Thorny-Junker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$145

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$871

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-01 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

36% 100% +$213

Crypto

30% 35% $-31

Politics

26% 0% $-46

Other

9% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$313	263	263	+0	Sean Strickland	+$213	05-10 05:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$87	1,794	0	+1,794	open	—	05-11 08:23
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	1	$41	103	0	+103	No	$-41	05-09 10:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$32	636	636	+0	open	—	05-11 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Up	$-25	05-11 05:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$21	84	84	+0	open	—	06-01 04:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 07:16
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 04:57
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$11	32	0	+32	open	—	05-10 18:45
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$10	112	112	+0	open	—	05-20 04:40
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 21:12
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	05-09 10:28
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	83	0	+83	open	—	05-09 10:27
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-09 10:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	1	$10	60	0	+60	Yes	$-10	05-11 04:55
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-09 10:28
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-09 10:28
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$10	65	0	+65	Up	$-10	05-11 07:17
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$8	23	23	+0	open	—	05-20 04:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?	1	$6	64	0	+64	open	—	05-20 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-11 07:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-11 07:16
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-11 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-11 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 06:00
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	1	$5	32	0	+32	open	—	05-11 08:28
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	35	0	+35	Down	+$30	05-11 07:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$11	05-11 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 04:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0xc66c1b…
05-20 21:12:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xccec8e…
05-20 04:49:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	64	9¢	$6	0xe77c1f…
05-20 04:49:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	No	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x4d18b5…
05-20 04:49:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?	No	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0xd36070…
05-20 04:40:05	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x11f525…
05-20 04:40:02	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0x1ab97c…
05-16 05:12:27	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x15b4b1…
05-16 05:11:38	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xa60b97…
05-11 09:07:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0xc7889e…
05-11 09:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdc7a65…
05-11 08:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1da867…
05-11 08:28:57	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	839	1¢	$5	0x978f00…
05-11 08:28:15	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xf33de0…
05-11 08:23:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	857	1¢	$6	0x911228…
05-11 08:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd1993b…
05-11 08:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfbae23…
05-11 08:03:59	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0596be…
05-11 08:03:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc69acf…
05-11 08:02:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xfd501e…
05-11 08:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x339b4e…
05-11 07:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x9f3cbf…
05-11 07:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xa64d1b…
05-11 07:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x86f896…
05-11 07:48:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd68211…
05-11 07:47:59	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x296040…
05-11 07:20:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xcb2dc0…
05-11 07:19:57	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x1d0adb…
05-11 07:17:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x95a264…
05-11 07:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf3517b…
05-11 07:16:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8d4984…
05-11 07:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe06ce5…
05-11 07:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8e7857…
05-11 06:32:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa2e3e3…
05-11 06:32:16	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x47c13f…
05-11 06:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2c7e4c…
05-11 06:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6fb01d…
05-11 06:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd244be…
05-11 06:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9daf55…
05-11 06:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe30253…
05-11 05:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6f7824…
05-11 05:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xe16434…
05-11 05:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x200e0b…
05-11 05:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x91228e…
05-11 05:14:25	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc511b6…
05-11 04:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xf2b221…
05-11 04:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfefa93…
05-11 04:55:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xc30f7b…
05-11 04:52:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xba0b51…
05-11 04:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x06442c…
05-11 04:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc89f42…
05-11 04:48:29	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc160fe…
05-11 04:47:59	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x54c811…
05-11 04:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x40ab8e…
05-11 04:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7cc2cf…
05-11 04:30:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	636	2¢	$12	0xadb65c…
05-10 18:50:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xaa3f2c…
05-10 18:45:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xd1cfc4…
05-10 05:49:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	312	10¢	$31	0x2e8731…
05-10 05:45:28	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0xe2b18e…
05-09 10:35:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0x8b61c9…
05-09 10:32:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	636	3¢	$20	0xf3a69c…
05-09 10:28:51	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7c3551…
05-09 10:28:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x754146…
05-09 10:28:29	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7236cc…
05-09 10:28:20	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2cbe1d…
05-09 10:28:04	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x72fb0b…
05-09 10:27:45	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x012391…
05-09 10:25:39	Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	Yes	BUY	103	40¢	$41	0x321ad6…
05-09 10:22:14	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x8b8790…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	34	$18.7K	694	05-31 11:00
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	26	$4.25K	525	05-11 09:06
Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe	26	$2.23K	432	05-11 09:06
Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7	26	$1.07K	343	05-11 09:09
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	25	$3.47K	413	05-11 09:05
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	22	$3.71K	233	05-11 08:58
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	22	$3.37K	555	05-11 09:09
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	21	$4.79K	979	05-11 09:11