Dreary-Roundabout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.2%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$92.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$595

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-14 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

42% 89% -$31

Sports

41% 18% +$61

Other

15% 53% -$1,522

Crypto

1% 89% -$28

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$10.5K	5,285	5,285	+0	No	-$6	03-17 06:23
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$4.7K	2,340	2,340	+0	No	-$2	03-18 06:40
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.5K	2,284	2,284	+0	No	-$2	05-06 10:32
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.0K	1,490	1,490	+0	No	-$1	02-07 08:35
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.0K	1,489	1,489	+0	No	-$1	02-28 04:17
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$2.8K	1,415	1,415	+0	open	—	05-28 09:39
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.3K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	-$1	03-17 19:21
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$2.3K	1,167	1,167	+0	No	-$1	06-13 15:24
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$2.3K	1,166	1,166	+0	No	-$1	06-14 14:08
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	05-07 08:42
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$2.3K	1,144	1,144	+0	No	-$1	05-07 03:40
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$2.3K	1,143	1,143	+0	No	-$1	05-07 05:54
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.2K	1,119	1,119	+0	open	—	06-06 05:45
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	open	—	05-04 11:51
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$2.2K	1,087	1,087	+0	No	-$1	05-21 05:15
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2.2K	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	05-23 10:30
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	06-12 16:25
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2.1K	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	06-12 04:18
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.1K	1,035	1,035	+0	open	—	06-03 10:19
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$2.0K	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	07-09 06:12
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+0	No	-$1	05-23 05:18
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.0K	993	993	+0	open	—	06-07 03:45
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.8K	924	924	+0	open	—	06-04 08:10
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.8K	912	912	+0	open	—	06-04 03:07
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	869	869	+0	open	—	06-13 03:59
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	2	$1.6K	3,246	0	+3,246	Under	-$1,623	03-27 06:17
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$1.5K	754	754	+0	open	—	06-14 06:37
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$1.5K	751	751	+0	open	—	07-07 05:05
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.2K	617	617	+0	open	—	06-04 13:04
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.1K	564	564	+0	open	—	05-01 08:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 13:30:59	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xf8a5aa…
07-14 09:55:46	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x38bd68…
07-09 06:12:46	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	231	99¢	$230	0x13d9a9…
07-09 04:51:53	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x3914c7…
07-08 06:17:46	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$175	0xdc7fca…
07-08 04:50:55	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$175	0xc61b94…
07-07 05:05:41	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	223	99¢	$222	0x7a69ee…
07-07 02:01:49	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$222	0x0d3170…
07-06 08:20:47	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	188	99¢	$186	0xeb7243…
07-06 04:51:29	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0x96121a…
07-03 07:15:10	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0x18b4cf…
07-03 02:35:16	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0x16c628…
07-02 07:54:04	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	218	99¢	$216	0x0293e5…
07-02 05:03:26	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0x76a797…
06-28 04:28:50	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	526	99¢	$522	0xb17ef4…
06-28 01:49:34	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	526	99¢	$523	0xf506e4…
06-27 09:15:56	Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	524	99¢	$521	0xb6788b…
06-27 05:57:41	Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	524	100¢	$522	0x799694…
06-27 03:01:26	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	528	99¢	$524	0x30fbb9…
06-27 01:48:41	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	528	99¢	$525	0x62d482…
06-26 07:04:01	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	529	99¢	$525	0x001fe5…
06-26 03:52:23	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	529	99¢	$526	0xb58390…
06-21 07:58:05	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	530	99¢	$526	0x4872cf…
06-21 06:29:49	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	530	99¢	$527	0x6ed071…
06-21 04:30:20	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	530	99¢	$526	0x10bf1f…
06-21 02:27:29	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	530	99¢	$527	0x997ba0…
06-19 08:53:58	Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	531	99¢	$528	0xa8e51e…
06-19 07:25:10	Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	531	100¢	$529	0xce7be8…
06-19 04:43:01	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	531	99¢	$527	0xc56e75…
06-19 02:31:19	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	531	99¢	$528	0xc58d78…
06-17 03:04:24	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	632	100¢	$631	0x76332c…
06-14 14:08:04	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,166	100¢	$1,161	0xc07df6…
06-14 09:13:10	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,166	100¢	$1,162	0x24e928…
