Faithful-Carotene — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$915

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-28 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 50% $-0

Other

17% 80% +$9

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+20	$7	38¢	$8	+$1	06-28 07:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	8	$74	75	75	+0	open	—	05-19 02:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	3	$62	80	80	+0	open	—	05-17 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	05-21 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	4	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	05-20 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	12	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	05-19 02:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-23 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 03:55
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-17 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	5	$24	68	56	+12	open	—	05-18 06:58
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	06-24 12:58
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	5	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	06-09 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-21 20:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$19	10	20	-10	open	—	05-23 23:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	3	$19	42	42	+0	open	—	06-23 01:52
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	3	$17	24	24	+0	open	—	05-19 15:29
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	2	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	05-13 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$16	30	30	+0	open	—	05-21 19:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	3	$15	30	17	+13	open	—	05-18 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	3	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 02:21
btc updown 15m 1772780400	1	$13	18	0	+18	open	—	03-06 07:02
bitcoin up or down march 3 2am et	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	03-03 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 09:02
btc updown 15m 1772778600	5	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 06:42
btc updown 15m 1772603100	6	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-04 05:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-22 06:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	05-21 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-21 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	05-18 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 07:01:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xbbe9d2…
06-24 12:58:53	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x4761c8…
06-23 01:53:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf441ff…
06-23 01:52:14	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x03e819…
06-17 05:47:28	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x8a1c7b…
06-15 00:24:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x0dba0d…
06-15 00:22:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x81bd9e…
06-09 16:54:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2dbee2…
06-09 16:54:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x6cb66e…
06-09 16:53:09	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x560c87…
06-09 14:02:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xc41ec1…
06-09 00:12:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x334236…
06-08 17:53:00	spy closes above 745 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x894619…
06-08 14:05:30	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x216607…
06-08 12:29:16	spy closes above 745 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3288a7…
06-08 12:03:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x288e3a…
06-06 01:52:33	btc updown 5m 1780710600	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xba17dd…
06-03 13:20:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x63b75f…
05-30 23:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xa9c631…
05-24 04:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xfd3f89…
05-24 04:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd9806b…
05-24 04:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x856095…
05-24 04:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x199155…
05-24 04:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5a4043…
05-24 04:11:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x390071…
05-24 04:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbfdc7a…
05-24 03:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4dbc5b…
05-23 23:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x919e79…
05-23 23:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x1d4a4b…
05-23 23:50:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xbb64ff…
05-23 23:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x270515…
05-23 23:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x86d5e2…
05-23 23:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x4fd13d…
05-23 23:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x41b29a…
05-23 23:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x15d970…
05-23 23:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x0d2592…
05-23 23:07:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xb61850…
05-23 23:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xec8bed…
05-23 23:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcfb881…
05-23 23:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xba2f29…
05-23 20:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x91ba18…
05-22 06:42:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x10b490…
05-22 06:42:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd199f4…
05-22 06:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2d20db…
05-21 20:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f65c9…
05-21 20:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x821423…
05-21 20:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xe0c7bc…
05-21 20:11:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x60c781…
05-21 19:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x03099e…
05-21 19:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdf5283…
05-21 19:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xc09205…
05-21 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf7d228…
05-21 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaebe7f…
05-21 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa6b98b…
05-21 19:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x06ed56…
05-21 19:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x41f005…
05-21 03:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x9f6d6a…
05-21 03:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x54a961…
05-21 03:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x2f251e…
05-21 03:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x874075…
05-21 03:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x13c84d…
05-21 03:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc51367…
05-21 03:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xb48388…
05-21 03:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x557259…
05-20 08:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x84fcb7…
05-20 08:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd73bdc…
05-20 08:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x2ba282…
05-20 08:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x2b3159…
05-20 06:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x91c72a…
05-20 02:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xfcaa07…
05-20 02:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xc864dc…
05-20 00:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcc60a3…
05-19 15:29:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xc1d0fd…
05-19 02:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	24	76¢	$18	0x711f5c…
05-19 02:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	51	76¢	$39	0x10e50b…
05-19 02:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa54363…
05-19 02:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x84cea7…
05-19 02:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf527d4…
05-19 02:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa38540…
05-19 02:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x046930…
05-19 02:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1c0906…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xd60d7e…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xc0645c…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x6dc388…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$8	0x2cb69f…
05-19 02:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x0bc1ab…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdd5448…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xd3f68a…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x5e5302…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x4cf8d8…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x38a670…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0e257d…
05-19 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x0abb3e…
05-18 22:21:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x622b10…
05-18 18:56:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xe4ef8d…
05-18 18:26:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2d7c04…
05-18 10:52:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x6ca7aa…
05-18 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x7f8beb…
05-18 07:16:55	bitcoin above 76400 on may 18 2026 4am et	No	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0x5d5aa7…
05-18 06:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x92914a…