…