06-14 06:37:46	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	754	100¢	$751	0x7caabb…
06-14 03:52:52	Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	754	100¢	$751	0x1ccdad…
06-13 15:24:57	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,167	100¢	$1,162	0xad7b8d…
06-13 05:51:04	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,167	100¢	$1,163	0x0ea208…
06-13 03:59:49	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	869	99¢	$863	0xc59e8a…
06-13 02:19:07	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	869	99¢	$864	0x761054…
06-12 16:25:27	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,064	99¢	$1,055	0xaaa21b…
06-12 07:16:21	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,064	99¢	$1,056	0x8d2eb8…
06-12 04:18:07	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,045	99¢	$1,038	0xd73e64…
06-12 03:10:43	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,045	99¢	$1,039	0x260e35…
06-07 03:45:06	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	993	99¢	$986	0xa5814a…
06-07 02:27:16	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	993	99¢	$987	0xd46df5…
06-06 05:45:52	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,119	99¢	$1,110	0xfcd68b…
06-06 03:53:34	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,119	99¢	$1,111	0x3b9114…
06-04 13:04:09	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	617	99¢	$613	0x574950…
06-04 08:12:21	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	617	99¢	$613	0xdffce1…
06-04 08:10:15	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	924	99¢	$919	0x562946…
06-04 06:20:40	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	924	99¢	$919	0x4071a9…
06-04 03:07:46	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	912	99¢	$905	0xc6f72e…
06-04 01:56:30	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	912	99¢	$906	0x97a801…
06-03 10:19:43	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,035	99¢	$1,027	0x33c6a8…
06-03 09:03:51	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,035	99¢	$1,028	0xff7ee7…
05-31 10:10:17	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	347	99¢	$344	0x96d33b…
05-31 08:07:06	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	347	99¢	$344	0x805dee…
05-31 05:39:09	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$397	0x49ee06…
05-31 03:58:54	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0x3f7dfd…
05-28 09:39:22	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	330	99¢	$327	0xb34f0c…
05-28 08:34:20	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	330	99¢	$327	0x6c6558…
05-28 07:40:03	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	430	99¢	$427	0xa7e443…
05-28 05:36:26	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	430	99¢	$428	0xa72809…
05-28 04:34:17	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	484	100¢	$482	0x3a8253…
05-28 02:34:39	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	484	100¢	$483	0x5d98af…
05-27 04:25:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	436	100¢	$435	0xa0a90b…
05-27 02:45:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	436	100¢	$435	0xf29d73…
05-27 02:09:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x14329e…
05-23 11:23:19	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	487	100¢	$486	0xdbffca…
05-23 10:30:22	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,083	99¢	$1,076	0x6a4faf…
05-23 09:12:42	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,083	99¢	$1,077	0x2e532b…
05-23 07:48:00	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,085	99¢	$1,076	0x302e86…
05-23 06:37:41	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,085	99¢	$1,078	0x032f6c…
05-23 05:18:38	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,011	100¢	$1,007	0x7de656…
05-23 03:03:59	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,008	0x8f25c9…
05-21 05:15:57	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,087	100¢	$1,084	0x7897dc…
05-21 02:22:19	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,085	0xfdd63d…
05-07 08:42:42	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,155	99¢	$1,146	0x80773a…
05-07 06:40:43	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,155	99¢	$1,147	0xc342bf…
05-07 05:54:54	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,143	100¢	$1,138	0xfd7215…
05-07 03:52:26	Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,139	0xbbe5d2…
05-07 03:40:34	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	1,144	100¢	$1,140	0xb3f037…
05-07 02:03:23	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1,144	100¢	$1,141	0xee93d2…
05-06 10:32:10	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,124	100¢	$1,119	0x07deeb…
05-06 08:35:50	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,120	0x823a65…
05-06 07:36:14	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,160	100¢	$1,154	0x055d98…
05-06 05:53:06	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,160	100¢	$1,155	0x1bcc88…
05-04 11:51:50	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,117	99¢	$1,109	0x2032ec…
05-04 09:23:08	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,117	99¢	$1,110	0x20edde…
05-01 08:01:04	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	564	99¢	$561	0x99de05…
05-01 06:26:34	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	564	100¢	$561	0x7ce770…
04-29 03:03:36	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	526	99¢	$522	0x703f0f…
04-29 01:45:36	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	526	99¢	$522	0xc7d2e7…
04-23 07:52:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x733ed9…
04-23 07:52:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0x898509…
04-11 08:18:47	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$261	0x2633e5…
04-11 06:11:19	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x77a6fd…
03-27 06:17:51	cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	Over	BUY	847	50¢	$424	0xbf1b5b…
03-27 06:17:31	cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	Over	BUY	2,399	50¢	$1,200	0x08a62d…
03-23 11:17:35	bitcoin above 72k on march 23	No	SELL	92	66¢	$61	0x19b3f6…