Distinct-Banker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$790

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

256

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$248

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-03 11:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

68% 35% -$155

Politics

16% 67% -$534

Crypto

12% 26% -$93

Sports

4% 31% -$9

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+106	$98	96¢	$101	+$3	09-15 17:58
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+50	$49	100¢	$50	+$1	09-12 04:50
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+49	$45	97¢	$48	+$3	06-15 12:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+100	$26	22¢	$22	-$4	11-03 11:18
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+50	$21	30¢	$15	-$5	11-01 16:51
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+185	$9	4¢	$7	-$3	11-02 16:55
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$2	5¢	$3	+$1	10-25 16:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+50	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	07-02 02:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$3.9K	4,944	4,944	+0	No	-$30	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,621	1,621	+0	No	-$535	05-25 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	12	$437	300	300	+0	No	-$14	10-27 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	22	$345	442	355	+87	Yes	+$16	10-30 23:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	16	$290	261	261	+0	No	-$54	10-21 07:44
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	10	$273	250	234	+16	No	+$4	09-29 02:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	9	$230	221	120	+101	Yes	+$13	10-17 03:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	6	$229	150	150	+0	No	+$0	10-18 22:44
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	12	$212	306	205	+101	No	-$66	10-28 14:41
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	3	$201	143	72	+71	No	-$4	06-24 01:24
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	9	$198	235	185	+50	open	—	11-01 16:51
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$188	100	100	+0	No	+$1	10-23 18:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$184	150	100	+50	Yes	-$22	10-27 22:04
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	10	$168	350	150	+200	Yes	+$86	10-29 01:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	8	$135	120	120	+0	No	+$1	10-15 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?	3	$127	86	52	+35	Yes	-$9	06-08 09:08
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	6	$108	126	126	+0	open	—	10-20 05:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	5	$101	156	0	+156	open	—	09-15 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	06-07 07:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-18 06:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8?	1	$97	100	0	+100	Yes	+$3	08-08 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4?	1	$97	101	0	+101	Yes	+$4	06-04 06:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	1	$97	100	0	+100	Yes	+$3	06-08 18:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 8?	1	$94	96	0	+96	Yes	+$2	06-08 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	1	$93	100	0	+100	Yes	+$7	07-24 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?	1	$89	101	0	+101	Yes	+$12	07-30 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?	1	$87	88	0	+88	Yes	+$1	06-09 08:04
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$82	150	100	+50	Yes	+$16	10-26 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 6?	1	$81	82	0	+82	Yes	+$1	06-06 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?	1	$79	80	0	+80	Yes	+$1	06-06 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:18:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x78008b…
11-03 10:55:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xeb8a29…
11-02 16:55:58	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x77df4a…
11-01 16:51:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x959ae2…
10-31 16:58:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xf30e61…
10-31 05:45:55	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x01786d…
10-30 23:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x3739d7…
10-30 22:26:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xd7e634…
10-30 22:07:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x430526…
10-30 21:18:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	65	41¢	$26	0x507805…
10-30 19:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0xe40444…
10-30 17:34:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc1cf63…
10-30 05:29:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0xd3e3e6…
10-30 05:26:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x4afc93…
10-30 05:21:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x608184…
10-29 09:17:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x8cb94c…
10-29 09:15:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x7e57fe…
10-29 09:14:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xd5c997…
10-29 05:35:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd803a7…
10-29 01:02:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x30f30d…
10-29 00:34:28	Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x4fecf0…
10-28 14:41:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x79018b…
10-28 11:16:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb593c0…
10-28 08:19:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x9a4fff…
10-27 22:04:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x146df7…
10-27 13:33:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xad8f8f…
10-27 11:12:39	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x1ae708…
10-27 06:51:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xc12e64…
10-27 05:08:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xc1298a…
10-26 18:50:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x3751d5…
10-26 13:25:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x39b13c…
10-26 13:04:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x6847a0…
10-25 23:37:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x346f2a…
10-25 23:32:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb4e060…
10-25 16:38:14	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x117c1a…
10-25 10:52:23	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xcf91b9…
10-25 05:35:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe0efb1…
10-25 03:24:35	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xce3b22…
10-25 03:21:56	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xc273d2…
10-25 03:21:50	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0x305589…
10-25 03:02:08	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x706eb2…
10-24 18:38:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7884ae…
10-24 13:41:35	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x6813c0…
10-24 10:55:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4faeab…
10-24 10:07:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc842c8…
10-24 00:20:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x2bfe2a…
10-23 22:57:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x7759ae…
10-23 18:42:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xc49bf8…
10-23 18:36:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0x1adc3e…
10-23 18:05:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0xbc9cdc…
10-23 17:33:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2d4cf4…
10-23 16:24:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x13980d…
10-23 11:06:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x0ed102…
10-23 07:04:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xcd7ead…
10-23 04:32:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xdbac78…
10-23 04:00:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x7dc605…
10-23 02:58:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x22d6c9…
10-23 02:37:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x85603e…
10-22 16:56:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x07e71c…
10-22 06:25:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x734f06…
10-22 05:47:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xaea333…
10-22 04:43:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x6a4087…
10-21 15:25:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xe3bd93…
10-21 14:44:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xeff352…
10-21 14:36:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xf139e1…
10-21 09:21:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xaca395…
10-21 07:44:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x5fba3e…
10-21 07:37:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xe949ed…
10-21 07:27:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xd0ec91…
10-21 06:17:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xe63c90…
10-21 06:05:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x2d343c…
10-21 02:03:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x4fb506…
10-20 17:06:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0xa568f1…
10-20 12:23:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xb60831…
10-20 09:43:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x73d650…
10-20 05:43:20	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0x2daa74…
10-20 01:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x2cc6f2…
10-20 01:21:57	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x122008…
10-19 18:11:14	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	41	84¢	$34	0x42b6b0…
10-18 22:44:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc152c3…
10-18 22:00:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x31d321…
10-17 03:53:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6a5b35…
10-17 01:18:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x3389f7…
10-16 17:48:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x67cd51…
10-16 16:26:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	35¢	$14	0xa61538…
10-16 13:48:48	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xfcdb36…
10-16 00:58:54	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x547e7e…
10-16 00:53:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x2bd4e1…
10-16 00:04:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xfdf8ef…
10-15 22:58:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xc48d1c…
10-15 22:37:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x69659b…
10-15 14:18:25	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x32aacf…
10-15 14:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x15e753…
10-15 14:11:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x25b23a…
10-15 06:10:56	will wti dip to 75 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x5e8d2c…
10-14 22:34:16	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x5c0f9c…
10-14 22:29:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe506ef…
10-14 13:12:53	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0xb9e5e9…
10-14 10:24:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x20c321…
10-14 09:36:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xcf49c6…