Smooth-Devil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$148.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.32K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-19 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

56% 68% -$32,278

Crypto

21% 95% -$2,954

Politics

19% 25% -$17,974

Sports

4% 100% +$2,225

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	2	$29.6K	32,838	0	+32,838	No	-$29,632	06-15 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$18.5K	22,193	0	+22,193	Yes	-$18,547	06-13 17:42
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$12.4K	6,430	6,430	+0	Yes	+$161	01-23 10:52
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	4	$11.3K	5,830	5,830	+0	No	+$258	02-27 15:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$7.2K	4,189	4,189	+0	No	+$984	05-30 16:10
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	3	$6.0K	3,132	3,132	+0	Yes	+$229	01-23 07:12
will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	1	$5.7K	6,682	0	+6,682	Yes	-$5,728	01-30 12:09
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$5.4K	6,329	28	+6,301	No	+$931	01-23 15:04
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5.3K	5,796	2,000	+3,796	Yes	+$2,225	07-19 21:56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$4.0K	7,088	0	+7,088	No	-$4,025	05-30 16:11
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$3.2K	3,264	0	+3,264	Yes	+$40	01-23 11:07
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$3.1K	3,510	0	+3,510	No	+$406	01-29 14:16
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$3.0K	3,319	0	+3,319	Yes	+$290	01-23 15:54
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	7	$2.9K	2,499	2,499	+0	No	-$46	02-07 16:00
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	2	$2.8K	3,279	1,000	+2,279	Yes	+$1,109	02-28 19:05
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$2.2K	2,332	0	+2,332	No	+$117	02-07 17:58
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$2.2K	2,322	0	+2,322	Yes	+$140	01-21 05:56
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	9	$2.2K	2,770	0	+2,770	Yes	+$591	01-09 17:01
epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	2	$2.0K	3,150	0	+3,150	Yes	+$1,150	03-01 15:25
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	1	$2.0K	3,891	0	+3,891	No	-$1,984	01-17 04:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.9K	1,086	1,086	+0	No	-$119	04-15 19:59
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	1	$1.7K	2,414	0	+2,414	Yes	+$748	01-25 18:08
Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$1.6K	1,693	0	+1,693	No	+$121	01-29 02:30
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$1.6K	861	861	+0	Yes	+$105	02-07 16:01
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?	2	$1.4K	1,445	0	+1,445	No	+$44	01-11 04:54
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,491	0	+1,491	No	+$104	02-03 03:58
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,502	0	+1,502	No	+$151	01-20 16:08
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	1	$880	1,955	0	+1,955	No	-$880	04-15 20:00
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$655	680	0	+680	No	+$25	01-20 15:34
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$612	690	0	+690	No	+$78	02-03 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:56:48	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xc5eab6…
07-19 16:01:30	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$16	0x9a0872…
07-19 15:59:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,770	59¢	$3,416	0x0ea6ef…
06-15 16:33:45	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	9,074	83¢	$7,531	0xd28418…
06-15 14:14:57	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	23,764	93¢	$22,101	0xcaf0c2…
06-13 17:42:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5,148	69¢	$3,547	0xc75c75…
06-12 16:23:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0xf99a0c…
06-12 16:23:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	439	59¢	$259	0x10007d…
06-03 17:37:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17,045	88¢	$15,000	0xf642ca…
05-30 16:11:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	7,088	57¢	$4,025	0xb53a1d…
05-30 16:10:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,189	97¢	$4,084	0x9f641e…
05-27 05:41:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,189	74¢	$3,100	0x0989ed…
05-19 18:11:33	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	439	60¢	$263	0x80fc83…
05-17 15:53:33	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	285	57¢	$162	0xa0f4f9…
05-16 12:15:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	160	57¢	$91	0x475201…
05-14 03:45:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	267	90¢	$240	0x8ae709…
05-13 19:16:47	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?	No	BUY	247	90¢	$222	0xd2dc01…
04-15 20:00:00	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	1,955	45¢	$880	0xfc1cfe…
04-15 19:59:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1,086	81¢	$880	0xfbdfb0…
04-12 17:51:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,086	92¢	$999	0xb2faec…
03-01 15:25:39	epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	Yes	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0xcb9d43…
03-01 12:59:23	epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	Yes	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0x443e89…
02-28 19:05:43	epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	Yes	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x3365c6…
02-28 03:53:35	epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	Yes	BUY	3,279	61¢	$2,000	0xbfdacd…
02-27 15:46:41	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	4,658	99¢	$4,630	0x900e8d…
02-27 15:45:45	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	1,171	99¢	$1,165	0xe6ace7…
02-27 15:34:17	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x27f832…
02-20 05:10:58	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	5,830	95¢	$5,539	0x08ba5e…
02-09 07:40:09	Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	BUY	550	98¢	$539	0xc9ab79…
02-09 07:38:47	Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa87d7e…
02-08 13:05:15	hok bue bac 2026 02 08	Bacon Time	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xfa6292…
