Will 260 to 289 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
No won
Total volume
$123
Trades
58
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-03-25
last 04-27 09:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-27.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $12
vs crowd: 27% YES on $82)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $1 | $26 | $24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $13 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $14 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $14 | $7 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | $13 | $11 |
| Below median | 8 | $14 | $21 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 04-11 19:11 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 04-24 05:12 |
| Instructive-Billion 0x1757…4a8d | Yes | +12 | $-0 | $3 | 2 | 04-24 20:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 04-13 19:19 |
| Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | +11 | $10 | $18 | 4 | 04-11 19:11 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $3 | 5 | 04-27 09:55 |
| Complicated-Receipt 0xb31c…dc78 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 05:12 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +6 | $-1 | $3 | 5 | 04-22 23:52 |
| Milky-Talent 0x465d…5f4e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-22 23:52 |
| oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 03-25 15:23 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +3 | $-4 | $5 | 3 | 03-30 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x09f5…6678 | Yes | +2 | $7 | $8 | 2 | 04-03 04:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:55:36 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc4a419… |
| 04-27 09:55:36 | Blue-Scratch 0xc944…1686 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc4a419… |
| 04-24 20:56:42 | Instructive-Billion 0x1757…4a8d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xaeaef6… |
| 04-24 20:56:42 | Blue-Scratch 0xc944…1686 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xaeaef6… |
| 04-24 05:12:58 | Complicated-Receipt 0xb31c…dc78 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7bd800… |
| 04-24 05:12:58 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x7bd800… |
| 04-22 23:52:08 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf6ee2a… |
| 04-22 23:52:08 | Milky-Talent 0x465d…5f4e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf6ee2a… |
| 04-21 17:48:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf18fae… |
| 04-21 17:48:18 | Instructive-Billion 0x1757…4a8d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf18fae… |
| 04-21 17:48:18 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf18fae… |
| 04-19 09:49:48 | Hidden-Guideline 0xc1cf…f51e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x53c9b8… |
| 04-19 09:49:48 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x53c9b8… |
| 04-17 17:50:10 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x91723e… |
| 04-17 17:50:10 | Hidden-Guideline 0xc1cf…f51e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x91723e… |
| 04-14 21:26:08 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1aa90c… |
| 04-14 21:26:08 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1aa90c… |
| 04-13 19:19:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0e497b… |
| 04-13 19:19:59 | Bitter-Neighbour 0x758e…4916 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x0e497b… |
| 04-13 19:19:59 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0e497b… |
| 04-12 18:52:05 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0dd59d… |
| 04-12 18:52:05 | Bitter-Neighbour 0x758e…4916 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x0dd59d… |
| 04-11 19:11:47 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3b1052… |
| 04-11 19:11:47 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x3b1052… |
| 04-11 19:11:41 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xab6d2a… |
| 04-11 19:11:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xab6d2a… |
| 04-11 19:11:41 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xab6d2a… |
| 04-11 18:38:13 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x473730… |
| 04-11 18:38:13 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x473730… |
| 04-11 18:22:27 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x75c697… |
| 04-11 18:22:27 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x75c697… |
| 04-11 18:22:23 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xad4c89… |
| 04-11 18:22:23 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x3dc66c… |
| 04-11 18:22:23 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xad4c89… |
| 04-11 18:22:23 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x3dc66c… |
| 04-11 17:59:07 | Bitter-Neighbour 0x758e…4916 | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x606963… |
| 04-11 17:59:07 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x606963… |
| 04-03 04:11:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7a2fb6… |
| 04-03 04:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x09f5…6678 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7a2fb6… |
| 04-03 02:27:41 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xed9a73… |
| 04-03 02:27:41 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xed9a73… |
| 04-02 09:44:55 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1f167b… |
| 04-02 09:44:55 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1f167b… |
| 04-02 05:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x98cbe9… |
| 04-02 05:46:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x98cbe9… |
| 03-30 16:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x09f5…6678 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x87a038… |
| 03-30 16:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x87a038… |
| 03-30 16:13:45 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x87a038… |
| 03-29 21:43:32 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe3fcb7… |
| 03-29 21:43:32 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe3fcb7… |
| 03-29 00:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xf5bf9c… |
| 03-29 00:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf5bf9c… |
| 03-29 00:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0xcd8871… |
| 03-29 00:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcd8871… |
| 03-25 15:23:03 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1dfd98… |
| 03-25 15:23:03 | oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x1dfd98… |
| 03-25 15:22:59 | Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcc381f… |
| 03-25 15:22:59 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcc381f… |