Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
0
1,161 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$1.62K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$13
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-01
last 10-15 11:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Crypto
72% 69% -$21
Other
19% 72% -$13
Sports
6% 91% +$9
Politics
2% 75% +$1
Tech
1% 25% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 09-24 23:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $3 36¢ $2 -$1 10-03 13:39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +4 $3 39¢ $2 -$1 09-17 17:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 09-18 09:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-15 11:47
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-15 11:19
US recession by end of 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-18 23:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-18 22:49
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $0 70¢ $1 +$1 09-18 18:56
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +2 $1 23¢ $0 -$1 09-17 17:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-03 13:39