Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$770

Unrealized P&L

-$206

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

68 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$19.4K

$19.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

$6.56K

14 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-30 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

97% 40% -$445

Other

3% 0% -$300

Crypto

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+8,321	$3,242	36¢	$3.0K	-$288	10-30 11:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+1,400	$810	64¢	$903	+$93	10-27 22:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+1,611	$820	46¢	$733	-$87	10-30 11:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+1,000	$560	57¢	$570	+$10	10-27 21:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+1,000	$350	32¢	$325	-$25	10-27 22:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+397	$250	72¢	$284	+$34	10-19 19:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+423	$21	61¢	$259	+$238	10-29 16:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+1,000	$290	26¢	$255	-$35	10-27 21:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2,000	$181	5¢	$91	-$90	10-27 22:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+563	$50	10¢	$55	+$5	10-20 22:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+376	$50	13¢	$47	-$3	10-20 22:22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+249	$50	18¢	$46	-$4	10-20 22:22
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+357	$50	8¢	$27	-$23	10-20 22:15
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+243	$40	4¢	$10	-$31	10-28 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:45:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,571	42¢	$1,500	0x82d096…
10-30 11:14:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	974	41¢	$400	0x023200…
10-30 11:13:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	993	52¢	$520	0xecaaf8…
10-30 11:11:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,336	4¢	$135	0x6bc79c…
10-29 17:08:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7,813	3¢	$250	0xeeac43…
10-29 16:24:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	141	75¢	$106	0xbb59a0…
10-29 16:24:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	618	49¢	$300	0x876f86…
10-29 16:21:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	5,018	2¢	$119	0x450a75…
10-28 16:41:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,174	46¢	$1,000	0x809016…
10-28 15:31:41	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,500	98¢	$1,470	0x875032…
10-28 08:55:47	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	233	4¢	$10	0x991dcf…
10-28 08:55:29	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,264	0¢	$4	0x9fe0ce…
10-28 07:40:07	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x4330ad…
10-28 00:27:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x88c3cb…
10-28 00:06:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0c6349…
10-27 23:30:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	1,654	0¢	$8	0x3e3ad8…
10-27 23:22:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x88fec3…
10-27 22:38:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	213	61¢	$130	0xcfcb3d…
10-27 22:31:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0x450c07…
10-27 22:29:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,500	7¢	$105	0x8c9ccf…
10-27 22:28:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1,000	35¢	$350	0xc8ac67…
10-27 22:27:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	787	61¢	$480	0x9a3eca…
10-27 22:23:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7,870	6¢	$500	0x651ddf…
10-27 21:59:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,500	54¢	$810	0x503cd6…
10-27 21:09:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	414	29¢	$120	0x0f3ae9…
10-27 21:08:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0x83736c…
10-27 21:07:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	586	29¢	$170	0x378ebb…
10-27 21:03:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	534	32¢	$171	0xfa9d77…
10-27 20:51:54	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	957	36¢	$345	0x91300f…
10-27 20:46:14	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6,886	2¢	$119	0x1e0cc1…
10-27 20:45:47	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,221	34¢	$755	0xb6b29b…
10-27 20:44:42	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	205	36¢	$74	0x8a08f8…
10-27 20:36:14	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	147	98¢	$145	0xaf7a74…
10-27 20:36:12	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x9aac3d…
10-27 20:36:09	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xaa93ae…
10-27 20:35:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xfc2f0f…
10-27 20:35:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	488	98¢	$481	0xa548de…
10-27 20:35:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x5f0e2d…
10-27 20:35:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	450	98¢	$443	0x3839b3…
10-27 20:35:24	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	262	98¢	$258	0x9954f8…
10-27 20:35:24	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6c6fcb…
10-27 20:34:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	587	46¢	$273	0xdc22c9…
10-27 20:34:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,136	30¢	$641	0x06379e…
10-27 16:11:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	486	22¢	$107	0xa7f14c…
10-27 16:11:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xc43d53…
10-27 16:11:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	206	22¢	$45	0x872665…
10-27 16:07:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x710b35…
10-27 16:07:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,150	35¢	$400	0xa1e98b…
10-27 16:06:32	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,433	70¢	$1,000	0x7f6392…
10-27 16:05:36	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,993	50¢	$1,000	0xccc6b6…
10-25 10:37:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x49077a…
10-25 10:37:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x5b961e…
10-25 10:35:27	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	468	43¢	$199	0x75bf43…
10-24 22:15:38	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xc29623…
10-20 22:22:42	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	249	20¢	$50	0x2ee4fd…
10-20 22:22:29	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	376	13¢	$50	0xea4372…
10-20 22:21:41	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	563	9¢	$50	0x67c2ca…
10-20 22:15:14	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x713fdf…
10-20 22:14:45	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,263	8¢	$100	0xdebe64…
10-19 21:38:58	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xd8a0df…
10-19 19:39:24	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x23364b…
10-19 19:36:20	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	397	63¢	$250	0x09cb9e…
10-19 19:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x68ba27…
10-19 19:30:38	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0x900835…
10-19 19:28:35	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,810	36¢	$1,000	0x7d5f59…
10-19 19:17:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xb6e4eb…
10-19 19:15:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,886	4¢	$250	0x801668…
10-19 19:15:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,571	28¢	$1,000	0x68e8ef…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	9	$4.9K	10,991	2,670	+8,321	open	—	10-30 11:45
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	8	$3.5K	5,115	5,115	+0	No	-$724	10-28 08:55
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$2.4K	1,433	1,433	+0	No	+$411	10-27 20:36
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$660	10-28 15:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$1.2K	17,850	8,354	+9,495	Yes	-$701	10-30 11:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	2	$820	1,611	0	+1,611	open	—	10-30 11:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	3	$810	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	10-27 22:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$779	1,150	728	+423	open	—	10-29 16:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	1	$560	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-27 21:08
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$419	8,886	6,886	+2,000	open	—	10-27 22:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$350	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-27 22:28
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	2	$300	2,597	0	+2,597	No	-$300	10-20 22:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	2	$290	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-27 21:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$250	397	0	+397	open	—	10-19 19:36
Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	10-28 07:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	5	$108	1,667	1,667	+0	Yes	-$92	10-28 00:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$60	476	233	+243	open	—	10-28 08:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$50	563	0	+563	open	—	10-20 22:21
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	357	0	+357	open	—	10-20 22:15
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$50	249	0	+249	open	—	10-20 22:22
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$50	376	0	+376	open	—	10-20 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	Down	-$25	10-19 19:31