Filthy-Fondue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$419

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$272

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-06 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

79% 79% -$128

Other

14% 83% -$566

Crypto

7% 88% +$275

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$745	390	390	+0	No	+$35	01-27 05:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$718	738	0	+738	No	+$21	03-04 04:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$706	718	0	+718	No	+$12	03-01 12:41
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$697	706	0	+706	No	+$8	02-26 14:47
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$686	356	356	+0	No	+$24	01-24 06:22
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$673	697	0	+697	No	+$24	02-24 10:35
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$667	679	0	+679	No	+$12	02-19 11:40
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$663	667	331	+336	No	-$1	01-19 05:47
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$658	667	0	+667	No	+$9	02-14 11:35
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$645	658	0	+658	No	+$13	02-11 16:11
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$639	645	0	+645	No	+$6	02-10 08:46
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	1	$573	671	0	+671	Yes	-$573	03-20 13:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$570	573	0	+573	Yes	+$3	03-17 09:58
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$300	305	0	+305	No	+$5	02-05 06:28
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$300	305	0	+305	No	+$5	03-07 12:52
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-13 03:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$173	7,107	0	+7,107	No	-$173	03-12 12:45
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$168	442	0	+442	Yes	+$274	01-27 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	1	$106	107	0	+107	Yes	+$1	05-17 06:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	05-22 09:34
bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	1	$105	105	0	+105	Yes	+$0	06-16 07:46
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	06-23 14:22
bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	1	$105	105	0	+105	Yes	+$0	06-13 03:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$103	104	0	+104	Yes	-$103	04-04 12:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$101	103	0	+103	Yes	+$2	04-14 10:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$101	105	0	+105	No	+$4	05-05 05:43
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$101	103	0	+103	No	+$2	03-23 05:32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-25 15:28
bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-06 07:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	05-19 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 07:53:07	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x342af7…
06-23 14:22:08	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xc78c05…
06-16 07:46:27	bitcoin above 62k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xbe0372…
06-13 03:29:30	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc43347…
06-13 03:24:13	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x23ae49…
06-02 06:55:22	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57b900…
05-25 15:28:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x959e3a…
05-24 06:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa770c8…
05-22 09:34:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x8e57d4…
05-20 06:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x39adfc…
05-19 03:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0ced9f…
05-17 06:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x10c7d6…
05-05 05:43:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xbaabc9…
04-14 10:54:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x9e84a6…
04-04 12:38:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x39b41a…
03-23 05:32:49	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x1e4354…
03-20 13:40:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	No	BUY	671	85¢	$573	0x4f66c6…
03-17 09:58:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	573	99¢	$570	0x7e3123…
03-12 12:45:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	2,446	3¢	$66	0x3e3494…
03-12 12:13:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	1,196	2¢	$27	0x68a22e…
03-12 12:05:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	1,683	2¢	$39	0x5247cd…
03-12 11:57:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	1,783	2¢	$41	0xb35e04…
03-07 12:52:39	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x9a501e…
03-04 04:56:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	738	97¢	$718	0x00c034…
03-01 12:41:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	718	98¢	$706	0x4324c5…
02-26 14:47:04	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	706	99¢	$697	0x038c7c…
02-24 10:35:32	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	697	97¢	$673	0xf1e377…
02-19 11:40:30	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	679	98¢	$667	0xcb540f…
02-14 11:35:31	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	667	99¢	$658	0x1e6ef6…
02-11 16:11:27	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	658	98¢	$645	0xe4d6b0…
02-10 08:46:49	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	645	99¢	$639	0xca84af…
02-05 06:28:05	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x370f38…
01-31 17:33:38	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x75fad7…
01-27 15:10:19	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	442	38¢	$168	0x57d336…
01-27 05:04:49	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	SELL	390	100¢	$390	0x525b81…
01-24 12:11:18	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	BUY	390	91¢	$355	0xafae53…
01-24 06:22:24	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	SELL	356	100¢	$355	0x486006…
01-19 05:48:42	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	356	93¢	$331	0xf1ad7f…
01-19 05:47:42	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	SELL	331	100¢	$331	0x16cfb6…
01-18 08:32:10	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	BUY	331	99¢	$328	0x85f73a…
01-18 08:32:04	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	BUY	336	1¢	$4	0x293a81…