Grown-Present — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

4.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$53

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-09 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

39% 0% $-1

Sports

36% — —

Other

24% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No		+39	$38	98¢	$38	$-0	06-02 22:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-32	$-14	46¢	$-15	$-0	05-27 20:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	4	$534	271	271	+0	open	—	04-14 10:53
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$462	751	751	+0	open	—	03-22 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	3	$208	120	120	+0	open	—	04-23 15:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	8	$181	186	186	+0	open	—	06-04 21:00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$170	87	87	+0	open	—	06-04 16:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	10	$159	152	152	+0	open	—	06-08 01:06
Iran leadership change by May 31?	10	$154	159	159	+0	open	—	05-25 04:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$100	86	118	-32	open	—	06-06 11:56
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$87	77	77	+0	Yes	$-1	04-24 23:50
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$86	45	45	+0	open	—	06-03 11:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	6	$84	80	80	+0	open	—	05-30 14:53
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$83	42	42	+0	open	—	05-28 09:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$78	43	43	+0	open	—	06-08 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$78	58	58	+0	open	—	06-06 20:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$77	76	76	+0	open	—	05-31 01:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	05-29 04:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	05-22 01:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$63	112	111	+1	open	—	04-21 08:54
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$51	537	537	+0	open	—	03-23 02:50
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	06-02 22:47
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	2	$17	38	38	+0	open	—	06-09 14:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$14	29	29	+0	open	—	06-09 22:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	06-06 13:10
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$6	246	246	+0	open	—	03-20 05:24
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$4	139	139	+0	No	+$0	04-15 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:51:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0x471c84…
06-09 19:23:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x48fca9…
06-09 14:35:48	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0xf8e1bd…
06-09 12:32:52	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x11cca4…
06-08 17:02:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0xa72800…
06-08 15:33:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x126320…
06-08 01:06:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xe5dcaa…
06-07 23:14:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x95c6a8…
06-07 23:14:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x0df9e0…
06-06 20:29:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	58	67¢	$39	0x01a87b…
06-06 18:04:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	58	67¢	$39	0x9dc56b…
06-06 13:10:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0xc4d179…
06-06 12:01:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xc96d6a…
06-06 11:56:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	50¢	$43	0x79cd94…
06-06 10:09:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	50¢	$43	0x851c58…
06-06 02:51:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xbdef55…
06-06 02:51:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x92ebc4…
06-05 23:19:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x22860b…
06-04 21:00:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xc330ae…
06-04 21:00:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	31¢	$22	0x2dce69…
06-04 19:43:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	31¢	$24	0xf0bdf6…
06-04 19:43:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x756d68…
06-04 16:19:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x6294a0…
06-04 16:18:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xcedc03…
06-03 14:58:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	62	69¢	$43	0x259b0b…
06-03 14:57:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	62	69¢	$43	0x088184…
06-03 11:09:39	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x9f6a5a…
06-03 08:50:47	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x9110e0…
06-02 22:47:53	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x0035f3…
06-02 20:18:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x2c78db…
06-02 17:01:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xd0f57f…
06-01 22:46:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0x1d8afd…
06-01 20:27:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xc7b2b7…
06-01 20:27:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xab2d62…
06-01 20:27:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x4f7bc3…
05-31 01:55:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	76	51¢	$39	0x7bf5ec…
05-30 23:32:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x809457…
05-30 23:32:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x679e5b…
05-30 23:28:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x06b832…
05-30 21:23:20	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xc23adc…
05-30 14:53:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x6c75f1…
05-30 12:40:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x612580…
05-30 10:31:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x94e0e4…
05-29 04:05:19	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x14ca01…
05-29 04:05:19	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x0f4f3e…
05-28 23:37:23	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x64c762…
05-28 09:00:54	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xf3646f…
05-28 04:24:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x8152f8…
05-27 20:59:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0xa02f70…
05-25 04:20:03	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x6d8484…
05-25 04:20:03	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5401db…
05-25 00:52:26	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x05c01f…
05-23 19:32:31	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$3	0xbf2019…
05-23 19:24:04	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xb82c4f…
05-23 19:24:04	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x69f7a1…
05-23 19:24:04	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x377e17…
05-23 15:35:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xc1943a…
05-23 15:35:10	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xb72c25…
05-23 13:14:47	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xea393c…
05-22 01:38:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xb1434a…
05-22 01:38:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	75¢	$17	0x47fee1…
05-22 01:17:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x7d999c…
05-21 21:25:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x34077c…
05-21 21:25:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xd84500…
05-21 19:04:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0x500f5e…
04-24 23:50:30	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	77	56¢	$43	0x51600e…
04-24 22:31:02	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0x839b44…
04-23 15:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0x5394a2…
04-23 15:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	93	87¢	$81	0x2be801…
04-23 12:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	120	87¢	$104	0x74824a…
04-21 08:54:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	30¢	$33	0xd4da04…
04-21 07:25:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xbed469…
04-21 07:24:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x747a84…
04-21 07:22:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	27¢	$22	0x14daad…
04-15 14:17:12	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	139	2¢	$2	0xe3ebf1…
04-15 11:26:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$2	0xda1670…
04-14 10:53:49	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	236	98¢	$232	0xabbc0e…
04-14 10:53:47	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x518f2e…
04-14 10:53:47	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x1de686…
04-14 09:19:27	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	271	98¢	$267	0xbc7c92…
03-23 02:50:23	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	537	5¢	$26	0x9f9081…
03-23 00:23:27	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	245	5¢	$11	0xb3cb5c…
03-23 00:23:27	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	253	5¢	$12	0x8527c6…
03-23 00:23:27	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x3bb8ca…
03-22 15:47:09	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	227	99¢	$224	0x0002c6…
03-22 12:25:25	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x17fd69…
03-22 12:24:47	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x219416…
03-20 05:24:33	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	246	1¢	$3	0x071bf0…
03-20 03:49:41	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	221	1¢	$3	0xa18829…
03-20 03:49:41	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x0a159e…
03-19 09:45:45	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	524	1¢	$7	0x8c9446…
03-19 08:36:03	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$3	0xc52643…
03-19 08:36:03	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xc479fb…
03-19 08:36:03	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	252	1¢	$4	0xb00c67…