02-07 17:58:03	Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	2,332	95¢	$2,216	0x85b993…
02-07 16:01:27	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	SELL	861	97¢	$836	0x549341…
02-07 16:00:07	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	SELL	2,499	56¢	$1,405	0xd60fd2…
02-06 06:13:01	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	491	42¢	$206	0xfa8dc7…
02-06 06:12:11	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	78	80¢	$62	0x715b0e…
02-06 03:16:05	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	195	82¢	$160	0xc5da2d…
02-05 18:29:03	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	509	34¢	$173	0xecf097…
02-05 18:04:51	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	247	77¢	$190	0x0348a1…
02-04 13:45:32	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	89	64¢	$57	0x08ac04…
02-04 04:21:06	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	165	94¢	$155	0xdc2f7e…
02-04 04:20:48	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb31d9d…
02-04 00:45:14	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,243	72¢	$895	0x0ff0e1…
02-04 00:45:00	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	146	71¢	$104	0xa52374…
02-04 00:44:20	Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	176	93¢	$164	0xdb44e4…
02-03 12:21:58	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	587	93¢	$545	0x556b06…
02-03 04:22:20	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x67bf59…
02-03 04:22:08	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	91	65¢	$59	0xb5587f…
02-03 03:58:20	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,491	93¢	$1,387	0x3828d4…
01-30 12:09:08	will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	No	BUY	6,682	86¢	$5,728	0xe86c22…
01-29 16:29:56	Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	525	87¢	$457	0x46a565…
01-29 14:16:16	Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x5e542d…
01-29 14:16:02	Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0xf4f6d4…
01-29 14:15:44	Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	389	92¢	$358	0x32b440…
01-29 06:44:58	Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,925	88¢	$2,574	0xcec4d6…
01-29 04:58:28	Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	65	82¢	$53	0xe11df1…
01-29 02:32:08	Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x380e1a…
01-29 02:30:44	Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,693	93¢	$1,572	0xfed9ac…
01-25 18:08:14	epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	Yes	BUY	2,414	69¢	$1,666	0xa6262b…
01-23 15:54:24	Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,766	92¢	$2,544	0xcad1b9…
01-23 15:04:44	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4,003	90¢	$3,600	0xc67796…
01-23 11:16:46	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,299	83¢	$1,077	0x4a1e1f…
01-23 11:07:08	Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,264	99¢	$3,224	0xa569cd…
01-23 11:02:46	Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xee8c3f…
01-23 10:52:18	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	6,430	98¢	$6,301	0x4d6f04…
01-23 10:51:22	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x8fc72b…
01-23 10:49:44	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8b8a09…
01-23 10:49:04	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$7	0xfe40c6…
01-23 10:47:52	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1f1220…
01-23 09:10:10	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	541	74¢	$400	0xbd2787…
01-23 09:07:36	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0xce6164…
01-23 08:51:48	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0e5ec7…
01-23 07:44:48	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4a8579…
01-23 07:44:28	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	413	63¢	$260	0x5694cf…
01-23 07:15:18	Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	323	88¢	$284	0xb67db6…
01-23 07:12:58	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	3,073	98¢	$3,000	0x717ad5…
01-23 07:12:08	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	SELL	3,132	100¢	$3,125	0xa4143a…
01-23 06:58:56	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	182	97¢	$176	0xea4c30…
01-22 07:17:48	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	3,019	93¢	$2,814	0x93f07f…
01-21 05:56:20	Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,322	94¢	$2,182	0x79a2fc…
01-20 16:08:10	Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,502	90¢	$1,351	0xbe7d1d…
01-20 15:34:24	Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x432844…
01-20 15:31:50	Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	BUY	649	96¢	$626	0x0b600d…
01-17 04:21:16	epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	Yes	BUY	3,891	51¢	$1,984	0x30a973…
01-16 07:34:30	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	864	92¢	$799	0x3a9604…
01-16 07:21:42	will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	2,268	92¢	$2,097	0x2f9f77…
01-16 04:38:16	Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0x027dd9…
01-16 04:37:04	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	525	89¢	$467	0xea2172…
01-16 04:33:14	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0xfa6034…
01-15 17:00:20	Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x5dfa7a…
01-15 15:47:16	Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	160	82¢	$131	0xfcaa0f…
01-15 06:27:24	Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x25d2f7…
01-15 03:24:54	Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xdcaeea…
01-15 03:24:30	Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	96	95¢	$92	0x625202…
01-12 08:18:14	Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	333	83¢	$276	0x68f573…
01-11 14:35:48	Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0xec1db2…
01-11 05:38:30	Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x80f7e7…
01-11 04:56:34	Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	514	68¢	$352	0x9f2c8f…
01-11 04:55:14	Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xcf1ca6…
01-11 04:54:26	Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,279	97¢	$1,240	0x5aaa5c…